damianslaw
-
Posts
17,467 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
86
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by damianslaw
-
-
Yes I predicted spot on! 9.6 degrees.
-
1
-
-
Think today warmest of the year so far, 22 degrees Cambridge. Anyone corroborate?
-
Warmest day of year so far, 18.6 degrees. Hello the wonderful month of May.
-
7
-
-
WYorksWeather Surprised only 25 degrees for Manchester needs to be breached 3 days, same as Highland Scotland, I think Manchester and W Yorkshire should be 26 degrees.
-
May tomorrow! Firmly a month in the driest half of the year, sunniest quarter of the year, and marks the start of the warmest half of the year, yes April is colder than October, and generally is the best month of the year, just edges June (in my opinion), what's not to like! Its the antithesis to its opposite compatriot, November!
There is strong semblence in the opposing forcing effects of the calandar months -
Jan (hard winter state), July (heady summer state)
Feb ( winter hangover), August (summer fadeness)
March (spring sluggishness), September (mellow wistfulness)
April (spring flourish), October (Autumn glory)
May (green goodness), November (decay drabness)
December ( festive darkness), June ( golden lightness)
-
3
-
1
-
-
Expect another above average month, par for the course. I tend to add at least 1 degree to the 61-90 average nowadays unless there are concerted signals for significant cold and even then such conditions rarely last.
With this in mind I'll go 12.7 degrees. A mild May without anything exceptional temp wise. Suspect it will be very mixed, perhaps more warm cyclonic with warm southerly and easterly influences interspersed with cooler northerly and north westerly influences. Average sunshine, near average rain, perhaps slightly wetter in south compared to average.
Looking at stats forgot how cold May 2021 was, thank goodness such a month not on the way.
-
Quite an interesting month in some respects, the contrast from exceptional warmth first half and notable chill second half.
A likely finish 9.6 degrees masking the large contrast. Think we had more frosts this month than in February and March.
-
On the cusp of the best period of the year here in the Lake District, the glorious month of May arrives tomorrow! How different things feel right now compared to opposite end of the year when the clocks go back and November looms!
A warm feeling day despite no sunshine, light winds, a slight mugginess. Temps max 16.5 degrees, not bad at all.
May looks like starting on a fairly mixed note but decent spells of warm sunshine on the way, Thursday looks a cracker for the region, bank holiday weekend too early to call, but likely very mixed, and temps around or a bit above.
-
7
-
-
Summer Sun A hold as expected, we might scrape up to 9.7 degrees given tomorrow looking mild, we shall see, but my guess is 9.6 degrees as I predicted, not claiming this was scientific evidence based!
-
1
-
-
The mini drought is over, after 9 predominantly dry days the rain is back. A miserable Monday, chilly, max 10.5 degrees.
-
7
-
-
This thread fast becoming a summer chat thread, there is a separate thread for discussing summer prospects. Alas with only May left I expect this thread to become more one of reflecting on the Spring just gone.
So far it has by and large from a sunshine and dry perspective been a poor one, will May make up for this. Typically we see sunshine levels near their annual peak in May and lengthy dry periods can be a strong feature of the month along with the first notable warmth of the year, low to mid 20s can easily be achieved under large high pressure systems directly aloft, under modest upper air temps, don't need southerly plumes.
I'm not gaining a sense of any prolonged very dry very warm weather anytime soon, but things can quickly change.
-
Probably hit the low point now, although might drop to 9.4 degrees tomorrow as maxes today have been preety low. A good bet finish is 9.6 degrees, which happens to be my prediction!, not an especially above average month, but very comfortably so yet again, 1.7 degree above 61-90 mean, more than 1.5 degree above which seem par for the course nowadays and nothing special.
-
1
-
-
Yet again, just the slighest spit and spot of rain, but essentially dry. Another chilly one, maxed just about 11 degrees under a cold stiff wind. Sun trying to burst through.
