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Everything posted by SussexmarkyMark
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Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat
SussexmarkyMark replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
And an inky black sky to the west, as the rain starts to fall -
Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts
SussexmarkyMark replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Perhaps the 'enthusiasts' should have spent over 11 hours on the A23 between Crawley and Brighton on Monday night, like I did, and they might be a little less enthusiastic about disruptive snow. It's certainly changed my view of snow and has increased my longing for some spring warmth considerably. Still only 5c today and well below average unfortunately. -
South East/East Anglia Regional Discussion 11/02/13 00z ----->
SussexmarkyMark replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Settling on cars, and wooden table, in Queens Park area. Also out towards Woodingdean it's settling slightly on the grass. Not settling on footpaths or roads that I have seen though. -
London & South East Regional Discussion 20/01/13 18z -------->
SussexmarkyMark replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Queens Park, Brighton, about 15:30 yesterday when snow was falling quite heavily. Frozen lake in foreground and about 8cm of lying snow. -
London & South East Regional Discussion - January 19th 2013>
SussexmarkyMark replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
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London & South East Regional Discussion - January 19th 2013>
SussexmarkyMark replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Looks like straight into Kent and Sussex to me- 1,325 replies
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London & South East Regional Discussion 18th January 2013, 12z onwards
SussexmarkyMark replied to Coast's topic in Regional
Just back from a bracing walk along the prom in Brighton/Hove. Horizontal snow in a bitter SE wind. Mini snowdrifts on the beach up against the promenade wall. I would post a picture, but can't work out how to ! Snow now ceased, and about 8cm in garden (slightly away from the promenade and up a hill) -
London & South East Regional Discussion - January 14th 2013 12z Onwards
SussexmarkyMark replied to Coast's topic in Regional
Thanks Steve. I'd gathered than from your post. Was just surprised the 'experts' hadn't worked that one out less than 24 hours ago. Thanks for all your useful updates, by the way.- 861 replies
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London & South East Regional Discussion - January 14th 2013 12z Onwards
SussexmarkyMark replied to Coast's topic in Regional
So I'm guessing all the heavy snow showers 'pushing well inland' for Tuesday and Wednsday across the SE region - as described on yesterday's BBC Countryfile forecast - have been cancelled ? If that's the case, it's a pretty poor showing from the BBC forecasters. Not much point doing a weekly forecast if they can't get day two right- 861 replies
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It's updated for icy roads, not snow, I think
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London & The South East Regional Discussion - Part 12
SussexmarkyMark replied to kold weather's topic in Regional
That seems very high. Are you recording close to a building with possible ambient heat ? I currently have 1.4, which is quite similar to the official reading at Shoreham at 1pm which is 1.6. -
Indeed, although not entirely due to altititude, more due to proximity to the sea. When the heaviest of the snow was falling on Saturday night, the wind was very strong from the SSE and mixing in a lot of less cold air off the sea, so no lying snow on the seafront, whereas other low lying areas about a mile from the sea (for example Moulscoombe) had snow right down to sea level. The upcoming event I think would be of snow right down to the coast, as the mixing in of the air over the sea will not occur in the same way, but alas at present the trajectory does not look too great for this far SE. Having said that, however, there are already showers showing on the radar much further south, so, who knows :unsure:
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Doomed 'again' ? Did you travel around Brighton at all on Sunday ? Tobogganing going on in Stanmer Park, Wild Park, East Brighton Park (upper sections), Woodingdean, Hollingbury, Race Hill, and about 6 inches of snow on Devils Dyke and Ditchling Beacon. Still there now on the Dyke and the Beacon if you want to go for a snowy walk
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Significant Snow Risk This Weekend - General Discussion
SussexmarkyMark replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Not really, sorry. Struggle with the colours, (blues, pinks, whatever they are) so have to save then to desktop and get a friend to tell me which are rain and which are snow, so the full set would help, then could work out if it stays as snow or turns to rain. That's a daltonist for you unfortunately -
Significant Snow Risk This Weekend - General Discussion
SussexmarkyMark replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Do you have the chart in the middle of those two ? The first is 18:00 to 00:00 then the second is 06:00 to 12:00. It misses out the crucial six hours overnight. Thanks -
Model Output Discussion
SussexmarkyMark replied to grab my graupel's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well if the met office call it a 'heatwave', is it not reasonable that everyone else can ? http://www.metoffice.../uk/heathealth/ -
Summer Forecast - Hot & Dry - Shades Of 1976
SussexmarkyMark replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Whilst summer lasts three months, the summer forecast mentions the first part of summer being favoured for the best weather: "Within the summer, we expect the core of the hot and settled weather to occur during June and July, particularly June which we think will be very pleasant with high pressure in charge across much of western Europe and the UK." If this is the core of the hot weather ( a three day warm snap), then I dread to think what they are expecting August to be like ! -
Point taken. I probably I should have 'quoted' the whole thread, rather than just the one contributor. The point I was trying to make, obviously unsuccessfully, is that you can put as much technical detail in a forecast as you want, but it matters not one jot if the forecast turns out to be inaccurate, particularly if you are going to use headlines like 'Hot and Dry Summer - Shades of 1976'. It's a big risk.
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Not at all. I just think it's very dangerous to congratulate someone (or group of people) for a seasonal forecast before it has actually happened. The technical aspect was very reasoned and logical, but it doesn't guarantee success. All I meant was that current indications are that the first half of June MAY have the high pressure much further west than the seasonal forecast was suggesting, but only time will tell and then we can all make our judgement.
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New Model Analysts' Thread
SussexmarkyMark replied to Osbourne One-Nil's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Well from the little I know about the software that runs these forums, that would be technically very difficult. Would rely on you all copying and pasting everything and I can't see that happening. I really just don't like the 'feel' of it. Netweather provide two main 'services' as I see it. A weather forecasting service that keeps visitors to the site up to date on what they should expect short-term and long-term (seasonal forecasts) and then separately a forum for people to discuss the weather in all its forms. But now there is this hybrid where you can watch some members discussing matters, but can not comment, without going into a second-class area. I've always hated scenarios when certain people are treated second best to others, particularly when it is the ones that shout loudest that win over those that prefer to stay a bit quieter. If you look at the posts that some of the elite members have been posting over the last week about amazing easterlies from mid-January, it really shows that they know little more than those of us who prefer to be a little more circumspect I think I'm should give it a miss for a while, as I can see it will start to irritate me quite quickly -
New Model Analysts' Thread
SussexmarkyMark replied to Osbourne One-Nil's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I see you have a gatecrasher at the elite party. A Bluearmy has started posting and he doesn't appear on the guest list. It's all very weird - you have two parallel threads now, discussing the same thing. A them and an us. It's very irritating having to flit back and forth between the two. It seems to have been a knee-jerk reaction to a busy period on the original thread though our exceptional December, but now we have a less exceptional period of weather, the parallel thread seems superfluous.