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johnholmes

Retired Pro Forecaster / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by johnholmes

  1. this from Buxton weather, they do full road conditions also Buxton Weather – Live Weather in Buxton Derbyshire, UK WWW.BUXTONWEATHER.CO.UK Buxton Weather – Live Weather in Buxton Derbyshire, UK
  2. Well something of a surprise here, almost 2 cm of lying snow with complete cover, still slight snow, temperature went up to 3.4 C for a time it's now on 0.6 C, been there about 2 hours. I expect this winter wonderland will be gone this evening, certainly by tomorrow morning.
  3. If you want to see snow and like me just have rain this link is a good one for snow, the Winking Man already has blowing snow Peak District Webcams WWW.JAMESGPHOTOGRAPHY.CO.UK A collection of Peak District webcams highlighting current weather and road conditions. Useful for planning photography trips in the Peak District.
  4. Looks overcast, dry at the moment but radar shows ppn band not far away. Assume it will be rain or sleet here, temperature and TD both well above zero, temperature is 2.5 C and edging up with Td=2. Lowest overnight T=-0.2 C
  5. Dry with some cloud, patchy ground frost with the low currently on 0.8 C, still drifting down.
  6. Dry and cloudy, with highest gust showing as 23 mph, very mild, current low is 11.7 C
  7. mostly cloudy, dry red sunrise, low of 10.1 C, so pretty mild again
  8. Cloudy and dry but the radar seems to suggest a short spell of light rain is on its way? Mild with a low of 8.4C, currently on 10.7 C
  9. Dry, mostly cloudy, the breeze started after 0800, gusts to 23 mph, a very mild night, the low was 12.1 C; this would be average in late August/early September or late June/early July!
  10. Sorry I don't usually repeat my posts but I missed a part off, quite significant so here it is Not a full post but just showing the latest NOAA 6-14 day charts. Both have a gneral rather cold westerly 500 MB pattern. Not yet showing any signal for deep cold from a northerly point. The contour over southern England on the 6-10 day is 534 DM which is quite cold so even lower further north. Any ppn in the north would likely be snow and over most hills further south possibly lower at times depending on the actual synoptic pattern. Add there is a -ve height anomaly over the UK. In spite of the broad westerly at 500 mb this may be a signal for a surface feature to be over/east of the UK. Perhaps picking up on my highlighted original post. Maybe the ECMWF output may show this, I'll go have a look. Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99814-model-output-discussion-22nd-jan-2024-onwards/?do=findComment&comment=5027994
  11. Sorry I don't usually repeat my posts but I missed a part off, quite significant so here it is Not a full post but just showing the latest NOAA 6-14 day charts. Both have a gneral rather cold westerly 500 MB pattern. Not yet showing any signal for deep cold from a northerly point. The contour over southern England on the 6-10 day is 534 DM which is quite cold so even lower further north. Any ppn in the north would likely be snow and over most hills further south possibly lower at times depending on the actual synoptic pattern. Add there is a -ve height anomaly over the UK. In spite of the broad westerly at 500 mb this may be a signal for a surface feature to be over/east of the UK. Perhaps picking up on my highlighted original post. Maybe the ECMWF output may show this, I'll go have a look.
  12. Not a full post but just showing the latest NOAA 6-14 day charts. Both have a gneral rather cold westerly 500 MB pattern. Not yet showing any signal for deep cold from a northerly point. The contour over southern England on the 6-10 day is 534 DM which is quite cold so even lower further north. Any ppn in the north would likely be snow and over most hills further south possibly lower at times depending on the actual synoptic pattern. Climate Prediction Center - 6-10 Day 500mb Outlook WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
  13. Late to send this today Dry,variable fairly large amounts of cloud with a red/pink sunrise, the low was 4.6 C. No sign of the strong gusty winds yet, even the large trees are hardly moving here
  14. Metwatch Re your comment about heights over Newfoundland. That area is often close to or withing the main major trough so all the heights show is that the trough is not centred over that area. It is shown east of Newfoundland on the 6-10 and west on the 8-14.
