iand61
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Posts posted by iand61
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I wonder how deep it could be here :o
Depends on whether the front carries on through or stalls over us but if anyone in the region is going to see a decent fall i would say yourselves are in a favoured location.
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I'd fetch the rock salt too, trust me, you're gonna need it. :winky:
I hope your right.
I can stand a good fall of snow at weekend when i don't have to drive in it although it is a long while since we had what i would consider a good fall, December 18/19th 2010 (can't remember which) was ok but i'm feeling greedy now.
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Wow -3.0c now. It would never be this cold here if the wind was northerly or north westerly.
Ours is at -1'c but i've just been outside and with a breeze now blowing. it's got a perishing cold feel to it.
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Nope, those colours represent intensity as per the key at the bottom of the chart.
Thanks for that Bt,
I better leave it out then and find the sledge.
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Very nice ECM 12z snowfall charts for Saturday night, snow shovels at the ready
850 temps staying well below 0c even after the front moves through.
Shovel is ready but does the blue indicate rain?
If so i might as well put it away again.
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If the front stalled over the middle of the country, then we would be left in the milder air behind it, creating freezing rain as the milder uppers are mixed out, but the surface cold in still intact.
I think the most likely scenario is a few hours of snow on the leading edge where uppers will still be cold enough to keep any precipitation as snow, followed by freezing rain as the colder uppers are mixed out, even though we would still have the cold surface temperatures and dewpoints on the right side of marginal.
The best possible scenario is that the front stalls just West of us, meaning that the Atlantic won't be allowed to make inroads as it comes up against the Russian block, but the uppers should still be the right side of marginal as we keep the Easterly feed of air.
That's good to hear, the cloud clearance must be just East of me then, over Warrington/Manchester.
There is always the scenario where the snow arrives over the region, becomes stationary and the cold air is never mixed out.
After a 48 hour fall amounting to over 2 feet the easterly finally wins out and we are plunged into a 3 week long deep freeze.
Highly unlikely i admit as even a moderate version of this became extinct 30 years ago but we can always hope.
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Just went out to the bin and was met by three tiny snow flakes passing by.
It's stopped again now but who said we wouldn't get anything from this easterly
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Light snow here
Nowt here at the moment although the radar is showing some light showers starting to come over the Pennines from Yorkshire.
Can see us getting much but enything is better than the nothing which is being forecast.
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yes it's next weeks forecast after the biggest invasion from the east since Genghis Khan gives up without as much as a wimper.Can anyone make sense of this forecast issued this evening for the next few days?! I can't begin to explain........ Have a read, so wrong.
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Showers from the East are making it quite a way in land now looking at the satelite.
It all seems a little to marginal today though with some in the Yorkshire thread reporting snow although others, even with considerable altitude only getting rain.
Personally I can't see them making it over to this side of the Pennines as the current alignment is pushing them NW but with only a modest change to more of a westerly direction we could be in with a shout.
That said i can't imagine much falling and even with altitude, it could be sleet at best.
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NW forecast has changed for me. Increased chance of snow from this afternoon?
same here.
it goes with what the GFS snow risk map is saying but completely against MetO and BBC forecasts which show us dry enough for the next 5 days to warrant a hosepipe ban.
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Think of this as a trade off and sacrifice today's snow which, looking at temperatures will be at best slushy and worst rain for deeper embeded cold and a greater chance during the coming week.
Or get the Prozac ready for when the East gets buried under feet of snow and the NW becomes, as is often the case in these circumstances the Sunshine State.
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1.4'c and has been fairly steady for the last couple of hours.
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Uhm so this is all phantom precip ?? ....
Whether it's phantom or not, only those sitting under it can answer but the problem is that must people currently sat under it will have to be in boats.
I want to share your optimism here and hope you're right with the direction the arrows are showing because it would certainly give us something from the large area currently North of the region; but i still feel it is being held back towards the west and until something (hopefully snow) falls I will not be convinced.
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I see the GFS 06Z PPN charts have gone of on one snow for all NW England this afternoon and evening
C.S
Can't see it verifying.
