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Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
It's hard to say just going off precipitation, maybe someone with more knowledge can give some idea Going to set off soon, just hope it's not in vain and I can find a good spot -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
My condolences! I'd be thinking of some pretty radical excuses to get out of work Hopefully you have something to chase when you finish -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
12z UKv for 8pm Vs 20:35 netwather radar Its modelled the far southwest reasonably well, same can't be said for the northeast but I'm sure that won't concern those getting a storm in that area My concern is what's expected to develop down here in the south, it's good to see things going to plan so far. -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Judging by how much the models have been chopping and changing recently I wouldn't give up hope, there will be surprises for many tomorrow I just hope the surprises are positive ones, and not one massive bust where all that potential fails to spark into life -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
There's been some fantastic photos posted of todays storms, massive congratulations to those that managed to get a storm Tomorrow is looking very interesting for Many areas further north, so hopefully those of you that missed out today will get some proper storms tomorrow. The latest UKv is pretty much a variation of the same theme from today's 12z So all to play for I'm going to risk it for a biscuit and head towards Weymouth/Charmouth way, any storms that do fire this evening will be elevated, so I should still be able to capture something even if storms develop slightly further west Good luck everyone in the coming 24 hours or so If they're any locals in here from west Dorset, with knowledge of locations that are reasonably high and have good all round views, please can you let me know, cheers -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yeah tell me about it, window wide open and it's not cooling down at all Let's see what tomorrows charts look like, but whatever happens, a cool down looks to be on the cards early on in the coming week. -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Another push west from this evenings 21z UKv @ 0100z Sunday morning If things continue as they have been, we're gonna need a boat to have any chance of seeing a storm -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Great update, much appreciated -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
UKv 18z latest update has moved tomorrow night's storms firing slightly further west than what was shown on todays 15z, which continues today's trend Still plenty of time for rough timings and position to change -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
that looks like a volcano has blown it's top! I'd love to be under that -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I'm really hoping that something does develop tomorrow, this year has been to first in a long time in which I have not managed to get one photo of lightning in the UK The only consolation is that a recent trip to France delivered the goods, so I shouldn't complain really -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
No worries, I've been keeping an eye on it today and it's definitely been changing every run. Most of the hi res models have been struggling recently so I'm gonna fill the car and be on standby to see where things develop, seems like the best strategy -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
It looks like 2 am Sunday morning is the time that somewhere from Cornwall to the IOW can expect something to appear It's got nowcast situation written all over it -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
This is showing for early hours of Sunday, I'm sure it will change as we get closer, hopefully it is more widespread than showing -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
What makes it worse is that if you run through the latter frames of the latest UKv, the showers/storms literally skirt around us, bar the very far southwest Par for the course as far as this year is concerned, but there is still time for things to improve, however, there is a voice saying I should know better than to cling into fale hope. As for less storms, it certainly feels like we are running way below what we'd usually get in any given year, but a remember thinking the same 10 or so years ago, only to be blessed with some reasonably decent storm seasons. Our time will come again I just hope it isn't a long wait. -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
That's an amazing photo! There will always be something you wish you could change when photographing lightning, I always think I could have done a better job after the fact. But we must always remember that we are dealing with lightning, in a country that doesn't experience that much of it, that in itself makes the photo you posted very special indeed! Let's hope for something to appear later this week, more epic shots to add to the library -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Great video, it looked like it was really spinning, very nice to watch Now we finally have some settled weather, and things are starting to heat up, I wonder if we have some decent storms to look forward to. Or are we going to have the heat fade away without any convective breakdown? It's something that has happened a few times in recent years In the 90s you'd have a couple of day of 25 degree heat culminating in some big storms, nowadays it seems it can be hotter and have no real breakdown to speak of, I'm hoping for the former 90s scenario Only time will tell -
Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Just heard some really loud thunder just east of Bristol, it's a nice reward for missing the storms in Christchurch this afternoon -
Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
The sun has come out now, I wonder if it will trigger any convection further inland? -
Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yeah, I nice to finally hear thunder on home soil, I think that's it after this lot has passed through, I'd be surprised if the stuff further out west gives us anything -
Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
We have thunder on the south coast It's a miracle -
Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
It's absolutely chucking it down here in Christchurch, no sign of anything electrical yet, but I do have my eye on the stuff out in the channel. Here is something I put together, I edited most of the storm footage and pictures I managed to capture while over in Burgundy last week, unfortunately I'm not there for today's storms, but I can't complain too much really Shared album - Scott Terrell - Google Photos PHOTOS.APP.GOO.GL -
Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I think your probably right The sky is so dark to my south, I can't believe there's no lightning coming down -
Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023
Southern Storm replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
There's some nice instability passing though at the moment, hopefully this doesn't ruin any chances of storms developing in the coming hours