BA Baracus
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Posts posted by BA Baracus
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Im in the Met Office amber warning area. Met Office app states 3 hrs of sleet. If human forecasters say one thing and the app says another, do they not have some sort of error message in their system to prevent confusing messages to the public?
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Based on recent forecasts and model output I am no longer expecting snow tomorrow. A shame but no point getting wound up about it. Hopefully plenty more winter prospects over the next 3-4 months!
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BBC weather (Stav) just showed the snow all way up to almost Newcastle tomorrow then more on Monday towards Pennines.
Met office have upgraded my snow forecast since yesterday.
Models show it all further south.
So currently BBC/met office Vs computers!
Will it snow??? Snow idea!
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I made a gif of snow forecast from GFS 06 data. Much easier to see snow potential from multiple time stamps than just one specific. Shows the amber warning area under snow for pretty much 24hrs.
Hope the link works!
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The met office snow/ice warning has moved ever so slightly eastward. Now covers much of west Yorkshire with Leeds and Wakefield on the eastern edge.
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4 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:
Less talked about is the potential for ground-flooding due to the rainfall forecast, FL has a aquifer-system beneath the state not only potentially raising the ground-water upwards but also stopping any rain-water from easily draining away due to the combination of the both.
With that in mind, is there any potential for a 'brown-ocean' effect to happen over FL due to the everglades and swamplands.Looking at local news sites there are a few that have storm surges warnings that are quite a way inland separate from the sea. Not sure if this is just due to rainfall flooding lakes/rivers or the surge from the sea pushing back up through the underground water system?
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Whilst on holiday previously in Florida, Bay News 9 boasted that they have the most advanced broadcast weather radar in the world. Should make for good viewing as Irma approaches.
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7 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:
Is there any high land on that island, i don't think they can get off now, although it was a while ago, may be they did after all the messing around. Got fingers crossed for them.
The time is Florida time, so I'm guessing pic is literally 15 minutes ago. No escape unfortunately.
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42 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:
If that's now surely once the real rough stuff comes along those people have no where to go. Why did people on the islands stay.
Yes, the time capture suggests 630pm UK time so the storm hasn't really got going yet and it's already washing up and over the sea wall.
The link below provides an indication of Key West elevation. It's basically b****r all.
http://www.cityofkeywest-fl.gov/topic/subtopic.php?topicid=82
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Couple of wallies in Key West. They don't look that old either.
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Intense rainfall rates around royston area near Wakefield/Barnsley
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Next radar blob to watch is the one south west of Huddersfield. Will this intensify in the same way as the one near Barnsley or die a death?
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Just now, Mark Walker said:
Constant rumbling started south of Wakefield in the last 2 mins. Coming from the Barnsley cell
Yes, I'm a long way from it but sounds quite active!
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Distant rumbles now. Think it's from the storm just north east of Barnsley
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Skies definitely building here. Looking on xc weather at the wind directions there appears to be convergence from Newcastle down towards the peak District. This ties in with the latest radar where the showers are forming then drifting east. East of A1 from south Yorkshire northwards would be my guess at most likely areas for storms.
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Sun / cloud mix here but incredibly stuffy. Skies look to be darkening to the south beyond emley moor transmitter.
Were the storms in SW Scotland forecast, not seen much mention on here.
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1 minute ago, cheese said:
Huge hailstones!
We just had the rain, no hail unfortunately. Now gloriously sunny and feeling very warm and sticky.
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Can't here thunder due to sound of rain on conservatory roof. Not seen rain like this ever!
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The rain rate is just immense, flooding everywhere.
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Biblical rain now and constant thunder
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Large spots of rain and continuous rumbling here. Very dark over towards emley transmission tower.
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2 minutes ago, richjb78 said:
aaaaaaand WE HAVE THUNDER
Yep, heard a couple of deep rumbles too. Torrential rain here, drains overflowing and full of leaves. Great autumn weather!
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Some heavier showers now showing up in the south west. Still super warm here but much more humid with quite a bit of cloud.
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2 minutes ago, Spikecollie said:
Starting to get nice and active off the northwest coast of Ireland...
Couple of strikes off western Scotland too
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
in Regional
Posted
Understand that and I never pay attention but many friends / family with little interest in the weather rely solely on the app forecast. Surely if there is a warning for severe weather some sort of manual override should kick in.
Enough moaning, latest charts and models looking good for most of area and temps looking to be just above freezing for most of the day. Hopefully any snow won't be washed away or instantly melt!