jtay
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Posts posted by jtay
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Info please,during the day some very light snowflakes,coming home just now its raining,its not a wind up im about 10 miles south of Salisbury,anyone else seeing this.
Not raining here jy. It's not doing anything.
Next village up from Downton.
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The log man called earlier to book Wednesday in for our next delivery. However, judging by the UKMO output, I reckon I'm going to struggle to get wood at any point late next week.
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can we spilt the south and southwest now?
We need you to tell us when the snow's coming.
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It should be said that it also has some stronger pulses from Yeovil southwards which travels west to east, regions such as northern new forest might be pleasantly surprised if this came off.
Agreed. I've seen this on a few runs. The exposed area between the M27 and Godshill, along Roger Penny Way, often do better than us due to that extra bit of elavation.
A mini flurry of mini-flakes now
Despite there not actually being much on the radar in my patch at the moment
QS, are you still convalescing?
We can arrange for shipment of soup, lemsip and man-size tissues, if it'll assist with the recovery in time for tomorrow.
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In Dec 10 my neighbour got really peed off with me knocking on her door asking her if she needed cat food.
Old people don't eat cat food.
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Our light snow is now a little less light. We're almost in flurry territory.
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Currently under a leaden sky, but the lightest snow has been falling since 8:30am.
A pleasant hors d'oeuvre, before we stuff ourselves silly tomorrow.
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my hunch says this will be the biggest snow event for central southerners of this millenia! this is NOT to be taken lightly i encourage you to stock up on supplies (minimum of 2 months) expect rolling powercuts too
A minimum of 2 months... On a hunch... And no smilies... Blimey.
Hi, been lurking on here for a while but never posted. I was just wondering how you all think north west Hampshire (close to Salisbury) will be affected as we're very rural. Thanks :-)
I'm the other side of Salisbury to you. It'll be awesome. We're far enough east to avoid any mild rubbish and west enough for the bulk of the precipitation.
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Very nice!! Sun has finally bucked up here too!
Thanks Coast. A lunchtime question too, if I may. We all love a 'what should I do?' post, I know I sure do.
I did consider putting it in the Model Output Dilemma thread, for the attention of Nick, Steve, Batman, etc, but our resident experts might be able to assist.
I'm due to be tiling a 'bon bon purple' cooker splashback on Saturday morning, but I'm wondering at which point I can tell the love of my life that she can poke it.
If I wait until it's snowing on Friday evening, the ensuing heated debate may take the shine from the weekend's high jinx atop Clearbury hill.
Ideally, I'd like to get the discussion out of the way this evening, as the following silent treatment will also aid my enjoyment of tonight's FA cup 3rd round reply between United and West Ham. You will understand however, that any last minute downgrade would mean a pointless row, a soul destroying green awakening on Saturday morning and subsequently, a botched tiling job. Hopefully you'll understand the bind I'm in.
The question is... can I rely on the models as they stand? I'm inclined to wait for this evening's 12z NAE at 48hrs, explain the predicament and settle in for a goal and snow fest.
What say you Netweather buddies?
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A fantastic sight before sunrise this morning along the Avon Valley path on the way to the bakery in Downton, Wilts.
Thought it worthy of a post.
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Very cold and clear in Southampton tonight - perfect for a spot of astrophotography
You can't say that without posting some pics. Stick 'em in your gallery.
Friday morning looking very interesting and very complicated! I don't think we'll have a clear picture until tomorrows 12z... I wonder if/when the meto will upgrade their yellow snow to orange snow!?
It'll be shifted 30/40 miles east by the morning I suspect.
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Just popped in here to see how the excitement is building at the front door so to speak. Expectations building in most of the forums. Let's hope we get an event to remember; by George, we deserve it!
We're too cool for school in here.
If it happens, it happens.
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yellow warning
Watch this space...
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Yep ive written off this winter now personally for us on the coast, looking at the strength of the Jet like i said last week, its powering up, looking very wet again, not good after all the rain we have had! I just cant see it changing, think there is far to much straw clutching going on and too many getting hyped up about the SSW
Come on, chin up. It's a beautiful day, we've got a yellow warning for Friday and due to a shopping malfunction at the weekend, I've just had pizza for lunch.
Today is a good day. Friday might be great.
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Hi ian what is your take on the developing ppn over wales heading towards us?
You can quite clearly see it's heading for the hants/wilts/dorset border.
John
(on the hants/wilts/dorset border)
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Im glad someone posted this. He said last week that saturday night would see some snow to the north of here up in Somerset. And possible Sunday.
He then mentioned bothersome snow for today. And we've had none. Its been rain showers this evening, so i feel a bit let down.
The operative word when getting down to detail in these situations is 'could'.
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Nothing overnight on the Hants/Wilts border and steady rain now.
Always one of the saddest sights of the year.
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Ignore everything snowise from Wednesday onwards, models struggle to see areas such as PPN around that point. Hence the NAE High res model.
SM
Exactly. In these situations, where the cold is established; look out for phrases like 'we're keeping an eye on this little feature', or similar from the beeb. That'll be where your snow comes from.
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Blimey your Harvester is very progressive, ours just offers combo's and platters.
hahahaha
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Where do they class the border of far west?
Pretty much the dashed line on this fax chart http://t.co/lUIw7tLS , although it's tricky to make it out.
or you could take note of what the professional says above instead. ha.
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Southampton City Council have just posted a link to their school closures webpage on FriendFace
Are you feeling lucky for Monday Katemart? The Meto warning boundary goes straight through Lordswood.
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Great video by Peter Gibbs about SSW and how that affects models.
That is very good. It also turns out that Peter Gibbs is God.
Who'd have thought it.
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A whole load of eye candy from this run;
Remember, don't take these charts literally. The GFS has made big steps towards a much colder/snowier pattern over its last few runs compared to its runs the last couple of days.
A westward correction of 50-100 miles is nothing and is easily possible at this stage.
And the last chart by AWD is where we should leave it for now. The GFS might back off a bit at that range overnight, but don't worry about it.
Good fun ahead.
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Latest GFS upgrades snow for our region on Saturday... Bound to change....
It does. Falls more in line with Meto.
South West/Central Southern England Regional Discussion 17th Januray 2013, 12z Onwards
in Regional
Posted
That was funny though.
Interviewer : When did you start?
Lady : Drinking?
Interviewer : No, the fitness.