Ian Price
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Everything posted by Ian Price
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Storms and convective discussion - 1st April 2021 onwards
Ian Price replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Angry skies here yesterday evening. Looking west towards Snowdonia from Caernarfon area.
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Had snow, graupel, thunder and now the beach in the warm sun!
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A few grains started here now.
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Yes there is zero from the sky here!! Sky looks cool though!
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Yes the icon looks good and even has a weak L "a low" over N Wales on this chart!
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not too bad for mid and north Wales on Sat on 6z on the ARPEGE and ICON.
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While 850s are are around 0, dewpoints well below zero!
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Saturday morning...
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Yes GFS looks better, but mostly fizzles out by 6am (pic below), and all gone by 12.
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Pic 1. Friday morning. Light to moderate snow before dying out as it heads NE. Pic 2 and 3. Sat moring. Heavier snow away from SW.
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Yes looks better on Monday. (Precip type chart)
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You'll get a clearer (more zooned in) chart on wetterzentrale. Doesnt look as exciting though, with the front decaying rapidly!
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No precipitatiin here nr. Caernarfon, despite blue and some green echoes on the radar over us. I guess the strong easterley wind is blowing the precipitation back west to sea!
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Depends where you live in Wales
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Then at 1pm
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AROME at 10am Sat
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I think the google earth app also gives elevation by just hovering your mouse over the map
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METO Warning area reduced across north Wales and Midlands but increased across south Wales.
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I like the latest NMM. Seems to pivot in N Wales.
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Doesnt look as exciting as shown on the non-cumulative chart....
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rain turned to wet snow then to snow now here in Caeathro in the heavier shower moving in now on the radar.
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Rain here at 60m near Caernarfon. Snow on the hills though.
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The front over Scotland will. But the upper air will be slightly warmer, and dew points above 0 so snow only on hills, inland I would think.
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Same HARMONIE run ,but from meteociel. 1pm (Thurs). The yellow is sleet or graupel.(soft hail)
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Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
Ian Price replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Are the orange lines on the HARMONIE charts sleet?
