london-snow
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Posts posted by london-snow
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30 minutes ago, snowking said:
as @Nick F suggested earlier, probably best not to concern yourself with too much more than +144 for now.
Points of the morning,Their is no definitive clear trend beyond d6 which takes us to the 19th, Now forgive me if i am incorrect but wasn’t the implications post the ssw to be felt after the 20th possibly a few days further? Add to this we have also seen a further warming which effects could be felt towards late January. All leads me to feel that we are in with a very decent chance however those dice has not stopped rolling on the table.
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36 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
Just going to leave this here
A person with near 10 thousand posts should know better..
All about trends my friends and nothing is nailed on yet.
except from the miserable heavy rain currently having after experiencing a cold and cloudy drab past week.
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Can we just get to this possible cold outbreak before talking snow chances, duration of the spell itself etc etc..
I feel that it will calm a lot of nerves and toy throwing and doom and booms..
The uk north to south, east to west is a tiny mass of land not even a thousand miles HUNDREDS which equates to needle in a haystack when trying to pin down weather patterns especially when the abnormal occurs such as a ssw.
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Just an observation but don’t we usually see e-w patterns back west (westward correction) as time progresses towards a possible cold outbreak from the east or north east.
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18 minutes ago, CSC said:
I see a lot tonight suffering from post Chart watching depression. Remember this is ONE run. Albeit, it didn’t go the way some may have hoped but it’s ONLY ONE run. Wait until tomorrow before having any more predictions!
I think all scenarios are still on the table and even t120 no one knows, so for those guessing what’s happening in 6 weeks time saying cold is gone and our hopes our lost, baffle me to be honest.
Cold is in our sights and I believe one way or another, it is coming in it’s masses! Best opportunity here in a long time. Heads up NW community! Onto the pub run now...
6 weeks time takes us up to mid-late February,
I have been keeping an eye closely on the models since mid November as well as this fantastic forum with great input from the strat lads & lasses however we cannot seem to strike it rich so to speak!
However some are quick to dismiss a possible cold outbreak circa 19th-22nd of January are a bit quick to jump the gun imo as we have seen the past days of ensembles scattering on or just after the date mentioned so imo very much all cards on the table.
Lets see where we are at come Monday morning..
Stay Safe
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Brilliant cell just overhead frequently cloud to ground and booming thunder.
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Looking at the radar now everything east is taking a nw dive so atm can’t see how the se will join in.
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Gone very humid all of a sudden after a brief few hours.
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Where does people get 4am from (I,E LIFT OFF), Imo storms should start rocking se/ea around a hours time and into London at 00:00, we’ll see good luck all.
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As I stated earlier on I feel that (if you look at the radar returns) storms will start firing up ahead of main band west of Pompey and into London and for the main crackerjack into west of Brighton northeastwards..
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Just now, Harry said:
Definitely S-N movement on those French cells - let’s all keep our fingers, toes and other paraphernalia crossed!
Wouldn’t be surprised if those shower bands started to become active ahead of that main action in the next hour or two.
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Spitting out with what I would class as tropical rain here very humid and large warm raindrops.
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Think we have lift off and imo we’ll see our lightning show sooner than expected maybe 11pm-12am..
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Good luck and goodnight those east of Kent, Looking forward to your snaps tomorrow..
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What is causing this back building of torrential rain?
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This is pretty bad it’s been heavy rain for 16 hours and their has been local flooding, looking at the radar a line of very heavy rain is set to hit very soon in south London.
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This band reminds me of a winter special. Yes folks the Thames streamer but in rain.
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2 minutes ago, Ramp said:
Agreed, in fact I’d go as far as saying this crucial ECM is make or break
make or break for the sanity of this thread
Must have missed something, Why so crucial when promised lands is at long range?
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You know what makes me laugh is that this could have been a major event if lower dps and a notch down on the temp come then this would be big big news, However slushy snow fest atm..
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Ohfs will this misery of a band ever move off..
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5 minutes ago, kold weather said:
Latest UKMO radar update suggests the whole thing is still lifting northwards, and does actually give my area some moderate snow between 1-2am.
Do I bother staying up? Its all been a total waste of time so far?!
Waste of time that band has just about crossed us I’d say 3cms on cars & roofs about a dust on pavement and nothing on roads.
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Meto has heavy snow from midnight into 8am here I guess it may be the back building or possibly strong shower activity. Either way I’m dissatisfied and will retire to my steak chips and diane sauce
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Absolutely terrible radar returns maybe a brief hour of heavy snow but that looks it..
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Worth bearing in mind that a lot of shower activity or possibly more organised bands will not be factored in until earliest 24 hours prior.