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Posts posted by MKN
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9 minutes ago, GokouD said:
The precip type radar images don't show what's actually falling. It takes the radar image of what is falling for intensity and location of the precip and then overlays what it believes that would be falling as based on a computer model it uses. So that data must have suggested that at 1015 the precip would likely become sleet rather than snow across the areas now changed.
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UKV 06Z looks good for us. The meto warning for today states 5 to 10cms for some areas within the warning zone which could fall within a few hours.
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1 minute ago, syed2878 said:
Even in the most dire winters Scotland manages to get snow and going by today’s output and the mets extended forecast. I think Scotland will be snowy. Where is England Wales will highly likely to have rain. Personally, I don’t think it’s a foly to generalise Scotland be snowy
There has been quite a few winters over the past 20 years in Scotland where even the mountains have been pretty much void of any snow.
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5 minutes ago, Sparkiee storm said:
Hopefully the trend for this next cold snap/spell continues as its showing a lot more snow, even significant snow for the region next week than this week. Also keeping an eye on Sunday, even if we get some temporary accumulations before it turns back to rain is better than nothing, especially as it makes it look more festive getting closer to Christmas.
The following week may see a bit more snow but I think any snow Sunday will be brief and washed away entirely before the band of precip clears. Unless we see upgrades between now and then of course.
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Since snow has been lacking around the Midlands you may be interested in this webcam from Princetown, Dartmoor. ..
Dartmoor Princetown Live Webcam
CAMSECURE.CO.UKLive streaming webcam from Princetown in Dartmoor Devon UK. This live webcam shows views from Princetown towards the moors and the infamous Dartmoor Prison can be seen in the distance too.- 2
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Excellent 00z GFS. Cold upto 126 and includes snowfall for 48 hours continuously for those in the South from 6am weds.
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3 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Was expecting a better 18z run but this really has put the brakes on very early on!!!ah well night all!!!
Other than being dry again the other parameters remain conducive for snow should anything crop up across the entire UK out to +180.
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2 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
What a dead 18z lol!!!!no excitement at all!!!!looks different at only day 4!!!
Seems to be underplaying possible precip over the UK to me. The 850s under the scenario shown wouldn't need to be as cold with low surface and dew temps. Overall still frustrating however with cold remaining but not alot of snow.
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What the ECM shows is perfectly feasible and has been the type of scenario which has lead to a cold spell going out with a whimper rather than a blizzard on many occasions. At the moment I'd say it has a good chance of happening as per the ECM as the heights to our north are not shown to be as strong as they were a couple of days ago.
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29 minutes ago, mb018538 said:
The furnace zone is getting slimmer. Looking like it’s Lincs or maybe East Yorkshire for the record Tuesday!
I think the trend is to push it Eastwards. The chances of the UK missing the highest 850s Tuesday and thus the 40+c is increasing.
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39.1C, Cambridgeshire, Monday 18th.
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13 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:
The usual under-playing of temperatures. They are always below what actually transpites.
The original poster saying Standard lol. they are forecasting nearly 2 weeks in London werby the capital doesn't fall below 26/27c I think that is a noticeable heatwave for the UK.
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6 minutes ago, Supacell said:
They are the highest temperatures I personally have ever seen on the GFS model, in 18 years of looking.
Likewise I haven't seen a gfs op run show 41c before and also as mentioned in the original post widespread 45 or 46 across France is scary I can see them hitting close to 50c in the next 20 years at this rate. In the more immediate term next week looks like a gradual increase in temps for those in the south to the mid to high twenties at least once again.
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4 minutes ago, bluearmy said:
The beeb forecast shown above for 33c in the se on Sunday has no basis on either ec op 18z or ec 00z.
Their latest forecast showed 26c in London on Saturday and 20c on Sunday so nothing like the 33c for Sunday shown earlier.
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5 minutes ago, Atmogenic said:
welp you know when an event has ended when it's gone from 10 replies within 5 mins to barely 2
They will be back when they see that the showers in wales, birmingham area and central southern england are falling as snow.
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11 minutes ago, Evie Aviation said:
Just seen a video online of a hole in the 02 arena roof. I’m filming at Heathrow and have lost count of how many planes have had to go around
Go and say hello to bigjet tv man. over 200k are watching that stream
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32 minutes ago, Josh Rubio said:
Seems like a total non event here in the Midlands. Just seems like a regular windy day?
Im in hinckley and would disagree id be surprised if trees are not down in some places that are more exposed even round here. The winds have picked up since you posted this though mind on the back side of the low.
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15 minutes ago, BornFromTheVoid said:
Final update of the animations this evening. The strong winds on the southern flank are already quite clear, even if the storm doesn't have a particularly distinct form overall.
Can't upload the separate animation for some reason (probably my terrible internet connection), so hopefully the tweet is ok.
It wont appear that distinct alot of the strength of the storm is because of the strong jet stream.
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5 minutes ago, Nick L said:
Are the Met Office seriously arguing that 90mph gusts in relatively sparsely populated coastal parts of Cornwall is significantly less disruptive than 80+mph gusts through London? Utterly baffling warnings.
Agree entirely, The BBC were ramping up the dangers at least.
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1 minute ago, Jake Lamparski said:
Warning updated, no red
There is a red warning
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Midlands Regional Weather Discussion
in Midlands Weather Discussion
Posted
The heavier precip is south of all that area currently. (Hereford across to Northampton roughly)