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RhysWales

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Posts posted by RhysWales

  1. 8 minutes ago, LJ1224 said:

    The met office for Port Talbot says nothing, BBC pretty much has light snow until 5am. Plus the radar still has a huge patch of snow over us. I'm a little confused.

    I've been using this for the past hour or (https://www.rain-alarm.com/) Seems that when under blue there was very little snow around, but the green seems to be delivering, so hopefully a few green bits pop up over Port Talbot! Seems like it's waxing and waning though the heavier pulses.

    • Like 1
  2. The odd flake blowing around in the wind here. Get the west region TV where I live- and Ian Ferguson just mentioned the fact it's all moving a lot slower than anticipated and it's touch and go whether it makes it to the northern areas of the SW, so doesn't bode well for us.

    Unless there's a turnaround, tonight does match the rest of the winter doesn't it? I'll be a lot more dubious about background signals, SSWs, amber warnings and precipitation charts from hereon in. Take a look at the precipitation chart here, completely contradicts all of the others, but actually matches what's happening right now. Disappointing: https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/netwx-sr

  3. Work in Langstone just on the outskirts of Newport. The odd sleety flake mixed in the drizzle at the moment. Be nice if that colder air mixes in before front moves away to give a couple ouole of surprises. Shower activity could be good overnight though and Thursday is continuing to shape up nicely! 

  4. Bored waiting for an appointment at the Doctors. So here's my forecast for the week. Based on an amateur look at the models and what others are saying... 

    Tuesday: A wintry mix moving through Wales quite quickly. Nothing but rain to lower levels in the south with some sleet for the valleys and snow to higher ground Mid Wales and north. North Wales seeing also snow but lighter. 

    Tuesday night- Wednesday: plenty of showers piling through on a NW-SE trajectory. Snow for all other than coastal areas in the south, where we'll see sleet unless it's during nighttime hours. 

    Thursday: Snow moves in from the west, sleet for lower levels to begin with but turning to snow in heavier pulses. Turning to sleet as it moves through. Anyone with elevation getting some good depths. 

    Early Friday--Early Saturday: a band of snow returns across Wales from the N/ NE bringing snow for all. How much? Not a clue.

    Accumulations for anyone with height north of Merthyr pretty good, Valleys to do well from Thursday, lower levels in the south to see something Thursday and hope for something decent Friday. 

    And still waiting for my appointment... 

  5. 1 minute ago, Panayiotis said:

    Hopefully we see a few flakes in Cardiff tonight! I mean a dusting would be nice! Anyone in Newport like to report what they’re getting? 

    Zilch! I was about two miles west of the first shower. Looks like I may be on the very eastern fringe of the one heading towards east of Cardiff now. The blob after it looks like it's heading for Bridgend/ west of Cardiff. Be happy with a sprinkling just to enhance the frost in the morning! Haha.

    Good to see others getting their first flakes! Hopefully this is the curtain raiser for winter!

    • Like 1
  6. 3 minutes ago, andymusic said:

    well there's always hope - typical though that gfs has been placing snow showers all over wales except the very small part of the south east - and yes, unless there's some strong fronts or hefty showers - traversing north west to south east or north to south presents the snow with a mountainous problem in Wales - the guys up north and mid-wales invariably get theres but by the time it gets to us after the beacons it's sucked dry lol - keep the faith though there are exceptions to the rule but maybe we'll need to wait for the easterly that may or may not show it's face shortly

    It would be the unluckiest winter I remember if we do miss out on any fun and games this time around. I get the feeling we'll see something like January 2013, but it's so frustrating seeing the potential for something really memorable to come off!

  7. 20 minutes ago, freeze for all said:

    Perfectly describes this winter lol

    Screenshot_20190111-110526_Samsung Internet.jpg

    It's reminding me of 2011-12. So close synoptically to hitting the jackpot but we're always on the edge of it all. Although 2011-12 I seem to remember the east of England and Midlands doing really well in the February, which made that worse! Still time for it to turn around- we're only just into the second half of winter, but it is frustrating! 

    Haven't seen Derek's forecast, but if he's mentioning a dusting even to lower levels, then we're in for a blizzard tomorrow. Not expecting anything though! Good luck to those with elevation further north!

  8. 4 hours ago, johnholmes said:

    Actually for the Midlands and north into March; this is a brilliant site

    http://swanstonweather.co.uk/EppingWeatherPages/Index.html

    Sorry for the complete off-topic post, but thanks for that! The top picture is of a house just two doors down from me! Ties in to my nan's stories about my auntie being born in the middle of that snowstorm. There was apparently a snow/ ice pile in the back garden until the June of that year!  I'd pay lots of money to see just half of that in my lifetime!

    • Like 5
  9. Had to put a coat on going out for a cigarette earlier, so knew it was time to get back on here. In @Jayfromcardiff's absence so far... snow chances in Cardiff tomorrow? 

    I laughed someone off earlier when they suggested snow tomorrow- who knows? What's most interesting at the moment is the overall patterns. Could be in for something this winter- feeling it. Although I was feeling it in 2013/14 too...

    • Like 1
  10. 28 minutes ago, reef said:

    Today just highlights how rubbish the two easterlies were here in February and March. We barely managed a cm of snow in each of those events yet today with a similar but milder flow we've seen 16.4mm of rain.

    It was either just very unlucky or the North Sea was too cold by then.

    Also shows the drastic differences a couple of hundred miles can make in our island climate. I would have thought you would have done a lot better than me! In one of the milder areas here in SE Wales and don't usually do particularly well from easterlies, but had more snow on 1st March than December 2010 here. Then a good fall a fortnight later too. Shame it all disappeared so quickly. Fingers crossed for a sustained easterly in mid Winter this year!

  11. 1 hour ago, mulzy said:

    So back to coolish Atlantic driven gunk then?

    Nah, the summer was amazing.  There will be a few (odd)  people like you who didn't appreciate the summer but the vast majority I know loved it!

    More than a few I'd say, and it's all subjective isn't it? 

    I'm in no way a fan of the heat- but like the sunshine/ daylight. My ideal would be to live in the northern reaches of Scandinavia in the summer, and then back down further south for winter, but not too south to miss the cold... 

    For this summer for me, it was good- not too humid, and so sunny. Well, June and July at least. August felt like such a dull month, even though it was pretty average in reality- but was happy for the cooler temperatures by then. 

    Went for 'Mostly good' as I think I heard one clap of thunder all summer, and there were points in July when I would have liked a bit of a break from it. August was just bland- not good, not bad. 

    Now bring on a wet and windy Autumn- barring the March craziness it seems like we've had a really benign period of weather the past couple of years. 

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