I know many feel a disappointment with the fact that if we do receive anything like a heavy snowfall it won't stick around for long however given than many of us haven't seen a much more than a dusting I'm really looking forward to even the slightest possibility of a few hours 'proper' snow. I also don't mind wind and gales, anything even slightly dramatic is fine with me. It's the dull overcast mild drizzle that seems to define most of our seasons I can't cope with!
Looks like a nice big rain shadow right over us on the radar, feels too warm to snow. Not holding out much hope today.
Light drizzle is all we've seen today.
Probably with Dianne Oxberry on the front cover, 'She loves a stiff cold one....'. Don't go there, it's a disturbing mental image.
Anyway after the last 24 hours I'll take a skeptical view of any potential setup this far out.
I know it really is ridiculous. I'd understand if it was major snow event that hadn't been seen and caused untold disruption. In reality this is just a typical winter setup and event.
Much of the north-west is just a terrible area for snow, granted if you live off towards the peak district or Pennines it's much better but generally trapped between the Irish Sea and the Pennines isn't good.
Is that area of heavier area of precipitation south of Sheffield creeping slowing north-west going to get across the region? Looks like it's going to make it to those on eastern side who've had very little so far.
Both the BBC, ITV and Met O forecasts have been caught out by this. I'm just on the edge of the heavier stuff, hoping it might nudge a couple of miles north-east!
Morning. It's snowed till well after midnight here, very light but decent sized flakes. Seems to be repeating the same trick this morning. Looking at the radar we're certainly being covered by the leading edge of this today and it appears to be further norther than predicted. It also appears to be pivoting over the Irish Sea?
I basically discount the hourly localised breakdown on the bbc or the met office. I don't see how they can possibly be that accurate for models as complex as this particularly for snow? Nowcasting does seem to be the only accurate way. According to both the bbc it's apparently dry and cloudy outside, although it seems to have been snowing for about the last three hours.
I'm just delighted to have seen some snow tonight.
Far be it from me to question the BBC forecasts but I always find them quite infuriatingly neutral, they'll downplay any weather to middling until the event is upon is.
Southern parts of the region still seem inline for a bit of pasting, hopefully south Manchester and north Cheshire, hint, hint. Wouldn't surprise me to see the amber warning slip south by tomorrow morning.
Well I don't know what to make of all this? As a novice trying to interpret the output this morning it just looks as if the main event has shifted west and potentially may move south. Forecasts are still showing significant snow but it looks more like we'll see a covering rather than the blizzard I was probably unrealistically hoping for. At this point are the high res models that most of us don't have access to all important?