iand61
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Posts posted by iand61
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How deeply envious you make me feel.
The Met' Office forecast yesterday led me to believe in the possibility of between 25 and 40 mm of rain here today but in the event it's been just intermittent light-moderate rain amounting to just 4.2 mm since 0800 g.m.t.
The heavier rain was always on the western slopes, around Leek and on the hills above Macclesfield but even they have had nothing compared to your area.
I feel as I would if someone told me I'd won £10,000 on the lottery but in the event it turns out to be a tenner.
maybe an hour ago but now we've a flooded conservatory, a road completely underwater and at least one neighbour with a river coming through their house.
haven't seen it first hand but i would immagine that Bacup town centre and the lower parts of the Rossendale Valley are quite bad now and its still torrential.
good luck out Bury, Manchester and Salford...its all heading your way
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We've had constant torrential rain now since 5.30pm and its still coming down and looking at the raging torrent that the normally tiny stream just beyond the bottom of our garden has become i'll be amazed if there isn't some major flooding from the River irwell lower down stream.
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Wettest day i've seen for a long while and one of the wettest summer days i can ever remember.
It's rained all day, at least since 5am and at the moment its absolutely hammering it down, or rather horizontally taking the wind into account.
Unbelievably bad day.
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Looks bad for NW England tomorrow, could a right washout if models are correct.
Met O are going for 100mm of rain over much of the populated NW region which, if it came even close I would have thought would be one of the wettest days for many years. 100mm may occur during most years over parts of Cumbria but for Lancs, Greater Manchester etc. I would Imagine it would be a "one to tell the kids about" event.
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Yes its absolutely vile out there, its trying to snow and this wind is getting stronger all the time, the heating is back on and my visit to the Harrogate Flower Show is off, I doubt whether the marques will still be standing!
Other than the warm spell in late March, I don't think our heating has been off this year and apart from the one day heatwave forecast for Monday I can't see that changing in the near future.
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What a horrible morning.
Blowing a gale and heavy sleet here so I would imagine that some of the Pennine tops could be white by now.
Roll on Summer.
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These people are not true weather enthusiasts, IMO,. Weather happens all year round not just winter. I can't believe so many people on this site allow their lives to revolve around winter. I for one don't.
Me neither,
I like to see snow falling and on the ground but TBH i get a bigger buzz from a good thunderstorm.
Snow is ok but there is a trade off with it (freezing cold mornings and bad driving and walking conditions) not found with most other weather and the freezing rain crap from this week just puts the tin hat on it..
Yes i like to go out walking, wrapped up in cold and snowy weather but i'd sooner go out walking in shorts and T shirt in warm summer conditions any day.
It's all down to personal preferences but as i get older, mine is heading more and more into the warm camp.
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Temperature currently at -0.5c here where it has been steady since about 1.30pm so it's looking like another ice day today. The last few days have been really strange though with the bulk of the cold appearing to be the surface type and this having the unusual effect of stripping more of the snow from the hills than down in the valley.
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Currently -2c here with just the slightest hint of flakes of snow in the air. Even though there is little in the way of a breeze it still feels bitterly cold and raw outside and several days of damp and drizzly conditions along with freezing temeratures have left the trees and walls appearing silver.
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Yes but that cloud to the nw in early hours will come over lifting temp which is the problem.
TBH i don't want freezing rain.
Only experienced it a couple of times and only once in the long number of years i've been driving and believe me It's just to dangerous to be out in.
If we can't have snow and IMBY it looks unlikely from the scurrent set up then i'll gladly settle for bog standard wash away rain.
For all those in more favourable areas for snow...enjoy it folks.
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Currently -3.9c here compared to -2c at this time yesterday so unless cloud and warmer air moves in a long time before rain starts I expect we will be looking at the car version of dancing on ice tomorrow.
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well spotted. I'd shut the curtains ha.
It looks like thats the last bits of it though.
Hopefully a good frosty night tonight and then 4 inches of crisp snow to get out in tomorrow and then possibly more top ups in the next few days.
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Definately snowing but also very noisy which means there must be some ice content in it, covered more in last 1/2 hour than all day!
Agreed, i don't think i've ever known a fall of snow last so long and yet drop so little although i've just been out to the car and it's finally decided to come down a lot harder.
