liltbrockie

Latest weather video on the BBC says No snow AT ALL for surrey/ kent on thursday!

Maybe the dewpoints have been over estimated and it will snow later today!

Well the GFS is saying about -1C temps in surrey... i have just driven to work and its been about -6C!

http://www.buienradar.nl/

are you lot looking the 12:00 run??????? IT'S AMAZING! MASSIVE UPGRADE

Seen enough already.... massive upgrade as far as i'm concerned :-D

There's a free radar here ... http://www.meteox.com

Latest snow cover over europe for the last couple of days has increased considerably... hopefully should keep temps down.

Up to 126 hrs and this really is looking like a great run... Much more ppn around and the UK being attacked from the north and east by cold... Look at the cold spot NW France lol

Very true... I honestly don't see what all the fuss is about here re: massive snow...As we all know that actual location of snow is something that can only be forecast in the +72 hours time frame... BUT the point is... from these charts I don't see the potential for much snow anywhere .. its not even on the radar... Maybe I am being a bit pessimistic!

GFS parallel run shows practically no ppn for the south from Thursday onwards :-(

Yep... Servers cant take the load ... abort to http://www.wetterzentrale.de/

GFS looks like a downgrade so far... that high is not developing as quick

From: "What's an outlier? An outlier is when the control run is different to the vast majority of the ensemble runs. A cold outlier is when the control run shows a colder outcome than majority of the others, and a warm outlier is when the control run shows a warmer scenario. I hope that helps :o " I'd say my terminology was correct but... whatever!

I think it's worth mentioning again that the GFS charts you see was from a major warm outlier.. The majority of the runs showed a good -5 degrees on the 850 temps

Hi guys! I'm not too happy with the GFS this morning. The high pressure that wants to form over greenland is linking back up too readily with the high pressure from whence it came and pushing any cold air back further east. This operational run was a warm outlier though, I believe, so there's still hope it might be a wobble. However, I have seen the GFS get our hopes up before in a situation like this...we are teased with high pressure staying north but it nearly always sinks back down very quickly when things get into the reliable time frame.. Here's hoping though... PS..Whats going on with the ensembles update on this site... the graphs are still on the 06hrs run from yesterday!? Matt