Higher Ground
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Posts posted by Higher Ground
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If we don't get a covering of snow here on the Lickey Hills i will be disappointed....
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Woke up to at least an inch of snow here. Bracing for another couple before it turns to rain...... For once it's really inconvenient.....
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Temp down to -2C in Birmingham last night, -1C in Pershore.
So with a colder setup, widespread -3C/-4C would clearly be easily attainable.
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Its deja vu all over again.
Remember early February and it looked as though the mild was going to make a breakthrough only for it to give a glancing blow?
Looks like a pretty major breakthrough by the end of next week on the GFS 6z. If it came off, even 20C might be possible. Not sure it will come off though, seems there is a trend for everything to be pushed progressively westwards, as previous posts have suggested, and has happened throughout this winter.
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Moderate snow for last 15 mins, settling on grass
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Haha thanks but i doubt it - not expecting anything to settle. Hope i'm wrong. Will try to remember to report back......
Well we got our snow flakes - been sleeting lightly for last 15 mins or so. Temp 0.8C.
Though we got no precipitation from the main band; this sleet is from a new (narrow) line of precipitation formed to the NW in last couple of hours.
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I reckon at almost 300m you have a good chance of seeing 5cm+
Haha thanks but i doubt it - not expecting anything to settle. Hope i'm wrong. Will try to remember to report back......
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wouldnt go as far as that, higher ground may well get a smattering of snow, but for lower levels, cold rain is the most likely outcome.
I've seen it forecast for above 200m (Ian Fergusson's blog), or above 250m (another forecast, but can't remember where)
So a fair bet for some flakes here at 286m, just a question of how much. Hopes not very high, but marginal situations often have the potential to be interesting.
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Will be interested to see how much if any snow falls here tomorrow, and if it does whether it might even settle.
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FWIW it's been snowing/sleeting lightly here for the last 10 mins
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Hearing the talk about moving to where there's more snow, thought i'd point out that i may be moving to Leicester later this year which is rather the opposite as i will no longer have reason to be smug when snow is only forecast for higher ground lol. Maybe i will have to re-register with a different name....
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You need to go build a big snowman before the milder weather moves in, i dont think the milder interlude before the weekend will damage snow cover providing it doesnt rain.
I would love to have one like this in my garden.....provided someone else did it for me lol
See #6
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About 2cm of new snow here, better than nothing. Depth on grass gone from 6-7cm to 8-9cm. All today's snowfall settled, so main problem has been lack of sustained intensity.
Still got basically no hope of level snow surviving till any possible return to cold at weekend. Deeper drifts might though at least...
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Sticking nicely here, leaves already white. Still 6-7cm of snow left on grass from last week, so might even get top-up back to 10cm... before it all thaws in the next couple of days
If anyone in this area wants to get (probably) their last fix of deep snow for the winter, I would recommend a trip up to Beacon Hill - you can park right at the top just off Monument Lane. You can trudge through a large area of deep snow up there, still up to 10cm deep with some big drifts too.
Snow heavier now with bigger flakes... (so getting deeper as i speak)
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Light or light/moderate snow here, *just* settling as temperature of -0.1C. Quite windy too.,
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Thanks for that mate. Well there goes my plans for an early night!
Sorry!
I thought of that just after posting lolTrouble is, i'm even tempted to stay up myself as it would be fascinating to watch on the remote offchance that a massively underpredicted pasting gradually evolves out of nowhere.
No, i'll see what's outside the window in the morning......... or maybe just one last radar check..... maybe 2??
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I have had my eye on that too lol, certainly worth watching.
Too far away from me to be worth staying up for, but i thought it was worth mentioning especially for the guy in Northampton as looks like some moderate intensity in it perhaps, though i suspect it's only temporary. Not sure.
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It seems for the south-east of the region at the very least, tomorrow still holds interest.
How about today in about an hour's time for some surprise early flurries? (see latest radar)
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I don't mind what happens beyond 1st March, but up to 28th Feb, I am quite keen for the weather to keep helping the winter statistics as far as possible, *for as much of the UK as possible*, to trend as close as they can towards historic levels of cold and snowiness overall.
GFS 18z doesn't seem to do a bad job so far at all. Certainly nothing "mild". ("Close to average" perhaps at times in the south).
Here at altitude in the West Mids we currently have up to 10cm of snow still from Wed/Thu (was out night sledging at 7pm!) and Met Office weather warnings totalling potential 32cm of further snow (10+7+15) up to Wed.
What a fascinating end to winter (or should I say the official winter months....)
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Hey peeps, well I am back home in Leicester now. I arrived back at 4pm to be greeted by a blizzard like snow shower
I took some pics on the way back from South Wales on the coach, I took a pic of the snow in Tredegar and also near Hereford and I took a picture of the 50p size snowflake shower when I got home.
There was around 2 inches in Tredegar and 3-5 inches in the hills around Hereford. Only snow on the grass in Leicester when I got home, that heavy shower settled even on wet ground though because it was intense.
Nice pics thanks
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If GFS 18z comes off maybe a new thread will have to be started this summer for "Snow patches surviving on Midland hills", let alone the traditional Scottish mountains one..... 10 foot drifts anyone?! (Already got 1ft drifts here on Beacon Hill, another 9ft to go lol)
That's my ramp anyway. I know in reality by midweek there will be the familiar sound of rain lashing against the window......
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3 channel lows between Mon and Thu! Just to see such output within the 7-day timeframe is impressive enough. To see even one come off in reality would be a bonus of course.
And a 4th channel low snowfest for Fri night? Insane!
(Caveat - very unclear what will happen in reality beyond the next couple of days, but these are extremely unusual charts to see, certainly within such a close timeframe)
[Edit: further caveat, didn't make it clear I'm talking from a West Mids perspective here, as we would be bang in the most likely snow zone for the modelled set-up]
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3 channel lows between Mon and Thu! Just to see such output within the 7-day timeframe is impressive enough. To see even one come off in reality would be a bonus of course.
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Sounds like we were lucky here as over in Stourbridge the settling snow was rubbish tbh yet just 1 or 2 Miles NE here it was all white. Still some snow around too. Clent was looking nice and white from our road today too.
Here it's a similar height to Clent and finished up with 5 inches of snow by the end of yesterday. Not much melted today on the grass or in the woods - this eve @5.30pm still an average of ~4 inches on the grass on the highest parts of Beacon Hill, with drifts close to a foot in places (honestly not exaggerating) and trees with all their snow intact in the woods. This was despite several hours of strong sunshine, and no top-up of falling snow.
I thought of that just after posting lol
The Midlands Regional Discussion Thread
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Looking at Met Eireann, the "more prolonged spell of rain or sleet.....across southern areas....tonight" will be "turning to snow in places further inland". If it falls as snow in southern/central Ireland, surely a good chance for the English midlands, right?