  15. Dry with lovely red-orange sunrise through Ci cloud; a white ground frost with a low of 0.2 C, just missing an air frost
  16. Cloudy, had 0.2 mm at 0400 on Davis, mild with the current low on 6.2 C
  17. Raining here and a low of 7.8 C, rainfall since midnight=0.8 mm
  18. Sunday starts with a lot of cloud, dry and on the cold side with a low of 2.8 C
  19. Dry with variable cloud, even see the start of sunrise at 0700. actual here is 0759, a low of 3.1 C less mild than for about a week
  20. Upper air analysis 26 January 2024 One week on so another update; not done earlier as nothing was showing on any of the 3 charts to suggest anything even slightly different from our weather this past week. NOAA 6-10 has slowly over the past week changed troughs/ridges, or at least, some aspects in the far west. In the UK area/Europe then the European ridging, more especially, the position of the +ve heights has shifted from way east to a more westerly point ( on the 6-10 it is now centred 50N 20W at 210 DM. This movement is not dissimilar to how it developed prior to the last cold spell! I’m not saying this will happen again simply stating facts. The 8-14 edges it a shade further west but, as is almost always the case, with a lower +ve height value. ECMWF shows a general flow just north of west on its output (31/1-4/2) with a flattish upper ridge over central/eastern Europe being replaced by a flattish trough in much the same place. Its 850 temperature values eventually by day 5 the 0C lying from N Wales to the Thames estuary. UK Met on their 3 day charts from T+144 30/1-1/2 a mainly westerly flow with an upper ridge finally settling just west of Portugal So all 3 show a similar upper air pattern developing over the relevant periods of their forecast period. As is often quoted on the model (forecast) thread, more charts are needed to see what is likely to transpire. Climate Prediction Center - 6-10 Day 500mb Outlook WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV UK Met Office Fax Charts - UKMOMSLP Analysis and Prognosis WWW.WEATHERCHARTS.ORG UK Met Office . . Europe and North Atlantic MSLP analysis and prognosis charts Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99814-model-output-discussion-22nd-jan-2024-onwards/?do=findComment&comment=5024623
  21. Much the same in Wengen, here by the village railway station; fine at altitude (by the start gate for the Lauberhorn DHO Live Cameras and Weather - Downhill Only Ski Club DOWNHILLONLY.COM From Wengen and the surrounding area. Time to think about Insurance ? MPI brokers provide members with a discount, click on the link above to obtain a further online discount. […]
  22. @Terminal Moraine About the same time here for similar according to the Davis
  23. Upper air analysis 26 January 2024 One week on so another update; not done earlier as nothing was showing on any of the 3 charts to suggest anything even slightly different from our weather this past week. NOAA 6-10 has slowly over the past week changed troughs/ridges, or at least, some aspects in the far west. In the UK area/Europe then the European ridging, more especially, the position of the +ve heights has shifted from way east to a more westerly point ( on the 6-10 it is now centred 50N 20W at 210 DM. This movement is not dissimilar to how it developed prior to the last cold spell! I’m not saying this will happen again simply stating facts. The 8-14 edges it a shade further west but, as is almost always the case, with a lower +ve height value. ECMWF shows a general flow just north of west on its output (31/1-4/2) with a flattish upper ridge over central/eastern Europe being replaced by a flattish trough in much the same place. Its 850 temperature values eventually by day 5 the 0C lying from N Wales to the Thames estuary. UK Met on their 3 day charts from T+144 30/1-1/2 a mainly westerly flow with an upper ridge finally settling just west of Portugal So all 3 show a similar upper air pattern developing over the relevant periods of their forecast period. As is often quoted on the model (forecast) thread, more charts are needed to see what is likely to transpire. Climate Prediction Center - 6-10 Day 500mb Outlook WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV UK Met Office Fax Charts - UKMOMSLP Analysis and Prognosis WWW.WEATHERCHARTS.ORG UK Met Office . . Europe and North Atlantic MSLP analysis and prognosis charts
  24. Rain overnight, some cloud gaps but still bursts of rain, total 2.6 mm since midnight, also breezy, gust to 27 mph o/night, current low shows 5.6 C
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