[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Well in the past hour, the atmosphere has totally changed in my neck of the woods; so unless something pops up out of nowhere, then it’s a bust for me today. Still, I had two storms yesterday, and tomorrow has potentially as well… So I can’t really complain.

So I’ll just leave these to screenshots here in the hope that they’ll be useful to other members of this good forum.

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

I’ve got near constant distant rumbles to my west.

This is my current view looking west towards the Clwydian Range, along with a couple of current maps showing where thing’s currently are.

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

The sun is now really starting to break through the crud of yesterdays storms… The temperature is rising… Is unbelievably humid!

Anyway… This is the current track of rainfall and lightning.

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Morning all.

Well after two storms yesterday, I have to say that I’m looking forward to today’s hopeful activity.

But likewise, I’m also aware that thunderstorms can be fickle beasts.

So good luck to everyone again with this today; and the U.K. Meto have just issued another yellow thunderstorm warning for tomorrow, Monday!!

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Second storm of the day, incoming directly from my south!!

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Not a bad little storm here, and it’s brought some most welcome, cooling, life giving rain!

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

U.K. Meto just upgraded my area to an Amber thunderstorm warning!

Plus my view looking east.

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Distant, but constant grumblings of thunder to my south, towards the Wrexham area!

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Afternoon everyone.

A very warm and sultry afternoon here in North East Wales.

But things are starting to bubble up, and it’s turning hazy as well.

Will it go bang? Only time will tell.

But good luck to everyone like me who’s wanting some storm action.

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Morning everyone

I see that the U.K. Meto have now issued a yellow warning for thunderstorms on Sunday as well as Saturday!

We all know that storms can be fickle things, so good luck to everyone with this over the coming few days.

[Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023]

Morning Everyone

I see that the U.K. Meto have issued their first weather warning with regards to Saturday’s storm potential.

As always, with us being this far out, please take this with a gritter load of salt, as is probably gonna change as the time approaches… But it is nice to see something else being forecast other than just high pressure. 

[The changing daylight hours thread]

7 hours ago, CreweCold said:

Not far off the earliest sunrise now. Circa 1 week to go.

Morning @CreweCold 
Believe me, I'm counting off the days until the earliest sunrise, and the solstice itself, so I can finally celebrate the days starting to get shorter and the nights longer.

For me, as a summer SAD sufferer, this year has been a particularly long and hard slog.  

[Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards]

Good morning everyone. 

Just thought I'd add my two peneth worth to this discussion with a quick look at the CFS v2 anomaly charts for the next four weeks.

Week 1- 30th May to the 5th June: High pressure is centered out in the Atlantic and covering Iceland and of course us here in the UK. The location of the high is allowing winds from an easterly or a north easterly direction to affect us here in the UK. Cloud and murk will also drift in off the North sea at times, but basically its rinse and repeat of what we've had for the past week or so. 

Week 2 - 6th to the 12th June: The high pressure out in the Atlantic appears to be retrogressing towards Greenland, but still holding sway over us here in the UK. At a guess I'd say that the winds will be of a more of a north easterly direction... But still no real rainfall. 

Week 3 - 13th to the 19th of June: Bit of change? The large area of high pressure out in the Atlantic appears to be weaker, and stretching out from North Western Canada and out into the north Atlantic... It might still hold a bit of sway over Ireland and north west Scotland... Also we've got low pressure over Spain and France, could that give us a chance of thundery breakdown? Only time will tell.

Week 4 - 20th to the 26th June: Back to square one! High pressure centered between Iceland and Scotland, with its influence covering pretty much all of the UK. So yet more fine and settled weather with an east or north easterly airflow. 

 

So, there you have it folks! If you're looking for some much needed rainfall, then according to the CFS v2, there isn't that much chance on the immediate horizon. If on the other hand you want settled weather... Then this isn't really what you wanted to see. If on the other hand you're enjoying this calm and settled spell of weather... Then there appears to be lots more to come.

As ever this is the CFS, and it could all change very quickly.

Hopefully this will help out some of the more experience members of this forum with trying to work out what's happening next. 

[The changing daylight hours thread]

On 15/05/2023 at 11:52, markyo said:

The worst 3 months of the year coming up, lowering  of mood has started, hate it.

Afternoon @markyo. 

The lowering of the mood for me started in mid April... And I know its gonna fester until about early/mid July time. *sigh* 
I know the nights are still short and light, but its a psychological thing, as at this point the daylight is diminishing, and for me, the fact that we're on the run out of summer, rather than on the run into it, makes it much more bearable. 

