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The watcher

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Everything posted by The watcher

  1. wow that is good......though they do go a bit extremem with snow at a max of 6c on Sunday lol, unless of course its a morning event with milder air moving in during afternoon. Also I don't see tonights event on there.....it will arrive here before 6am as they state but probably around Midnight or just before.
  2. I wouldn't worry, warnings from them lot will only appear once it starts to snow or during the day. My current temp is 1.4c, its still early though, I'd probably be looking at a max of around 3c today before dropping to around 1.5c> during dusk.
  3. Well we do know Snow can lye here and in Carrick though this year it has been a bit dissapointing for us East Coasters.....tommorow night it should fall as snow, I'd say around 75% risk of it being snow, remember when we are warmer than the sea a sea breeze occurs, when we are colder a land breeze occurs (heading out to sea) so with the winds being Northerly flow and the shift of air from land to Sea this should create a nice land based wind for us rather than a raging Easterly SST filled blast, thus Snowfall right to the coast...a Northerly or NorthEasterly are usually are best shot for Wintriness in the East, an Easterly need to be very well into the right side of Marginal to deliver right to the coast.
  4. Thoughts, yes I think it'll be snow, all the right ingredients plus bonuses lol, other thoughts are the intensity of the snow....the radar suggests it falling at a rate of 0.3mm an hour....so thats a bit well, crap.....but as you know it'd be hard to judge a scale of precip intensity until it arrives....I'd be expecting it to pep up and become heavier just before it clips the North Coast of Ireland. On another note, with the radar pic for tommorow night that Eagle posted up, just look at the Snow showers lining up to the West and North of the main band! Tasty!
  5. I was watching that band of precipitation all day hoping it would come further North, I knew it had something special in it......unfortunately though it just missed me by about 20miles. Will I see any lying snow this winter???? Tommorow night may hold the answer as it'll be at least this weeks best shot at it.
  6. definitely, no cover this year so I havent had the chance to go out sledging or anything. Last year I built a super large ball, so big that I wasn't able to push it it got so heavy and big which was around 5ft in diameter. The snowcover January 3rd and 4th last year remained until the afternoon of the 4th January when longer periods of at first snow then sleet came in. Me and my brother were the only ones out playing in it, we went sledging at Carnalea golf course.
  7. Lucky buggers......send some up...we haven't had any snowcover this year!
  8. Hi there.another Bangor folk........ Certainly keeping an eye on that band pushing south wednesday Night, as its moving down from the North there will be less of an impact from our coastal waters, it should be more marginal for Northern coasts than Eastern.
  9. Well I got nought last night, wet snow and sleet meaning the ground is saturated today...although in saying that its now colder than it was last night and certainly some convection going up as we head to mid day. If you look at the radar the heavy snow showers over Wales are turning and heading towards the East coast of Ireland and Northern Ireland. Maybe something in the offing late afternoon, in fact cloud here is getting darker and cumulonimbus like with some anvils sprouting, maybe an out of the blue streamer setting up for Northern and Southern areas of the East coast.
  10. Well just had a trip to local tescos and got meself some cheesey balls lol. Its currently intermittent light/moderate sleet/wet snow so its a no go for me.....however as you say, surface temps starting to dip.
  11. Starting to..... SNOW....moderate flakes and not wet as of yet. Temperature now 2.8c, but by sensor is inside a coal bunker so maybe a couple of decimel points too high.
  12. To be honest its a grave possibility that many of us Northern folk will have a big let down, but, remember last year, nothing at all was expected and wham, we hit the motherload....sometimes meto can underestimate or overdo temps and things here....hell they may have done so this time....but theres only hope and no certainty at all as to what we will get tonight. Still nothin here and my temperature has went up by 0.1c...although DP is still -2c.
  13. Light precipitation in the band now only minutes away, should be able to tell soon what will come of this. Also on the netweather radar precip type, theres a large secion in the Irish Sea now classed as rain.
  14. Well, not a drip or drop of any precipitation today, just plain old patchy cumulus off the Irish Sea....the band of persistent rain/snow not due here until around 8-9pm. Although temp here now is currently 2.6c, the 850hpa will be around -4/-5 in the mildest air in tonights mixed upper temps so its a close call. Iam near the coast, around 2-3 miles off it, I don't think it will have much of an effect so long as temperatures are close to or below freezing and dew points are around 0 or sub zero.