If it does then i'd suspect they'll be some happy folk on here and plenty of red faces at the MetO and on the BBC as they try and explain why they missed it.
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Unfortunately from an IMBY point of view i have to agree with those who say that west is best with the extent of pecipitation from this front.
I think that the common boundary for North West weather patterns, the M6 will again play its part and i can't see much if anything falling to the east of that line. Even the large area showing on the radar to the noth of our region is backing towards the SW and out to sea again.
As i said earlier, the blocking to the east is just to strong but if that helps me hold onto the snow we've already got i'm not really that bothered.
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Looking at the radar, the main bulk of precip already looks like it's hit a brick wall, it probably won't get much further east!
Yes it seems to start sliding south as soon as it reaches the north west coast.
It apears that the blocking to the east is having an effect so it's looking like game over for now although TBH looking at the forecasts it was never really game on for our part of the region.
Anyway i'd sooner have a dry day than one where promised snow actually falls as rain and washes our cover away.
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Something very fine coming out of the sky at the moment, mizzle,not a good thing as we are currently frozen solid so it will just add another layer of ice on everything, please turn to grauple at least!
Yes just looked out and it does seem a bit drizzly, certainly a poor day compared to yesterday.
Worryingly the temperature has just climbed above freezing on my side of the valley at least so as you said; with frozen ground it will become even more icy underfoot.
The radar is starting to show showers at least threatening to reach our area so we stand a chance of something, but whether that something is wet or white is anyones guess.
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What a beautiful winters morning, clear blue skies with only partial cloud, currenly -2.8c and a covering of crunchy snow underfoot.
Other than watching a blizzard rage and snow pile up from the comfort of your home it doesn't get much better than this.
Hopefully off out now to try and get some miles underfoot and a few pictures.
As for Sunday, BBC are showing the possibility that the frontal snow "may" reach the North West but personally i wouldn't put my last tenner on it and TBH, if that means the associated milder air also getting here i'd be happy if it stopped offshore to give the cold a chance to set in before the beasterly arrives.
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Just driven from Todmorden back to Bacup, quite thick snow on the road over the top at about 1400 ft. On the journey there at 18.30 I met a load of cars sliding backwards down the hill where the initial covering had turned to sheet ice, thankyou Suzuki for my 4wd. Looking at the radar there is another clump heading in our direction so I might wake to a nice covering in the morning.
If you'd managed to escape to Todmorden i can't imagine why you'd want to try and get back to Bacup.
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BBC are certainly ramping up the chances of frontal snow for the NW on Sunday although with reservations of how far across the country it would get.
Could be some interesting times ahead especially if that massive cold pool from Eastern Europe decides to come over here looking for work.
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We had a heavy sleet to snow to sleet type of shower about 6pm which covered the ground and cars and although it is now fine, has not melted other than immediately outside the house.
Looking at the satelite, it appears that the current shower area has now passed over the Pennines although there seems to be another cluster just leaving NI so possibly a wake to to white could be on the cards for parts of the North tomorrow.
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Not sure if i'm on the right one here but if my memory serves me right the snow on the forecast by John Kettley resulted in it taking me 4 hours to travel the 6 miles from work to home, a journey which normally i can do in 20 minutes.
In over 1 hour of that time i travelled 20 feet and only then after about a dozen of us had pushed a bus far enough to free it from completely blocking the road.
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It's certainly been another wild day in these parts with high winds and rain since lunchtime. The additional rain falling on saturated ground is having an effect as the normally babling brook just beyong the bottom of our garden, a tributory of the Irwell is now back to this mornings high levels.
I can immagine flooding being a problem in many areas if the rain keeps up overnight as forecast.
North West Of England Regional Discussion Thread
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
I'd have said less than that although it felt like it trying to clear the drive.
Maybe i am just being plain greedy then but i really want the region to get a good dumping from this although i wouldn't put my last tenner on it.
I'd probably put a fiver each on us ending up with rain and slush and EA & the SE getting plastered.