I know many of the good folk on here are absolutely loving this time of year, and long my they enjoy it... But for me I just feel like I want to crawl in a cave, and hibernate... But sadly I can't as I've got bills to pay.

I see that we've currently got quite a bit of high pressure forecast for the next couple of weeks... My heart just sinks at the thought of all of that extra glary overhead sunshine. It just feels like I've got no escape from the light at this time of year.

Ahhh well... We must look on the bright side... Only another five weeks to go until the nights start getting longer again. 

In fact I've got the time of the summer solsctice (15:57) marked off on the calendar, so I can celebrate the days starting to get shorter again. 

I swear I should have been born as a bat or a mole... Or some other darkness loving creature. Lol 

 

[The changing daylight hours thread]

Farewell darkness my old friend… Enjoy your summer break, and I’m looking forward to your return in late July.

 

Sorry… Morning everyone

Well during the wee small hours, at 01:20 my part of the world here in North East Wales entered the world of the lingering  twilight for another year. The darkness returns for me on the 30th of July.

I really hope my reverse SAD holds out… But for me, it really feels like the final tightening of the vice is under way.

 

The final long, hard slog up to the summer solstice has commenced. *sigh* 

[Storms and Convective discussion - 20th March 2023 onwards]

Just had a nice little thunderstorm here.

I shall review my video footage to see if I’ve caught any lightning  

[Storms and Convective discussion - 20th March 2023 onwards]

Afternoon everyone.

I can confirm that this cell to my south has electrified.

Quite a good rumble of thunder to be honest,

[Storms and Convective discussion - 20th March 2023 onwards]

Afternoon everyone

And finally, I hear the sound of distant thunder!

Fingers crossed that this is the start of the storm season proper, and that it’s a good one for all of us!

[The changing daylight hours thread]

Shortly after my alarm went off at 03:15 this morning, I looked out of the window… And although the sky certainly wasn’t light, it certainly wasn’t dark either.

So I’ve just had a look at the Time and Date website, and for my location, true darkness ended at 02:37! 

Plus for the record; the world of the lingering twilight has now reached the border town of Berwick-upon-Tweed! 
 

 

[The changing daylight hours thread]

On the day that the world of the lingering twilight reached the mainland U.K. for another year, this is currently how light the sky is at 21:40 here in North East Wales. 

[The changing daylight hours thread]

Evening everyone. 

I've just been having a nosey at the Time and Date website, and at 01:23 this morning, the most northerly point of the UK, Out Stack (a midges worth north of Muckle Flugga in the outer Shetland Isles) entered the world of the lingering twilight! Other northerly places like Saxa Vord have now also entered the world of the lingering twilight for another year.

(Its interesting to note that this far north in June, around the time of the solstice, it doesn't get any darker that civil twilight! ... I'd go as far as to class that as an interruption in daylight! The flip side of the coin is that this most northern part of the UK is in he pre-15:00 sunset club in December, with the sun setting at 14:48!!! )

It's not until the 26th of this month that the lingering twilight reaches the mainland UK, when at 01:12 -  John o' Groats says farewell to true darkness.

It will not be until the 25th of August that the whole of the UK will once again experience true and total darkness. 

The final run into summer 2023 is underway.

[The changing daylight hours thread]

Being as I want/need to get an early night, (yes folks I’m at that age where 21:00 is the new midnight! ) I’m currently in the process of twizzling all of the clocks on one hour, (Spring forward, fall back) as we prepare to say farewell to GMT, and hello to BST for another 217 days. 

Ahhh well… Another hour closer to autumn.

[Storms and Convective discussion - 20th March 2023 onwards]

There looks to be another line of convection kicking off around the Aberdyfi area, and stretching in land!

[Storms and Convective discussion - 20th March 2023 onwards]

12 minutes ago, Rush2112 said:

Some sferics early this am, Anglesey NW Wales.  Intense echoes feeding in to the NW currently, 6am.

Morning @Rush2112… (and everyone else) … Just to back up what you’ve posted… 

After a wild and windy night last night, I’ve just heard on the wireless about the risk of thunderstorms today, and decided to have a look.

It looks like Holyhead has had a storm today, and also something off the coast of Blackpool as well!

Let’s hope that 2023 is a much more active one than last year was for us all.

[The changing daylight hours thread]

For me the equilux is today.

So as of tomorrow we will officially have more daylight than darkness… Until September that is. 
 

The spring Equinox is on this coming Monday at 21:25!

But next Sunday in the wee small hours, the clocks go forward one hour!

Then it’ll be full steam ahead towards the second cross quarter day - Beltane… And then the summer solstice in June! 
 

Time marches on and all that.