  15. Nothing up here in Bangor yet, but looking good so far guys, the reason we have not sen much shower activity up here yet is the shorter sea track but this will change as the Low pressure approaches as the wind will go more favourable and instability gets better. Bring on the trumpsnow!
  16. Never seen any on the radar...must be more cropping up with convection starting to increase. 1.3c now
  17. Haha, I wouldn't worry about the mod's they can take a few rant and raves here and there, they are good folk and really nice people. It wouldn't surprise me if they have....the gritters have been out tonight and they weren't on their usual main road parade, they were gritting all surfaces and small roads which to me suggests that snow is on the cards, otherwise they'd just be gritting main roads. P.S Im tucking into a nice Sunday dinner, roasties and all, was at my friends all day playing darts....50legs of 501 in a row.....my arms stiffer than a frozen kitten. My temperature has dropped very suddenly to 1.4c from 1.8c 10 minutes ago!
  18. If you watch the precip on radar, it quickly grows in intensity as it moves over the Lough, a forebearer of things to come? The -10 uppers are just moving over us now, thats what gave the shower intensity, and well I would not be surprised to see a few more heavier showers cropping up in the next 30mins or so in the Irish Sea. In regards to the Meto forecast, I sincerely doubt Belfast and East coast precipitation tommorow afternoon willbe rain, the milder uppers which only receed to -3/-4c aren't due to arrive until late tommorow evening, and given that snow will have been falling beforehand, ground and air temps will be fairly low even during this milder blip so I'd expect nothing but wet snow or snow to be falling widely. DAM raises to 532, even that is sustainable for snow.
  19. Snowing very lightly here in Bangor but big flakes mixed in...settling too. Current temp is 1.8c. May the games begin. Anyone had a laugh at meto yet, just look at their forecats for Belfast...rain showers tommorow afternoon?....erm NOOOO! LOL
  20. You'd be bitter alright :lol: . Heres hoping you get.
  21. You'd be dissapointed with 14.5cm of snow?????? lol :lol:
  22. Meto are still saying it'll be a wintry mix rather than snow, and they are still showing the more persistant band on Tuesday to be of Sleet turning to rain. Hell even tommorow afternoon they give me light rain showers lol! I don't know what to believe now.
  23. Mods, please remove above post, its too harsh. I'd rather ay this! I Think we should accept that we made the world what it is today and thats all there is to it, now what we gonna do about it? Sit on our fingers and do nothing? Because this is most peoples attitude to the declining resources, animal extinction, warming of our climate, etc etc. or are we going to change our selfish and silly ways and begin to act like a normal animal rather than a parasite?
  24. Seconded.....people are so selfish that all they care about is getting in their wee motor, their freedom, their money, their libido, their health, their life...and to be honest it seems to me humanity has grown so bad in this matter that they've forgotten the beauty that surrounds them, how they were made, why we survive. Fact of the matter is humans have too much brain power and not enough thought processes to go with it. We are so smart yet so Dumb its unbelievable. Humans are a parasite in the way we just think we are #1 and deserve everything the world has to offer, we waste resources, we eat anything and everything, we undermine all other living creatures and we blind ourselves to any disasters that loom because all we care about is LIVING FOR TODAY! The human emotion is a wasted thing for the majority, because the only thing its used for is to manipulate, decieve and mistreat others around them, it never seems to be used for the good of mankind. I laugh when people post up how sorry they feel for a disaster that has happened or when people are killed......because most couldn't care less and they only care because they feel compelled to do so. Rant over. P.S Im not saying everyone is like this, in fact those who live in poverty and struggle to survive are probably more likely to feel alive than anyone who doesn't.
  25. I suppose the best point is that the 850hpa temps never dip realy below -3c even with the mild blip. With snowcover, dew points etc we could just about escape having wetter snow/ sleet on Monday night/Tuesday. Again the precipitation charts are a massive upgrade Sunday Night through Monday, very good Irish sea convection possibility.....thus I'd say overall this run isn't as bad as what it could be.
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