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Everything posted by fromey
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
fromey replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
@northwestsnow Milf!!!??? -
the gold line represents the boundary if i remember right and the most likely scenario is i think along the M4 corridor, maybe a little further north or south. the problem as i explained above is the split jet they dont know how its going to interact with the southern arm yet. writing off anything because of one run is ludicrous, if the experts are saying they dont know then anything can still happen.
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’m assuming it’s a good Dam? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What number chase is this now? im expecting the models to begin to jump from extreme to the next over the coming days/ week. i hope like you said we can get it down to T0! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think the words “slow burner” may feature in the coming week or so. Just need to confirm what’s happening up in the strat and how that’s going effect our weather going forward. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It’s probably picking up on the warming @Liam Burge beat me to it -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
thats assuming the ECM is correct. one of 3 things is going to happen, either the Ecm is correct or its going to get dragged kicking and scream to the UKMO or GFS, or they all come to some middle ground solution i cant figure out whats going to happen -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It will be along soon along with “west based, uppers, Bartlett, etc etc! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I believe Met Éireann uses ECM data in there forecasts. Probably from last nights set. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Jesus I can’t keep up, more ups and downs than an Alton towers ride!!! a question for the more experienced ones out there, do you think the phasing issue are sorted now we are getting closer or can we expect more drama?? I think may know but! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
fromey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There is so much scatter on those charts! from +10 to -10c how anybody can say definitely say what is going happen is beyond my tiny little brain cell.