Cymro
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Posts posted by Cymro
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What an incredibly wet start to January, hopefully after this week, rainfall will be vacant from the forecast for a while!
62mm o rain since 10pm yesterday and more to come
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4 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:
The main concern still is and probably still will be for a while the high sinking into the Azores.
This clip comes to mind here
The German Coastguard!
What are you sinking about?
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Blwyddyn newydd dda i chi gyd a gobeithio am awyr las, rhew ac eira i'n tywys drwy fis Ionawr!
Let's hope for crystal nlue skies, frost snd snow to see us through January!
Blwyddyn newydd dda
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Bois bach!
If ever there were an anomaly chart to quash the "British Isles can't be cold at the same time as the US" argument, this is it!
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1 hour ago, Jayfromcardiff said:
Not going to get my hopes up, been stung before with these charts. One things for sure it won't be anything like 2018.
I sincerely hope its nothing like 2018, what a cruel time that was for those of us west of Bridgend!!
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I'm happier that it's more of a Northerly than easterly here as the Foehn affect of the beacons really kills snow West of Neath all the way to Carmarthen in an easterly as with the BFE in 2018. Look north for Wales, any day for me!!
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I must say the prospect of a severely cold March, as a vegetable grower, fills me with absolute dread! I'm hoping we see impacts from MJO potential reversals with SSW sooner rather than later so it can be done with before mid March!
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12 minutes ago, Ladyofthestorm said:
Scotland covers half the country. But March 2006 was very cold.
Wales and NI had a lot of snow in March 2006 as well! Look West/NWest people it's delivered well this year
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The last of the snow has said hwyl fawr am y tro
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2 hours ago, Met4Cast said:
Well.. I guess that concludes weeks of SSW hype based on nothing but a minority number of members which suggested the possibility. If we're being very honest, the chances of an SSW were always a lower probability despite what the hype & rhetoric suggested.
I posted over a week ago suggesting that an SSW was a low probability and was shot down for it, "the dets lead the way in these situations", apparently.. in reality, modelling has done very well with this period of weakening, even back at the very start of this month they were seeing a reduction in u-wind strength which is when the SSW talk began to heat up.
A brief dip below average is expected before a fairly quick recovery, a displacement event seems possible but based on current forecasts it doesn't look likely to bring us the goods. My idea of a colder/blocked mid February looks to be on somewhat shaky ground now too, albeit still time for that to turn around.Outlines an important point that such discussions regarding the stratosphere should be kept in the relevant thread, I really don't understand why this thread has become so tediously dominated by all things SSW!
Talking of relevant thread this should be in the moans one but It really has ruined model discussions since 2018!
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Frosty morning and still the snow holds on in the shade! That makes 8 days now
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Can we just ban the Polar Vortex? Both in real terms and the word itself from this thread? It’s the bane of this Model thread!
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So who still has snow cover in the shade
? We do! 6th day and the ground has frozen solid! What a great cold spell this has been for us here 
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1 hour ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:
cmon not this drama again, absolutely incredible how folk can magically chuck months + of potential weather patterns in the bin, really there could be snow / colder weather opportunities at any stage between now and the first few weeks of April as we've seen in plenty of previous years that have seen blocking patterns extendening into the start of spring. Also how can you boldly claim itl be 'winter is over' if there is 'a lot of uncertainty' 
Thatl be the phase 8 pattern
And here's the temperature anomaly for the exact chart you posted
Hasn't really been any steps backward with the connection between the Atlantic and Pacific still the first focal point
I agree with you completely I think you've misunderstood the sarcasm in my post
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Today will be one of those winter is over days! Just like beginning of Jan. The tone has been set and my advice would be take a break and come back next Wednesday /Thursday!
A lot of uncertainty in the mid term which undoubtedly will be linked to going ons higher up!
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4 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:Fine for what? - no widespread major snow event and it'll be feb, Dec comes in 1 degree below average and Jan running nearly 3c above so far and about 100mm rain in both and the cold days have been bone dry.
Newsflash BFE in 2018 wasn't the holy grail for everyone! We've had more snow here this week than then in West Wales!
Not everywhere pines for the fabbled beast. Give me Northerly winds any day!
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38 minutes ago, 38.7°C said:
Feb 2009 was the UK's first major snowfall event since Feb 1991 so 18 years gap shows how hard it is to get snow in this country.
Can you back this up? There were plenty of snowy incidents between 1991 and 2009.
1996 - great snow Western UK in particular
2004 - Christmas
January 2003 bought widespread snow in Wales
February / March 2006 had heavy snow.
November 2005 had widespread early snowfall.
April 2008 also??
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48 minutes ago, Northwest NI said:
Good to see us contributing to the white pixels on snow cover chart. 5 days of snow cover in most western parts of British Isles
Fantastic and hopefully puts to bed all the 'lack of widespread, snow coverage' posts seen in the Mod thread at the beginning of the week!
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We have a brilliant thread to discuss everything polar vortex and SSW but reading this thread you'd think not!
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18 minutes ago, Penrith Snow said:
To be honest the high will not be clear and frosty, more likely cloudy and misty with near average temperatures.
The position of the high will quickly allow moist cloudy conditions to filter in off the Atlantic, better for heating bills but very miserable.
I'm not so certain of that as it will wax and wane so I'd expect frosty nights and freezing fog especially mid week onwards. But gloomy to begin with perhaps. Still here we were forecast to get milder today but now it's Sunday (and still below average then).
The cold has actually entrenched/upgraded short term i.e by Saturday with forecast highs now 4 and not 7/8s.
Added to that much of the Western part of the UK has snow coverage building colder, denser air against any inroads from the Atlantic. I think this cold spell has milage for an additional day or two yet. It really is a blink and you'll miss the Atlantic affair.
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Absolutely lethal on the roads this morning! A top up of around 2cm overnight here as well. Hopefully we can keep snowcover until at least Saturday
will make 4 days of lying snow from this spell then.
Not bad for a northerly 'toppler'
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Snowing heavily here now but has been marginal even at 180m abs! Around 2cm at present but looking at the radar a big dollop is building here so let's see!
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#Storm Henk
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Compared to last year's total of 4 named storms we're already on 8 named storms this season on par with 2017/18 and 2018/19 with plenty of winter left for more!
An exceptionally stormy period so far!