Lettucing Gutted

If the second half of 2014 equals all of the warmest months on record than 2014 will finish on an extremely mild 12.02C smashing 2006s already very mild 10.82C by a whopping 1.20C! On the other hand if the second half of 2014 equals all of the coldest months on record than 2014 will finish on a very cold 8.38C and ironically the coldest year since 1892 which finished on a very cold 8.17C! Unfortunately record warmth is favored way more than anything remotely cold since the last very cold second half of the year was in 1993 and since than we have had very warm second halves in 1994, 1995, 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2009, 2011 and 2013.

And so a whole year later the post June 2013 mild train is still running strong apart from a missing car in November 2013.

My heart hopes for a Dickensian 13C but my head says to expect the warmest July on record... soooo 20C

September 2007 through March 2008 was also a 7 month period of above average temperatures. Also April 2008 had broken a potential 9 month mild run from September 2007 through May 2008 and July 2009 had broken a potential 10 month mild run from February 2009 through November 2009. Also February 2012 broke a potential 7 month mild run from September 2011 through March 2012 and November 2013 has broken a potential 12 month mild run from July 2013 through June 2014.

I wonder if detailed synoptic charts will ever be reconstructed for the Summer of 1816. It would be interesting to see exactly how the exceptional summer snowstorm and exceptional summer cold weather unfolded. I remember also reading that one day in June 1816 in New England temperatures dropped from 30C+ to freezing in just a few hours. It would be interesting to see the gradients in upper level heights and upper level temps that made that happen.

At this rate there's gonna be little chance of a sub 11C year!

So the "cold mid latitudes-warm Arctic" pattern usually associated with the new Arctic Dipole patterns isn't a new thing after all, though this would have been an extreme and rare example in the Little Ice Age.

Counter-intuitively I chose winter as both my favorite and least favorite season. This is because I like all seasons especially winter if they are cold or cool such as winter 2010, spring 2013, summer 2011 and autumn 1993 but I hate all seasons especially winter if they are horribly mild or hot such as winter 2014, spring 2011, summer 2003 and autumn 2006.

The Year Without A Winter and The Hyper Nino is only gonna get worse... 19C

I sure as hell hope we don't get another repeat of January 20th 2002 - December 5th 2008 again anytime soon.

In addition to my earlier cool request I would also like a summer where people don't call temperatures of 22-24C cool or even cold! I know, the cyclonic southeasterly MT synoptics have been sickeningly muggy and relentless since last August.

Sorry I'm late with this but my theory is that the current amplified spring and autumn warming could be an effect of the loss of Arctic Sea Ice which has caused a great shrinkage of the Polar Cell which in turn increases spring warming and slows autumn cooling over the mid latitudes (including the UK) whilst winter and summer have seen less warming due to the Azores High being displaced towards Greenland and/or the Arctic allowing for increased Polar Incursions over the UK in those seasons albeit via an expelled and diluted Polar Vortex over the UK or France or Central Europe or Scandinavia.

Mays 2009 and 2012 had warm second halves as well with hot and humid Continental Tropical Easterly air masses in the final weeks.

I should have said this 4 years ago but the run without a May CET below 11.0C from 1997 through 2009 was the longest on record.

Rest in pieces 'winter' 2013/2014! Rest in pieces 'spring' 2014! 15.5C

It won't surprise me if we finish with at least the 3rd warmest April on record. April is really warming out of control now in this century.

I want a cool and not too wet summer (always cool with alternating spells of persistent cool light rain and cool sunshine and light showers and cool clear high pressure weather patterns) but one that will make summers 2007 and 2012 look like heatwaves by comparison. So something like summers 1993 and 2011 and colder.

No snowflakes, not even sleet or even frost at all...

12C

For me since I am a year round cold fan it depends strongly on the airmass and weather pattern dominance throughout each year as to my order of months by preference. Throughout my life this varied strongly from year to year. For example in 1993 which had a second half almost entirely dominated by a mixture of cold Maritime Polar and Continental Polar air my months in order were:- These 6 are all rivals for the top in 1993:- July August September October November December However since the first half of 1993 was dominated by firstly unsettled very mild Maritime Tropical air and then warm modified Continental Tropical air these 6 all close to the bottom:- January February March April May June In 2011 the summer represented a welcome cool break in an otherwise ridiculously warm year. The 3 summer months in 2011 which were dominated by a mixture of cool Continental Polar Northeasterlies and cool showery stagnant Continental Polar lows share the top spot:- June July August January 2011 shares a very middle of the road spot since it featured an equal mix of cold Continental Polar Rex Blocking and blowtorch and stormy Maritime Tropical Zonality. However all of the other months in 2011 which had a mixture of torch Maritime Tropical Zonality and Continental Tropical plumes share the bottom spot:- February March April May September October November December 2013 was like 1993 in reverse with firstly cold Continental Polar air and then cool Maritime Polar air dominating in the first half and a mixture of hot Continental Tropical air and very mild and stormy Maritime Tropical air in the second half. All the cool months in the first half of 2013 and November rival each other for the top spot:- March January April February November May June The other remaining months of 2013 were all horrendously mild and rival the bottom spot:- September August October July December

My ideal climate would be Reykjavik in Iceland. There it is cold all year round with heatwaves virtually absent and only occasional spells of Fohn winds, displaced Azores Highs and Blowtorch Mild Zonality. Even the summer cold spells would feel pleasant in the near around the clock summer sun and the near around the clock winter darkness ensues frost and snow fail to melt for weeks and even months.

Cold Zonality or cold Northerlies giving frost by night with cool sunshine and showers by day. The northerlies will be even cold enough for widespread snow in early June. Average Daily Max in June, July and August 13C. Average Daily Mean in June, July and August 8C. Average Daily Min in June, July and August 3C.

If we get a March CET near 8C or even higher we will have the warmest first quarter (January-March) on record.

Another thing to consider is that since the 2nd July 2013 we haven't had a single CET day at least 1 standard deviation below average although we almost had one on the 17th September 2013 and 23rd November 2013. This must a record for the longest period without a single day at least 1 standard deviation below average.

The late 2080s don't look good either based on that horrible little lot...