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mountain shadow

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Everything posted by mountain shadow

  1. More sleety now and the snow which was lying is melting. Ah well, after Monday, the whole of next week looks decent for snow chances.
  2. Lovely covering here, some massive flakes.
  3. Well, to early to call their warning wrong yet then. Who knows, it may snow heavily sometime between 8 and 6.
  4. Any idea what times its due at? Not showing on radar yet and well to be fair today has been a great disappointment so far.
  5. Well, I look at the radar and see precious little, yet the met office shows this... http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcey4hbv7#?tab=fiveDay&fcTime=1420848000 Yes, I know, these automated forecasts are generally crap.
  6. Few brief flurries so far. Hopefully something a bit more exciting later.
  7. If it went North, it would be more intense. Given both GFS's handled it similarly, i would be prepared for at least a 960mb storm crossing through Northern Ireland and exiting in the Newcastle area with the strongest winds on the southern flank. Obviously a great deal of time to pass before then. Next GFS 12z will be interesting.
  8. Yes, there would be colder air on North West flank of any low passing to the North, however, given the long sea track, low level snow is unlikely to feature much.
  9. The Euro tax payers should at least get access to a percentage of the output in direct relation to the tax money put in. It is a disgrace what we get out of it.
  10. To be fair it will be wintry enough in the North and West even though the NAO will be positive, if only because the troughs will be getting East of the meridian. Cold zonal in the North and West, with average zonal towards the South and East until month end.
  11. Might want to change your name to Hurricaneforce 12 next week is that storm comes off!
  12. Mind need a weather warning NOW for next Thursday!! Central pressure sub 940mb, Pomeroy's house will get blown into the Irish Sea from his mountain. http://max.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20150109/06/138/h500slp.png Looking forward to next week, with everything but the kitchen sink thrown at us. Could be a news worthy week ahead.
  13. Next week looking more and more promising after Tuesday with really cold air spilling across the atlantic, as ever the devil is in the detail, but hillier parts in the West could see some decent falls in showers, then there is the possibility of shortwave lows enhancing the precipitation and giving a more general snowfall to lower levels. After tonights runs, I'm feeling a wee bit more optimistic.
  14. Just calling it as I see it Neiller. Yes, there will be snow around over the next couple of weeks, but maybe not around long enough to enjoy it. At least the weather will be interesting with storms etcc.
  15. Well, it may be colder and temps of 13 degrees will be rarer, but there is no sign of snowy/frosty colder spell greater than a day or two.
  16. Not getting too excited about this weekend, precipitation levels don't look to too high and snowfall will be marginal under 500 feet. A better chance from the next system next week as the precipitation will be heavier and the freezing levels lower.
  17. Yes, I can remember this well. The Tay bridge was closed due to wind and the main road to Perth was shut with snow, similarly the main road to Forfar, the coast road to Arbroath was just about clear. I remember walking from my house to my Nan's, a distance of no more than 1/2 mile, a journey i knew by the back of my hand, and actually getting lost, as I couldn't see my hand in front of my face with the snow.
  18. So, when will we know if a sting jet is predicted? 12 hours before, 6 hours? anyone know?
  19. No surprise, not one post on the GFS old Ops run. Zonal from start to finish with an awful chart to finish. Euro trash high. We can but hope that February will deliver a cold snowy spell.
  20. Is this for real? Surely this is extremely significant? Spike in temps, also showing from this NOAA link.. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/temperature/30mb9065.gif
  21. GFS in far FI showing something similar to what Fergie mentions. Troughing getting into Scandi with decent ridging behind, nothing prolonged but a step in the right direction.
  22. The depression being caused by depressions! Definetly the potential for some serious storms, but obviously to soon to put any meat on the bones. The chance of hill snow will remain as cold fronts pass through on the back edge of the storms, but again will need to be much closer to the time before any call can be made on that. As for any prolonged cold spell, absolutely nothing in the current model output to support it.
  23. Batten down the hatches Irelanders, there are storms a plenty coming for the next two weeks at least. Maybe some wintry stuff over higher ground, but the main feature will be the wind.
  24. What's your personal view on a SSW occurring this Winter Blue? I feel we have missed the boat, but that the normal late Winter warming may give a very cold March.
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