[Gavin's Week Ahead Forecast (16/6/12)]

Thanks Damian.

[Worst April Through June Since?]

Have to ask, did anyone foresee in late May the exceptionally poor weather we have endured since the start of the month, I doubt many did..

My month ahead forecast went for a cooler and wetter than average first half to June, with an improvement in the final week to ten days (but not enough to stop the month overall being cooler and wetter than average)

http://gavsweathervids.com/monthly.html

Not sure I saw it being *quite* as dreadful as its been, but the anomaly was pretty striking.

Only thing now is that I'm getting worried about the "improvement" side.

[Worst April Through June Since?]

Anyone know where I can get local sunshine stats? I'm not sure of a website and have usually relied on waiting until the next month when the Met Office publish their maps. I'd be interested in seeing how much sun we have (or haven't) had so far, Thanks.

Not sure how to get hold of this, but I just saw this shocking statstic posted by Brummie Snowman at TWO:

Here's a shocking statistic

Sunshine Jan 1-15: 51.6 hours

Sunshine June 1-15: 33.9 hours

(sunshine hours from Coleshill)

[Worst April Through June Since?]

The consistently cool temperatures have been pretty shocking. June 1991 was the last that I can remember being quite this consistently cold and wet.

[Gavin's Week Ahead Forecast (16/6/12)]

Hello folks,

This is one of those weeks wher I just have to put my hands up and say the weather has got me pretty much stumped!

Thanks as always.

[Model Output Discussion 01/06/2012]

Thanks Phil

Latest Met 30 day update actually sounds a lot worse than our Thoughts with a another very unsettled spell setting up from next week to the end of the month.

[Model Output Discussion 01/06/2012]

Here's today's model based video musing;

Improvements Next Week, but Will It Last?

http://gavsweathervids.com

Starts off with a few words about todays "one in fifty year event"

[Why Can We Have Weeks Of Rain, But Not Weeks Of Sun?]

As already stated, if the weather from late January to the late March had occured from late June to late August we'd have had an exceptionally hot, dry and sunny summer. It's just how the cookie crumbles, I'm afraid.

Sooner or later the right synoptics WILL occur in the right months and we'll have a hot summer. On average we get two warmer, drier and sunnier than average summers a decade (the 1960's didn't have any, whilst the 1990's had 6) so a good one should come along soon enough (its still possible this summer could even turn out to be a good one believe it or not)

[Atlantic Storms And Lows - Summer 2012]

Hey guys,

Heres my video on the up and coming stormy weather;

[Gav's 5 Dayer (13/5/12)(]

Hello folks,

[Model Output Discussion 01/06/2012]

Hey all,

Here's today's model based musing video for the end of June. An improving picture;

http://gavsweathervids.com/

BCC weeklies look quite good for the last week of June and first week of July, but not sure it'll last too long?

[South East England & East Anglia Regional Discussion - June 7th 2012>]

Here's my latest update video on Todays rain event;

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/

[UK Convective General Discussion & Forecasts - June 6th 2012>]

I've done a video about tonights potential torrential rain event for the S/E;

http://gavsweathervids.com/

[Gavins Week Ahead Forecast (9/6/12)]

Hey all,

I'm starting an ASK GAV feature, where I basically throw a video open to your questions.

Detail is in todays video: http://gavsweathervids.com/

If its a sucess I'll do more occasionally, but its really down to you guys.

Thank you Gavin, a really detailed and easy to follow forecast for the week ahead

Thanks Seven. Glad you enjoyed.

[Gavins Week Ahead Forecast (9/6/12)]

Hello folks,

Video week ahead forecast is here: http://gavsweathervids.com/ (for today)

And here http://gavsweathervi.../forecasts.html

Written version is here: http://gavsweathervi...htsmusings.html

The video contains a bit of info about the jet stream this week. If folks would like to see more information Re. the jet in subsequents forecasts let me know via here or the comment box.

Thanks a lot, have a great week.

[Model Output Discussion 01/06/2012]

Thanks Phil.

If we're lucky the low will cut off over Biscay or Portugal, but given how this June is going it'll pan out exctly as the models are showing this morning.

[Model Output Discussion 01/06/2012]

Here's todays model based video: Very Wet And Possibly Thundery Late Next Week? http://gavsweathervids.com/

Overall I still think we're still looking for a ridge to develop for the later stage of June, but certainly a big complication possible later next week and assuming this new depression comes off as modelled today we're now staring down the barrel of an exceptionally wet June.

[Model Output Discussion 01/06/2012]

cheers Gavin....easily understandable for everyone from the knowledgeable to the novices

Hey thanks.

[New Cfs-driven Reanalysis On Wetterzentrale]

Hey, great find. Will be very useful to help fill in the gaps from the main charts that just go from 00z to 00z.

[Model Output Discussion 01/06/2012]

Hey all,

My model based video musing today is looking at the chance of an improvement in the weather beyond ten days (so from around 17th-20th)

All very tentative though.

[Gav's 5 Dayer (6/6/12)]

Hello folks,

Wednesday is when I do my five day forcast update.

Five day forecast video is here: http://gavsweathervids.com/forecasts.html

Written version is here: http://gavsweathervids.com/thoughtsmusings.html

PS.

Don't forget my June Month Ahead Forecast: http://gavsweathervids.com/seasonal.html

Thanks a lot all.

[June Month Ahead Forecast]

Thanks Aaron.

I hope the Mod's don't mind me posting these threads, LOL!

[June Month Ahead Forecast]

Hello everyone,

Here's my month ahead forecast for June 2012 (plus a little recap/verification for May) http://www.gavsweathervids.com/monthly.html

Many thanks.

[Fire And Ice - The Summer Of 1975]

Hello everyone,

My latest historic weather video - Fire And Ice - The Summer Of 1975 - is here:

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/historical.html

[Gavin's Week Ahead Forecast (2.6.12)]

Thanks Phil.

Yep, it is looking like an extended unsettled spell. Proper June/European monsoon type weather, really.