mezzacyclone

You could have wound 'Mr Fish' up for me Pit as i always favoured old 'Ian M' more as he never quite sempt the more 'Corporate' type of forecaster and was never sour faced or miserable? Shame to here he aint so healthy these days! I cant quite comprehend how Fishy managed to humour the crowd? Will check the book out in WHS mind you <_<

I'll summarise it as a political spin forecast!- Click http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/laminate floori-europe-blog.asp?partner=accuweather for No Clarity or bold sweeping statement just,,,,,,,, : Conclusion-less? I think he's on too many "roids"!

Medication time again!

Must confess to shooting (and instantly killing) nigh on 30-40 magpies in recent years as their numbers do seem to be increasing, away from areas populated by rooks n crows etc. anywayz? My missus is confused as i'm such an animal lover but i solely do it due to the harassment these corvids do to the blackbirds nests in spring time so i guess i`m against em for that but I do respect their intelligence and physical aspects. tricky subject overall though!

Cool N-NNE Moderate Breeze, Bright intervals partial cloud, 12.6C feels more like 5C? (overnight min 5.1C) 24% humidity, 1021mb falling slightly. 53.4N 1.45W 398ft ASL.

Hurricane Debby 2000 or Debby Last Year SB? Gordon brushed up against Spain/Portugal last september Cat, and brought some very rough conditions to our western shores and made a fair bit of News

I'm well miffed with NOAA's pre-'cane season prediction, looks to be another "BBC-type" overforecast to me thus far?

on Reuters too GW > Clicky got me thinkin now cos i saw a long trail early one night last week very low on the western horizon, it was really bright and looked relatively slow due to the angle, not the Peruvian one obviously but very interesting and different to a normal fall along the likes of Perseids etc.???

Any chances of an overall update and current summary so far pls? Seems to have quietened down too much in relation to the above average predictions of named storms that i assume we have not yet seen?

sorry to temporary deflect the topic for a moment and address something concerning one of the other 'players' but,,,,, wasn't 05-06 winter the one where the sustained extreme cold pool built up over the continent and the one that we just failed to tap into? I assume this Summary is correct/accurate in that 05-06 was the lowest -NAO since 95-96? Reason for this little ditty is that I cant seem to find anything of value in regards to historic QBO values and the effect (if any) it had on winters passed? Perhaps im still suffering from a lapse following Steve M's legendary NW post ? well its that or the warsteiner beer?

Love it Cal , I realised it so many years ago, but hey, lets continue, afterall theirs only 6.5 billion of us poor humans, Whats going to happen when (much very sooner rather than later according to this and similar threads) we are down to sharing a few square miles of Summer arctic ice thats left, that wont be fair will it? and we all cant afford Dubai's artificial snow in summer can we?

any Link on this please GW?

Not bigging up the yanks - but their forecasts are so interesting, showing the areas liable to Shear where the likes of Dean and Felix are forecast to go for example? I remember the weather channel that was on Sky satellite about 10 years ago, to think our channels have now lowered the detail and become more basic is pathetic. Ah well, long live the legitamacy of the BBC licence fee and all that , for the money i'd expect doppler radar images for UK Counties but all i get is bimbos in casual clothing waffling on about crap whilst batting their eyelashes to look appealing in the off chance some bi££ionaire record producer spots some 'talent' or alternatively limbering up for some cushty extended maternity pay for a year or 3. Bring back Ian McAskill and the Licorice charts! Not this chap:

going back a few posts in regards to the speed of its intensity: from TD @03 GMT Lat12.0 Lon59.9 wind35mph 1008mb to Cat4 42 hrs later @21 GMT lat13.6 lon72.0 140mph 956mb sure is one fast development? non? Wunder Clicky

I figure they'll comment that the Chukchi area anoms are so severe SH that losses will continue for 'a bit' if not 'a lot' longer than normal in this area this year!

Sorry if iv'e missed something but can we safely say that the rapid drop in the graph (NSIDC link) toward the end of June was solely down to unusually high pressure continuously prevailing over the Arctic Ocean north of Alaska or is their another conspiring culprit besides?, If, by the looks of things? we are looking at a 1 million+ and still counting Sq.KM deficit on last years totals, then is the lack of cloud cover and subsequent allowed solar increase a sole reason for the drastic loss? and are these cloudless conditions becoming more common toward the time of year or just another fluke anom?? the Chukchi, Laptev and East siberian sea losses/retreat is so worrying as weve seen but is this due mostly to prevailing offshore winds from an increasingly warmer summer land mass? apologies for lots of questions but if we can recall last years Polyna (around early september if memory serves me right Carinth?) the causes where never knowingly identified? (My wild? inexperienced notion pointing to something changing to one or more layers of our atmosphere allowing more radiation from the sun through has nagged me for long enough, as iv'e wrote previously, that from working outside over a 15 year period and from pre adolescent years then i cant recall feeling the heat from direct sunlight in December months back in the 70's early 80's but today you can literally feel the solar heat on the shortest days and even get a forearm tan for xmas?!)

Looks like it Duncan! chance of snow sunday night in good 'ol Svalbard Wunderground Svalbard forecast More or less continuous nightly air frosts set for NE siberia in Yakutia regions now as well! according to S(soviet)SATSIGS :wub:

I missed it this week too Kip , caught the back end with AH trying to build over us but at a guess leading up to it they were showing a mixed northerly influence? well, of to the Model output discussion party for a butchers,,,,

yeah GW, the video loop seems to show a more notherly swing on the last few graphics, not what Floridians hoped for as Wilma Oct 05 (882mb low to be broke by Dean?) took an 80' deg swing NE from NW traj after touching the Yucatan peninsula and devastated Southern Florida,,,The suspense would be unreal living down their following where these monsters are going! (Saffir simpson to introduce a Cat5E? Enhanced like ethernet network cabling? lol)