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Barb

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Everything posted by Barb

  1. GFS and ECM have the low further south while the UKMO are being party poopers as usual and bring it further North with mainly rain further south. Who's right??
  2. The 18z GFS is better for us in South Wales, snow from the start and right down to the coast on this run. Many hours of heavy snow:
  3. More south this time. It'll be chopping and changing every run. I think Midlands/Wales is the prime zone for this one. Somewhere is in for a very major dumping that's for sure...
  4. There is still a covering here, albeit a slushy and increasingly thin one. Will count as a covering on Christmas day though, which is nice I suppose.
  5. Merry Christmas and a happy New Year blizzard! (hopefully)
  6. Well the low further North/South by 50 miles could mean the difference between 10c and heavy rain and 1c and blizzards. 50 miles this far out is nothing, even 6 hours out it could easily change by that much.
  7. It's a very sharp temperature gradiant so 50 miles further south next run and it could be 1c.
  8. Considering everything, I'll make a bold prediction that the valleys will get pasted by this... You can quote me on that, or maybe the Christmas merriment is getting to me... but I think this sucker could actually come off for once.
  9. 06z is fun for us in Wales - we'd be tunnelling out of our houses by New Year's eve. Probably will change though. Doesn't get any better than that folks.
  10. Wow the 06z is brilliant for Wales for early next week - massive snowfall as the the boundary is further south than 00z - more inline with ECM,GEM and GFS ensembles. Might have a foot if that came off. On a knife edge though, as usual. Probably will come down to nowcasting.
  11. OK, so it's now safe to say the Mid December 2009 cold snap is officially over. A summary: Lowest max: -0.3c, 22nd Lowest min: -8.3c, 23rd Maximum snow depth: 8cm Days of lying snow: 4 (so far) Now attention turns to the potential late December blizzard and potential following cold snap part 2: If that came off the 3 inches we had will look like a sprinkling.
  12. It is a bit, the snow is thawing quite quickly due to the rain (though that's stopped now) and the rise in temperature up to 1.6c. Ah well, as you said - part 1 is over. Hopefully a part 2 is coming up next week. Definitely, can't argue with this decade really. Most years we've had a good dumping of snow and many years we've had several. 13 inches of snow this year, 10 inches total last year, ~10-12 inches in 2005-2006 (all cumulative) and few good falls before that too.
  13. I think we had about 10 days in February and 4 days this month. Total cumulative snowfall this year is about 13 inches - 10 inches in Feb (about 7 inches at its deepest) and 3 inches this December. Not a bad year at all.
  14. We had 3 inches after Sunday night's snow.
  15. Sleeting now. Temp is rising quite a bit though, 1.3c now.
  16. You've had clear skies? Thick low cloud here all evening.
  17. Them showers are definitely moving east but I think they may be rainy/sleet... Temp 0.8c so maybe a chance. Hopefully it can cling to dear life. Still 2 inches or so here so a good chance of a damp slushy Christmas.
  18. A milder spell of weather is coming up for now until it all kicks off again early next week with a potential blizzard and a renewed cold blast to take us into January.
  19. Yes I agree it would generally be better for the south. Major snow event for Central/South Britain still seems to be on.
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