Next week increasingly likely to bring first taste of proper warmth of the season, mid to high teens in any sunshine will feel very pleasant indeed. We also lose the risk of frosts. The last 10 days have been very frosty and stunted growth somewhat. May is around the corner and its full steam ahead growth wise hereon in. Great moment in the year with May and June (the best months of the year in all ways in my view!) beckoning and hopes of a good warm fine summer.
-
8
-
-
Just an observation about the near-term, a low pressure system that developed to our south is currently pushing north through east half of UK it then splits into two into a broad cyclonic low tomorrow, advects west then sinks back south to where it developed. Not often we see such synoptics, but if ever a time of year for low pressure to track on abnormal pathways its now.
-
5
-
-
Quite unusual to see a system track south to north to our east, leaving much of west half of region dry at least. Looking to my west there are blue skies and its very clear. After the endless rain of recent months, we have had by and large 8 dry days on the trot, and today could be the 9th.
-
5
-
-
Summer Sun As expected another 0.2 degree drop, probably fall by another 0.1 or 0.2 degrees todays readings, then a hold tomorrow thanks to milder minima.
-
Faintest of spits and spots in the air, radar showing light blue only, not expecting anything much. Its still early in the year, in a months time under similiar synoptics I'd be expecting far more convective activity aided by warmer temps. Alas a fine albeit cloudy day. Great visibility and ideal walking weather, getting out and doing exercise without breaking a sweat instantly, temps a cool 10.5 degrees.
Tomorrow remains uncertain, where will the frontal rain track..
-
6
-
-
WYorksWeather Yes there comes a turning point about third week of May, by then the sun is as strong as in late July and even if temps are mid teens at best under light winds and full sun it feels every bit summer to me by then thanks to the long light. Same with third week of Nov feels we are plunged firmly into winter thanks to weak sun and low light even if temps still into the teens.
-
2
-
-
Well im not quite sure how we are missing the showers, Ive run the radar past 2-3 hrs and by slim margins we've stayed dry. Im always perplexed how convection builds out of nowhere, how showers can fizzle in situ as they approach but then 2 miles down the road a mass of convection builds. Its that kind of set up. The chaos of weather. Believe it or not we are on our 7th consecutive day of trace rain, must have been one of driest places last 7 days.
-
6
-
-
A run of fine clear evenings here is resulting in extended daylight until 9pm and later. We are hurtling headstrong into the lightest part of the year, evenings in May have same light levels almost akin to July and give a summer feel to proceedings. Its remarkable how the feel of everything changes from now through to late May, which by then is near peak light, it also adds to a sense must make plans and the most of the light, it will be the solstice before we know it.
-
3
-
-
Probably be on 9.6 degrees for 26th, 9.5 or 9.4 degrees 27th, then a hold 28th, and possible 0.1-0.2 rise 29th and 30th. Finish likely 9.5 to 9.6 degrees I feel, outside chance 9.4 or 9.7.
-
1
-
-
Windermere rain shield, can see lots of green and yellow on radar all around me, and showers in the air, yet we are still dry, only a matter of time before heavens open possibly.
Its a chilly 10 degrees, another widespread air frost tonight . Turning into a notably frosty cold spell.
-
5
-
-
Cumbria cold pole synoptics, light northerly drift and cold uppers overhead recipe for freezing nights. Shap as low as -6.2 degrees. These are the synoptics that in winter would deliver ice days and widespread double digit minus mins. Alas its late April.
Despite lots of sun out there, the air is notably cold.
-
7
-
-
Azazel April and May have the prospect of summer to come and for this reason I always feel are the most positive of months.
-
1
-
Spring 2024
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted · Edited by damianslaw
Wade Over twice the normal rainfall in much of Cumbria combined with well below average sunshine cancels out the mild temps, indeed only a little above average, especially given they coincided with rain and dull windy weather. A very poor month, bit of a shocker given April is often our driest month with decent sunshine. The dry weather at the end was far too cold to enjoy.