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stewfox

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Everything posted by stewfox

  1. stewfox
    Some heavy rain and my fav 3c with drizzle
  2. stewfox
    No snow for me on Thursday. So making do with 2nd best 20231128_191652.mp4
  3. stewfox
    Final summy/ obersevations of the week ECM on the money at T120 Post "Boom Boom Wow" charts and your get 15 likes even if it's from 1963.
  4. stewfox
    Just to update folks from 3 days ago. GFS is crud now the ICON is great, ECM TBC Updates to follow later in the week
  5. stewfox
    Lots of 5c or 6c for much of England next, Scotland colder according to BBC. Model output discussions seem to be over ramping ?
  6. stewfox
    One GFS run and it's winter over. Just checked it's 23rd November
  7. stewfox
    So in summary today for anyone that's new here. 10 years ago I use to do a high level summary to help folks putting it in laymen terms. Morning GFS is pants it's the worse performing model. ECM on the button. GFS never handles these situations will follow ECM shortly. Evening GFS on the button has been for a week first to spot the trend. ECM now following with a tail between its legs. ECM useless in these situations.
  8. stewfox
    That's a important thing to learn. Patterns ,trends yes but 100 percent accuracy wouldn't that be boring Now will it snow on Christmas day in my back garden. Looking out the window still the best solution on the day. Model watching so much fun when we have the current potential.
  9. stewfox
    3.8c 75mm
  10. stewfox
    I know folks are writing off winter 2023/24 from early October. Remember that very hot spell in early September. I went back and looked at the model output discussion from mid August. Some comments on potential only started occuring from circa 17th August. No one mentioned it in June or July. Point being for our tiny Island two weeks is far as we can go for trends and Tesco have not reduced their snow shovel prices yet
  11. stewfox
    I'm under that 2nd heavy blob in Warwickshire, heavy rain
  12. stewfox
    Some drivers will always drive too fast
  13. stewfox
    I was a student in Portsmouth in 1987 what a night that was
  14. stewfox
    Strong winds can only do damage to my fences. I'll take snow anytime
  15. stewfox
    Picked the wrong day to go kite flying tomorrow
  16. stewfox
    I believe any storm damage will be confined to extreme south of country. Its inconvenient if I cant go but would never risk if there is a danger.
  17. stewfox
    I've know about this storm for nearly a week as proposing to travel 100 miles including M25 etcThursday evening. Hopefully the worse will have passed by then.
  18. stewfox
    7.7c 135mm
  19. stewfox
    Very boring if we actually knew what the winter 2023/24 was going to be. I predict 2023/24 winter will colder than 62/63 and snowier than 47.
  20. stewfox
    Do you ever get bored of snow out there ? I lived in kansas for a year in mid 90s. I guess was a snowy winter for them and my fascination with snow got less and less as the season went on. I remember in mid March trying to park the car and it was probably hi 40s or 8c but still massive piles of snow to melt. Here it's often lamp post watching at 4am
  21. stewfox
    I remember in late October snow being on the ground for nearly 24hrs in High Wycombe. I think early 2000s ?
  22. stewfox
    10.5c 120mm
  23. stewfox
    None to shabby for 7th september
  24. stewfox
    14c 123mm Cool and wet
  25. stewfox
    15.9c 44mm
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