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Been snowing here since about 12 oclock but other than in short bursts has never really got going so even now we have only got about 2-3cm.
that said though it's really fine snow and even the slightest wind is blowing it around so it looks quite nasty outside.
Just hope it intesifies later as all other conditions seem perfect for a decent fall.
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about half an hour hc
Radar is showing a definate forward edge reaching the Lancs coast now although with breaks behind before the main area arrives.
I would immagine that within the next hour or so steady something will be falling across the coastal areas.
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-3c
-6 dew point
Looks like at this rate it will be late afternoon early evening for the snow which will be better!
CF looks like you've confirmed something which i was thinking in that unusually, temperatures in the east of the region are currently higher than those further west.
I'm only at -3.8c, similar to yourself 15 miles south but at similar altitude but -6 & -7c are being mentioned west of the M6.
We've got clear sky's so it isn't cloud to blame but possibly a bit of inversion going on.
How, if at all that effects what happens later today i haven't a clue.
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I can't see where folk are getting the idea that the front is stalling from.
It might have slowed a tad but not stalled.
The radar shows a steady movement out of Ireland and towards the Western mainland.
At this rate i would imagine the first cloud to start reaching the coast, Cumbria especially within the next hour or so and south of Morecambe Bay by mid morning.
As regards precipitaion, that should start reaching the region by late morning or lunchtime although what is falls as is anyones guess.
IMO this is in line with what last nights forecast was saying although i haven't seen one today.
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i have thought about this 2 to 5cm and surely thats underesimating it with 6 to 9 hours of frontal snowfall.
Thats what i've been thinking as well.
Even a brief 2-3 hours of snow would drop a couple of inches on the ground and as you said the duration is expected to be much longer than that. My feeling with this event for our region is that it's all or nothing and no middle ground.
We either get a situation where the warm air mixes rapidly and snow turns to sleet turns to rain in little time or, and i think the more likely option at present is a prolonged period of heavy snow giving amounts of double what the forecasts are talking.
Obviously though some parts of the region will fare better than others regarding amounts but even low ground in the west should do very well out of this.............unless everything backtracks tomorrow.
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With all of this talk about snow, as anyone any idea what the winds are going to be like.
Normally with frontal rainfall, there is at least a decent breeze and that would be sufficient to cause some blowing of snow and drifting.
The frontal snow events i've seen have usually been accompanied by strong winds.
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getting sick of it now one of the mods should comment on it if we did it we would have our post deleted
It was pretty bad earlier in the week and the mods did start threatening to delete and move posts.
Whether it happened or not i don't know but last night was better.
You won't stop the SE bias as most live down there but it is annoying at times.
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You say fairly run of the mill stuff but how many such breakdowns have you actually experienced in your lifetime?
What we could do with is a Feb 1979 failed type of breakdown.
Plenty of snow blown about by plenty of wind with plenty more cold waiting in the wings and not a sniff of rain.
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2009/2010 took me a total of 3 1/2 hours to clear my drive of snow! How I pray for another 3 1/2 hours of manual labour! Oh lord!
Good fancy coming doing mine on Sunday then.
That pitiful bit we had on Friday night was too little to shovel off so it's still there in the bit where the car doesn't go.
If nothing else it shows how cold it's been since.
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If the ECM is right and the front stalls, you're looking at putting the ruler away, and switching to the tape measure.
You received 1ft of snow, that's more than ok :lol:
I'd have said less than that although it felt like it trying to clear the drive.
Maybe i am just being plain greedy then but i really want the region to get a good dumping from this although i wouldn't put my last tenner on it.
I'd probably put a fiver each on us ending up with rain and slush and EA & the SE getting plastered.
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I wonder how deep it could be here :o
Depends on whether the front carries on through or stalls over us but if anyone in the region is going to see a decent fall i would say yourselves are in a favoured location.
The North Of England Regional Discussion
in Regional
Posted
still raining here although not as heavy as over recent hours but it has certainly been an exceptional day of rain.
as previous posters have mentioned, there is an awful lot of water to run off the Penninies and onto low lying ground so, although the worst of the rain may have passed, certainly for this part of the North West, i think it could be a worrying night for many.