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mountain shadow

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Everything posted by mountain shadow

  1. Maybe it has worked already.. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Recm2161.gif That chart in mid winter would be outstanding.
  2. This us what we need for another 1963 or 1947 winter... http://www.mcn.org/1/Miracles/
  3. Going to be a cold one with plenty of frost. 4.4oC
  4. Geographically the British Isles is made of mainland UK, Ireland (north and south), The Channel Islands, The Isle of Man, Shetland, Orkney, the Hebrides and everything in between. I would plump for Jersey as the most snowless, being furtherest south.
  5. Excellent summary John, but I'm not so sure the High would sink into Europe. The ECM 240 chart has a decent depression over Italy which would prevent such an event and perhaps allow retrogression into scandinavia, although I admit any retrogression would be short lived due to La Nina jet forcing.
  6. Not really south of the Border is it :lol: ? I plump for Hexham in around 8 days time.
  7. Couldn't send it North East could you? Any ideas why the forecasts and models went wrong for NI? I thought we were prime position, i.e North Westerly winds, low upper air temps over a relatively warm ocean, numerous troughs on Meto charts, 60% risk of severe weather from Meto, GFS precipation charts and snow charts, it all looked great?
  8. Have to say I was a wee bit disturbed by the NI BBC forecast, which seemed to show nothing but sleety showers for the North coast on Friday, with only lying snow in the Foyle area and around North East Antrim. On the positive side, the forecaster is pretty useless and failed entirely with our surprise snow event in January.
  9. Christmas Day 2005 I think. It wasn't as much snow as Thursday night, but the last event I remember.
  10. Well, if an overnight snowfall of a foot, in the most temperate part of North Western Europe is indicative of things to come in a 'modern' winter, then bring it on.
  11. I think anyone expecting the Meto to call it widespread cold and snowy now is expecting to much. If the model data continue to remain the same/improve I would expect Advanced Weather Warnings on Sunday or Monday, with Severe Weather Warnings coming out on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday as details and specifics become forecastable. This can still go wrong, and the Meto will sit on the fence over the weekend.
  12. Cold and dry in Belfast. Still waiting for the Snow/Sleet/Rain that should have been here at 5 am. B)
  13. Hope your right, that jet looks like it will smash through no bother.
  14. I'm getting ready for a big let down. The latest Meto Update is out and doesn't make good reading for widespread snow, but the 12z may change that.
  15. FI really is T+96 at the moment. Higher pressure here or lower pressure there will make all the difference between a major snow event or very wet, cold and windy. Why do the models struggle so?
  16. It shows how uncertain the BBC weather bods are about next week, as they are plainy NOT showing anything or even talking about events beyond Monday. Could it be a classic Countyfile tomorrow?
  17. I can't wait for these Islands to experience a proper winter spell. The fun to be enjoyed watching the whole country grind to a halt will be glorious.
  18. http://91.121.0.76/modeles/gens/run/gens-14-1-348.png No SATSIGS comments on this, or all to busy playing in the slush?
  19. Given the continued FI GFS charts, shouldn't a precautionary medium level ramp warning be issued for 14 days time?
  20. It's got to get proper cold sometime right? CET of 2
  21. mountain shadow

    Mountain Shadow

    Blizzard 22.12.13
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