Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Totoro

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    152

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Totoro

  1. Totoro
    NAE says turning to rain on Wednesday morning: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2010/01/11/basis12/ukuk/prty/10011312_1112.gif
  2. Totoro
    BUT .......... turning to rain on Wednesday morning, 6am to midday: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2010/01/11/basis12/ukuk/prty/10011312_1112.gif
  3. Totoro
    Met Office, although the way that models and forecasters are struggling with this you may as well just draw straws.
  4. Totoro
    4 inches of snow is only 'about' 10mm of rain so no big deal really. Now if there's heavy rain on top of that then it's a different matter.
  5. Totoro
    Latest NAE charts (which are moderately accurate) for Tuesday. Pink is snow! 6am to midday: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2010/01/10/basis18/ukuk/prty/10011212_1018.gif Midday to 6pm: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2010/01/10/basis18/ukuk/prty/10011218_1018.gif Remember, don't get TOO excited, things may change ..........
  6. Totoro
    Temp here is +0.4c and snow is light to maybe moderate, yet it's settling well on all surfaces. Now I know that the air temp isn't everything, but I do sometimes wonder if my thermometer reads about 0.5 to 1 degree C too high ...........
  7. Totoro
    I'd say more like 50/50, and even then it's likely to be wet snow on low ground (if that) and settling snow the higher you are. But it really is very uncertain.
  8. Totoro
    When I experienced -21c some years ago I especially noticed how cold the air was in my lungs. Other than that it felt fine.
  9. Totoro
    I think some people need to invest in a barrowload of patience. Also, don't set your expectations so high - you know that the forecasters are often wrong, so just wait and see what happens.
  10. Totoro
    Not sure which forecasts you've seen but for south and west Wales it has ALWAYS been forecast as light snow, perhaps with the odd moderate or 'heavy' burst. Also worth watching the streamers forming up and moving into south and west Wales right now: http://www.meteox.com/gmapstatic.aspx?zoom=6&type=zoom&x=170&y=224
  11. Totoro
    Very, very light snow here with a temp of -1.6c In fact, the snow is so light it doesn't even show up on the radar.
  12. Totoro
    At this rate the Atlantic low won't bring in any precipitation at all ............ ie if it gets pushed back, run after run.
  13. Totoro
    Based on the 12Z output from GFS and UKMO, we're heading for a real, full-on Blizzard Tuesday onwards. All might change of course, so don't get you're hopes up (or down!) too much just yet, there's still plenty of room for change.
  14. Totoro
    Here's four more words: Classic South West Blizzard. <_<
  15. Totoro
    The models don't know for sure so neither do the good people who are looking at them. As a rank amateur I'd say that it looks about 50/50 and is still a few days off, so keep watching them models and reading this forum.
  16. Totoro
    -5c here now, I'm thinking it'll make -7c or -8c tonight. That'll do thanks, don't want any pipes to freeze.
  17. Totoro
    Worth remembering that the wind is due to start increasing tomorrow - given the very low night time (AND day time) temps this is going to cause existing lying snow to drift. This will be especially noticeable along roads that border fields where the drifts will form in the hedges and will no doubt encroach on some roads too. I love snow drifts.
  18. Totoro
    Can't say as I see a 'problem' either, a few doom and gloom merchants around as usual, but I'm just going to enjoy what I've got. :lol: It'll go one day, but most of us have had some fun times from the current cold spell. No complaints from me (although a foot of snow would have been nice and could yet happen). :lol:
  19. Totoro
    I'm not going by GFS at all, it's too progressive and a poor performer in these circumstances, I have more faith in ECM and UKMO
  20. Totoro
    Not a good idea to base a forecast on one run from one model, especially when that model is the overly progressive GFS. And even IF it was to pan out that way, since when does Tuesday count as the weekend?
  21. Totoro
    That's most helpful, thanks. But that's for precipitation from an easterly direction - what happens when we have the forecast borderline thicknesses AND precipitation approaching from the West or South West but still with low level cold air from the continent - wouldn't that give freezing rain or drizzle?
  22. Totoro
    A piddling -5c for us, but it did get foggy so perhaps that tempered it a little, along with the slight westerly component to the wind overnight and perhaps a bit of cloud cover.
  23. Totoro
    As far west as East Wales my bottom (can't say the ar-- word here!) - that snow is far further west than forecast. No complaints from me.
  24. Totoro
    In fact, looking at the radar the western edge seems to be Carmarthen, which is lucky for me seeing as I'm south of Carmarthen.
  25. Totoro
    Snowing heavily again, -0.2c. Looks like it'll last for half an hour if lucky.
×
×
  • Create New...