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Everything posted by stewfox
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Those lovely blues are across the whole of UK at 228 on 0z run ,not so on 18z run. Nothing to be alarmed about.
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I missed the first 2 hrs Was the 1.5 mile shift evenly spread over those 3 hrs ? Asking for a friend.
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GFS 0z causes a Prozac rush at 4am when it's woeful. Gets better on 6z ,anxiety on the 12z and either a dream pub run on 18z or winters over. Folk notice the changes on GFS that's for sure. 120 minutes 12 secs to GFS 18z
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
stewfox replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Most of us look at GFS ,ECM etc for cold snow etc but most don't want it to be disruptive. Orgean in March 1995 kept the roads clear hope we can.
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
stewfox replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
BBC just said potential proper cold/ snow next week. upgrade for them -
-10c 850s over a lot of south east tomorrow but 3c to 5c forecast In the current situation do we need very low 850s to add to instability given high pressure, the wet warm ground ?
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January 2024 CET and E.W.P. forecast contests
stewfox replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Showing 8.2c by the 5th ? -
To be fair there has been a lot of on line media talk from the usual Express , Mirror etc. I guess what the Met have seen no consistent model consensus. Given the big swing away from deep cold from the ECM last 48hrs they can't afford to give extreme reactions to every updates. John Holmes summaries have been good and balanced
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
stewfox replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Agreed best I can find next 10 days is sleet on 18th. Nothing remotely matching the excitement of the model thread. There has never been any cross model agreement for deep cold. Daily Express on board final nail in the coffin -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
stewfox replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Should I look ?? -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
stewfox replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I hope we can have a rational debate without personal digs. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
stewfox replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
500 years ago in the UK they were not building upto 150,000 houses a year on flood plains. So they suffered less from flooding. Mass extinctions ? -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
stewfox replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
stewfox replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
stewfox replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
stewfox replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
To be fair that was Mike Rimington talking to a class in Singapore -
deep low for southern england\east anglia
stewfox replied to Robert1981's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Lots of flooded roads within 15 miles of me. At 500ft I'm not effected much. Finally stopped raining -