kumquat

Temp has risen to 4.1C and DP is 3.3C so hope that drops quickly before the ppn hits. Also hope the ppn stays intact. Fingers crossed, cider flowing, sausage baps on hold for now.

Yes. But only in Mull End.

Saturday midnight still shows a bit of interest on the Euro4 for the NE of the region and down towards Hants and possibly dropping into Dorset. I noticed that Ian Ferguson used the Euro 4 on his regional forecast earlier tonight. Short term surprises could spring up anywhere that the cold air drops south. It's kind of exciting just to eek out any last flake of the white precipitation.

Really enjoyed soaking in the warm sun and activating the vit D this afternoon between cold downpours. Balmy 9C degrees is pretty pleasant even at this time of the year in a suntrap spot.

Not rude. It was a valid observation, IMO.

I only wear CAPE and Lift. I'll send my 0.1cm dusting right your way!

I'd gladly give up my minimal snow chances for all the South Coast, Devon and Cornwall to get a little bit. That's how much of a nice guy I am.

Harmonie also looking decent for a dusting for the same areas covered above.

Keep those upgrades coming. Almost looking like what the ECM was showing a couple of days ago.

I think we'll see a couple of hours of snow in the NE of the region from midnight Saturday. I will await it with my Lilleys Cider, 3.5 million candle man torch and bated breath. I may throw in a sausage bap with brown sauce as a midnight snack.

Only when they show snow for your area

There's not much chance of anybody south of Hull seeing anything until Sunday, Noggin. Just 'cos you live in a coal pit doesn't make you special

GEM looking promising earlier on too...

Good to see us bordering on some interest for Sunday on ICON and GFS. Don't want to be waiting around until middle of next week! Hopefully it keeps upgrading nearer the time for all of the region. GFS 12Z Icon 12z

Wouldn't take much of a shift south to get some of us in the game on Sunday.

Looks OK to me. DP / 2m temps around 0C, 850s at -9C, and a few cms of snow??

Moderate snow for an hour or so but not settling on any surfaces.

Light snow/snizzle/graupel or whatever it's called.

I always find this guy's videos entertaining. He eats old ration packs from waaaaaaay back

Here comes the rain that might turn to snow on its second passover sometime tomorrow.

I used to skate back in the 80s. But even that was indoors. We'd be in some kind of Damian under the ice scenario if we tried skating on ponds over here south of the Lake District.

Well Crewe says it how he sees it and posts when things turn around on his thoughts. Anyway, it's the usual pushing into the future of the models. Nirvana always out at day 10 and beyond. Hopefully, this will be the time when we can start a proper countdown because we'll soon be running out of time, but I won't be surprised if we get scuppered, yet again. The SSWs/warmings are a curse as much as they're a potential boon. They offer much promise, but seem to send the modelling into more chaos than normal. Not surprising really, as the already complex discretised partial differential equations for Temp and Pressure over any particular mesh node are set about the head by even more variables. Anyway, 18z 240 looks good at present, so I'll live in hope that nothing went wrong in the data before it gets there, from now.

He's also a realist.

ps where's the Edit button gone? EDIT: Oh, it's come back! lol what happened there?

Agree with all that but even still, unconvinced by the Easterly next week. Could well happen but will be dry for our part of the world. If we get entrenched cold from it and then some fronts bumping into it, then, yes, maybe. But we all know it takes something special for anything beyond a couple of day's dusting around here, or a late night wet snow event that is gone by midday the next day. Models look full of promise, but that has been the case for a long time now (this season).