Eugene
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Posts posted by Eugene
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Yes here in midlands it felt scorching in the sun in recent days as early as 10am in the morning completely overriding the arctic air, the less cold air over the weekend because of cloudy damp conditions will feel colder, day length is the same as late September now so its no wonder the sun is so strong.
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Na save the warm dry weather for a month or so, March use to be a wintry month back in the 80's, plenty and plenty of time from April to October for warmth.
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Apart from tuesday which was wonderfully spring like and sunny its been absolutely horrendous until now with very murky conditions and persistent light rainfall and not feeling that mild without no sun at all and all from very mild air from the south showing the mildies mild atlantic air is no good for sunny spring like weather, funny enough the cold they hate so much will bring some lovely sunshine later this week and it will feel more springlike than much milder uppers of late last week yet they still hunt for those mild moist SW'lys
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Yes its been a pretty good winter overall with cold snaps/spells in each winter month even December had a cold first half and January offered many their best snow cover in a long time, February has seen less snow cover than January but has offered more consistent cold spells, lots of model disagreement this winter but most of the time whilst not verifying megacold have verified cold instead of mild, i think the last week of February was looking mild and SW'ly just ten days ago which isn't the case now.
Shows you not to always back the mild formhorse like so many still do, one or two more surprises with winter before mid April i feel.
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but a brisk easterly wind, low dewpoints and some hard frosts is welcome to me for sure . Great weather pattern and so much better than the interminable atlantic driven wet weather we have seen for so long (irrespective of whatever track the jet stream has taken)
Great to see someone see what the charts are actually showing, nice cool cold snap end of the week with -4C at night 3C by day typically.
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Chilly start with fog now clearing to allow sunny breaks, hardly the cool cloudy weather all week some are saying, i expect lots of sunshine from wednesday for us west midlanders with even clearer skies than today with harsh morning frosts, lovely weather, can't understand the gloom at all, i guess they really want 14C and dark/gloomy weather and damp conditions.
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http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3121.png - Nice start to spring.
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3124.png - If you are a slug that is
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Yes gavin you are right, i just want some prolonged dry weather as like you say unsettled periods are no good for country walking, the reason i favour cold and dry is because the countryside is still very very muddy and until the sun really increases in strength that is the best way to help me on my country walks with firm underfoot conditions after harsh night frost, GFS 06Z ensembles were probably too late for this update, GFS 00Z ensembles were similar for early March though and i didnt see the ensembles for yesterday so maybe they showed mild wet sw'lys too, sounds like you arent that into unsettled weather even if mild.
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Doesn't seem like they are buying the GFS 06Z ensemble mean for early March, can see them changing their 16 to 30 day outlook back and forth
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We are honoured to have you visit our midlands discussion thread ian, we hope to see more of you in here
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I'm hoping for a cold March and April dominated by drying dry arctic northerly/northwesterly winds followed by a HP dominated May but not too warm for walking in the countryside, cold weather doesn't feel that cold with sunshine by April anyway, polar maritime WNW'lys can feel very pleasant indeed like today with lots of nice sunshine.
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lol does it really matter if its been downgraded, it was always going to turn to rain anyway and we've had lots of snow and cold temps for the past few weeks, extremely happy with the prolonged cold spell and don't mind a near average spell ahead, had my fix of cold and snowy weather for a while
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Fantastic cold spell for us west midlanders, a real wintry scene outside with more light snow falling and feeling very cold indeed, no thaw here for the foreseeable future, its entertaining to read the northerners moaning and SE'ners about a slight thaw tomorrow, no problems here in central warwickshire
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It would be great if someone could make a thread up with the lowest and highest thicknesses on record for england and wales for each individual month of the year.
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Good to see the OP at the top line in 2M temperatures next week.
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West midland conurbationers if you don't see much snow in your urban jungles don't forget the snow paradise of the Cotswolds is just around the corner
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Environmental agency say the risk of flooding will last until the spring/summer.
What they mean by this is not necessarily we are in for a wet few months, its just the ground is so saturated with water and with evaporation levels low until the spring, the ground will just not dry out, what we desperately need is a prolonged cold spell to freeze it until the stronger spring sun comes and helps dry it out, a few days of mild sunny weather in January won't help much at all.
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lol oh i see the Mayan theory
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I don't mean to get your spirits down further folks but this may well have been our last shot. Afterall December 21st is literally just around the corner lol
I hope you mean for December, if you mean winter as a whole you really are setting yourself for one almighty fall.
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Yes Jan 2010 was very cold but i think January 1987 was even colder and January 1979 the last January below 0C, with Dec 2010 being below 0C it would be even better to have Dec's 2010 synoptics occur in January when the seas surrounding us are colder and europe colder, it will be very difficult to achieve though as January can be the stormiest month of the year.
I think you mean the winter of 2009/10 which was the 8th coldest since 1900 so i assume you are going for this winter to be similar to that one in coldness, ok that would do me but i hope for something even colder if possible
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Excellent thread and very interesting to read, looks very promising regarding our winter prospects and it looks like January could well be the coldest month of the winter.
Can the experts give their opinion on the odds on the possibility of January being the coldest January since 1979/1987?....and what are our chances of a severe winter with all three winter months cold to very cold this winter or in winters in the near future?, something we haven't seen since 1962/63 though 1978/79 was a severe winter December 1978 wasn't cold.
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It hasn't started yet !
The cold has started Ian, it snowed in many places last night giving a decent covering on high ground, lovely cold crisp day today also here.
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Ian Brown i see doing his best job to play down any cold outbreak as best as he can as usual, always looking on the negative side of things, ever heard of being more balanced.
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Thanks Chris, blowtorch SW'ly on the way then for mid December
. Great weather pattern and so much better than the interminable atlantic driven wet weather we have seen for so long (irrespective of whatever track the jet stream has taken)
The Midlands Regional Discussion 2nd March 2013>
in Regional
Posted · Edited by Eugene
Very informative and well written weather guide Tony, yes feeling more pleasant tomorrow in any sunny spells, not sure how widespread the showers will be tomorrow here in warwickshire, could get away with hardly any.