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Everything posted by ANYWEATHER
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Model output discussion - hot spell beckons but then what?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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A definite wind convergence across the south midlands hence the line of storms and rain we have had thunder and lightning here in Evesham
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Model output discussion - hot spell beckons but then what?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good evening! An insane run from gfs tonight with some deep lows looks more like Autumn / Winter than late summer. Some notable cooler spells too as the deep lows moving away spill cold from an increasingly cold Greenland and Artic and would not be surprised to see some frosts in Scotland and snow on the highest mountains...and even further south some chilly if not cold nights...Its been a long time since we've had a strong jet stream fuelled by an very early freeze in the Artic and a strong sub tropical Azores .....A roller coaster run unfortunately it's still Summer!...... -
Model output discussion - hot spell beckons but then what?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Evening! Well if you roll through the ecm and gfs in the next ten days Autumn like charts with pockets of Tropical Maritme punched in!!! By the The interesting thing tonight is how cold Northern Scotland gets cold by Monday
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Model output discussion - hot spell beckons but then what?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening.. 2012 ..? No but echoes of that year , this year, and August looks very wet...potential flooding. . But that's the great British weather -
Model output discussion - hot spell beckons but then what?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good Evening ! Southern Britain. looks to be in for a soaking at some point early next week...Thanks to an extropical storm! -
Model output discussion - hot spell beckons but then what?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Really, windchill is really any temperature what makes you evaporate your sweat etc of your skin, and makes you feel cooler or cold,..try having a hot shower then open the door to the landing believe me it feels cold. That rush off the cold landing is quite refreshing! -
Model output discussion - hot spell beckons but then what?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening ! Very surprised it didn't go donkeys years ago, I think the lowest night uk temp was around 23c, back in the 1930s 40s in London! Its about time that record was beaten especially given the concrete tarmac and building a bigger ever London and of course the antropegnic warming.! Anyway looking forward to some Violent thunderstorms on Tuesday /Wednesday after a very warm evening..we are certainly due a few ! I will be staying in the pop up tent with my Brindle at the bottom of my garden. .looking forward to the next round of thunderstorms by Thursday, after that it looks like the Atlantic is in control. -
Good morning! Well looks like a very warm humid spell for next week but increasingly unsettled especially for southern Britain and if the models stick to there output this morning the news maker next week will be flooding issues over parts of the country which have not had much rain so far this month
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Good Evening everyone! The Spanish Plume is giving well above temperatures in France rather than Spain, The Uk may well see one hot day , and then the Atlantic comes in for awhile , pressure builds next week, for a while , and then the undulating jet stream starts again , build of pressure across the Artic , another plume ? Good news as we go into July for growers and gardeners your garden will be warm and wet
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Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Summer
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good Evening All and Happy Summer Solstice! The two models ecm and gfs are just to break this plume apart from the extreme version we had a few days ago, Just like the bitter East winds in Winter which disappear without notice...! Yes there is a plume on the way and yes thunderstorms , But Plumes are notouriously hard to predict....Anyway enjoy the upcoming weather -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Summer
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening everyone! A plume coming up , computer models don't do plumes very well, so for those who are looking for the details in a weeks time will be sadly dissapointed! . But yes the semi reliable time-frame T+96 shows some impressive thunderstorms. Pointless talking about later next week, and talking about extremes July 1918 saw saw amazing thunderstorms etc the synoptic set up was a bit like the forthcoming plume .in Surrey 28 mms of rain fell in eleven minutes ,extreme by anyone's standards that's over an inch in that time frame..? WOW,!!! -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Summer
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I really think next week's weather will indicate some more flooding across some parts of the UK. .