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Everything posted by winterof79
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Going GEM route but better -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Stop dissecting every run bud you'll do yourself a mischief -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Used to be i think they said -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I see Father Christmas didn't bring you a new cup to replace that leaky cup you've had for what seems like ages -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes HLB to re establish to our NW at any opportunity as i have said previously.I favour slider gate as some have predicted with frequent disturbances swinging up into a very cold air mass and dragging in a NE feed as they move into the North Sea but at regular intervals. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks again John A little rampathon detected. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Bingo bongo bango....game on fir disruptive snow from W/SW Also unexpected disturbances in the North/NEasterly flows. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think Scott is on the right line. The early morning commentary is on every frame instead of letting the run come out before reacting.I know its peoples prerogative but it comes across as knee jerk and newbies reading it haven't a scooby wether ,it will or it won't, it's happening it isn't,its garbage its boom you get my drift. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For some Luke not all -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not a reply to this post..... Can we make our minds up The Azores high is a semi permanent feature an Azores Low is not and i wish people would stop referring to the"Azores Low" it didn't emanate from there just passes by after filling a nad -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
UKMO over does 850s and has for years.That is by no means saying it won't happen just an observation peeps. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Don't be this isn't bog standard fayre -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Lorenzo slider -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
1065 mb Greenland high rubs chin vigorously -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Getting close to moving onto the regionals later in week as imbyism seems to have crept in recently.Just hanging on to cold? really peeps -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you find this period of model watching "boring" you need to move on from meteorology. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just shows that if we tap into any cold from the Continent or North it can be severe -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The breakdown if any should be short-lived as background drivers are ripe for re-amplification at any opportunity. -
Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks
winterof79 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Friday 12 Jan - Sunday 21 Jan Mostly cloudy across the UK on Friday and Saturday. Some patchy light rain or drizzle is expected in places, although many areas will probably remain mainly dry. Winds will be light with temperatures likely to be a little below average. Through the rest of the weekend and into the start of the following week, it is likely to turn colder as northerly winds begin to develop across of the UK and bring a risk of snow showers, particularly across the north. There is also a smaller risk of a period of snow across some southern areas for a time. Through the rest of this period confidence is low, but there is an increased chance of more unsettled conditions spreading from the west. Updated: 14:00 (UTC) on Sun 7 Jan 2024 -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Knees are stable and not jerking profusely .....i believe -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
winterof79 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs.php?table=1 Just tap on your area.