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craig1uk

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Everything posted by craig1uk

  1. MD issued : MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1029 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0140 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL NEB/EASTERN SD INTO SOUTHEAST ND/WESTERN MN CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 301840Z - 302015Z SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...PERHAPS INITIALLY ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL NEB INTO SOUTHEAST SD. ONE OR MORE TORNADO WATCHES WILL BE NEEDED BY MID AFTERNOON /LIKELY BY 20Z/. 18Z SUBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS REFLECTS A 996 MB SURFACE LOW ACROSS EASTERN SD BETWEEN HURON AND ABERDEEN...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE LOW INTO WESTERN NEB NEAR/WEST OF NORTH PLATTE...WITH EARLY AFTERNOON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REFLECTING AN INCREASING SURFACE BASED CU FIELD NEAR/JUST EAST OF THE COLD FRONT /ESPECIALLY ACROSS NEB/. WITH STRONGER DPVA/IMPLIED ASCENT NOW BEGINNING TO OVERSPREAD THE NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AN INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION IS EXPECTED IN VICINITY OF THE FRONTAL ZONE BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON...WITH AN ASSORTMENT OF NUMERICAL GUIDANCE /INCLUDING EXPERIMENTAL HRRR/ INDICATIVE OF DEEP CONVECTION AS EARLY AS 20-21Z. AFOREMENTIONED ASCENT COUPLED WITH AMPLE PRE-FRONTAL HEATING AND MIDDLE/UPPER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WEAKENING CINH AMID MODERATE INSTABILITY. IN CONJUNCTION WITH A STRENGTHENING/BUT LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND FIELD...INITIAL MODAL SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF SOME TORNADOES/LARGE HAIL ARE LIKELY. STORMS SHOULD ULTIMATELY CONGEAL THROUGH EARLY/MID EVENING...WITH MORE OF A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND THREAT EVOLVING AS WELL. ..GUYER.. 05/30/2011
  2. Some more great shots guys well done, esp like the moose cloud John !!!!
  3. Jealous much ? !! Ha ! V happy that u guys are in the thick of it now tho, hope it's busy busy busy now till the end of the tours
  4. Here's a link to the NWS monsoon tracker website should anyone want to see whats going on, might not be anything on it from this year yet, not until june at least, but interesting all the same http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/twc/monsoon/monsoon_tracker.php
  5. Armed with only an iphone, I largely just took the storm in, and enjoyed it immensley, we had a great laugh on the roof of that car park, some of the bombs that were going on around us were spectacular ! And what a display at sunset, wow ! Great end to tour 1
  6. Yep, great end to a weird day. Thanks again guys Good luck tour 2 !
  7. Thanks mate, we were pretty close, we were between two storms really, trying to keep out of the precip, Tom and Ian did a great job putting us in the right place to catch the action without being in the firing line, and avoiding the odd burning building
  8. Afew from me too, well worth the early start, thanks guys for getting up v early and getting us there Craig.
  9. Hi Pat, no not yet mate, been chilling in the hotel slowly making my way through these buds
  10. Beers chillin in the fridge at the best western mate !!!
  11. Na still up, can't miss this !! I'll sleep on the plane tomorrow
  12. http://weather.wdtinc.com/popout/index.php?M=10164&C=20226&O=10195 texas storm chaser link
  13. Just found some fox coverage of the area http://wwitv.com/tv_channels/b4599.htm
  14. Rotating wall cloud http://weather.wdtinc.com/popout/index.php?M=10164&C=20226&O=10061
  15. Absolutley mate, to my untrained eye it looks pretty active , game on !!
  16. Great vid Pat, that gets u in the mood for it eh !!!
  17. This might be an option I guess, http://www.nwc.ou.edu/tourdetails.php, they do ask for booking to be two weeks in advance tho, but though I'd throw it out there anyway, be nice to see where the magic happens (or does'nt )
  18. Reeds on one http://weather.wdtinc.com/popout/index.php?M=10164&C=20226&O=10011
  19. Positive thinking Quentin, two weeks before tour 3 last year the outlook was bleak, but looked what happened on the 19th !! Keep the faith
  20. Hi Paul, I land at DFW at 1.40 PM on the 28th on AA flight 51, stayin at the best western Craig
  21. You dont want to see the New CFS USA Charts Netweather has access too, had a peek and would love to tell you what the 30th April to 9th May shows but Ian Michaelwaite has told me to keep stumm! He said he might post some charts up in the next few days before his skiing trip. Good or Bad........Hmmmm I wonder
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