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Severe Siberian icy blast

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Posts posted by Severe Siberian icy blast

    Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

    Funny you say that, I was in Evesham early this morning and no snow on the ground was to be seen, so when mentioned to the client I was dealing with that we had snow yesterday evening, he said “we never really see snow down here like you guys in Brum” ....funny that! they could do well tomorrow.

    Ohh nice what was you doing in evesham iv got a barber shop there, apart from breaking the social barriers between districts  you swine

    • Like 1

    Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    My artistic nature of my predictions lol,,, 

    I personally can't see getting much further north than brum, for those in Leicester and Stafford, I'd just radar watch and hope for the best, 

    We all know its pointless until the day but I'd say Central mids down to South mids been the best spots, 

    ⛄

    Screenshot_20210123_163002.jpg

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 2

    Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Looks like the Midlands may hit the jackpot! I find it strange though because I've had a read of the met office text and they're saying significant accumulations of snow for London and the SE but that chart doesn't show it.

    Looking forward to some snowy pics tomorrow!

    I think because it's the capital of UK, they put the risk higher, yet the write up of the midlands is pretty pants to be honest, I watched in agony last night brum get smashed again, now the showers to the northwest look like going east of me, 

    This winter has been one of the most frustrating of winters so far. If I miss tomorrow I'm gonna be throwing all my children's toys in the bin #justsaying 

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 1

    Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    11 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

    Infact the ecm moves it so far south that theres no additional snow for the midlands what so ever!!i did say expect the standard further southern corrections!!expect gfs 06 and ukv to move even more south later!!ah well lets hope we get some more widespread snow showers in a while!

    Well the ppn projection iv just looking at on ecm takes it to Birmingham? 

    Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

    Infact the ecm moves it so far south that theres no additional snow for the midlands what so ever!!i did say expect the standard further southern corrections!!expect gfs 06 and ukv to move even more south later!!ah well lets hope we get some more widespread snow showers in a while!

    Well I'm on meteociel and can't for the life of me read french very well and I went through most options and couldn't find ppn forecasts? 

    • Like 1

    Model output discussion - into the last third of January

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    37 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    Really disappointed with EC..

    There is virtually no vortex to our north west but still the lows keep a coming..

    image.thumb.png.443a36b487bc84563012a62ae0d0a561.png

    Why we disappointed? Look at the bigger picture, we have zero vortex in the usual place it calls home which means there's scope for very very interesting charts to pop up over the next few days, I think by the wkend we'll be looking at the cold spell on its way 

    • Like 7

    Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    35 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

    A strong signal for above average temperatures especially further South now showing on GEFS ensembles favouring a positive NAO with low pressure to the north and high pressure to the South. Not a great outlook with flooding becoming a major issue for some.

    A25DEDA9-2B87-4133-8EDF-28800DADCA06.png

    A stronger signal for cold weather though before hand? Your looking 59 fi calling it strong 

    Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Blessed Weather
    Unnecessary comment removed

    1 hour ago, D.V.R said:

    There appears to be signs of something colder from the N/NE at the end of Jan - early Feb when you look at both the GFS  from the NH view it doesn't look too bad.

    image.thumb.png.d68938c54f06b2639edba36401d3e7c9.png image.thumb.png.ad38b6c5309bf689f4d306fac182b2bf.png

    The GEM also looks like maybe pressure starting to our N/NE.

    image.thumb.png.4fd1e61c26510e1acc4de8f11779f7b3.png

     

     

    Stick within t144 time frame, we're struggling to get 4 days correct let alone 2 weeks, 

    I know your trying pick a pattern so cudos, but honestly anyone that reads these charts correctly will understand its just a mathmatical equation based upon today, focus on 6 days and under at the very longest, 

    I like the ECM, uppers a little colder, I'm sure by next wk things will start to look colder again, we want the artic high to push south, if this happens its bringing our chances of deep cold higher. The low pressure will sink south, so will the colder air 

    • Like 5

    North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by Severe Siberian icy blast

    10 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

    I appreciate they are valued. I was enaging in a two way discussion and suddenly the posts dissappeared. Slightly frustrating.

    Kasim it's nothing personal, they are very strict at managing it, we use to have things very off topic all the time and they had to take a stand becsuse it's internationally recognised as been the best weather forum or at least one of in the world, its got some leading guys in hear and your really a breath of fresh air trust me I love your posts. 

    Some of the strat experts led the way and got head hunted by leading organisations. 

    It looks aragont I agree but it's how it is, maybe message him and tell him how it is, head up lad with your 27 days of lying snow I nearly blocked you there and then I was that jel

    • Like 2

    Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, nobble said:

    Good news 

    too many call it off before it’s started !

    Happens all the time, If you followed the low pressure system and its movement it was always gonna pivot back around as it begins to slip south. Hoping for some snow here im about 30m out the warning areas but ?‍♂️

    Yorkshire and E England regional discussion

    in Yorkshire & E.England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

    The front will wiggle around now as Scott says ultimately no huge thermodynamic swings for the area now so for Yorkshire the precip type will likely remain quite stable.

    It does look like its pivoting and moving west slowly now I'm guessing it has to if the warning area re the midlands will come into fruition because the ppn has left the mids in the main atm 

    • Like 1

    Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    1 minute ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    yes if you look at GFS 06Z, quarantine walk in shorts and flip flops! on 26th Jan, not that it will happen, but yes looking at latest models January looks a write off, still Feb and Mar though

    We have over 2 weeks of the month to go and the models can't accurately forecast 4 days atm let alone the rest of the month?‍♂️

    Big statement that based on 2 days of not so good modeling, and one that's gonna bite you hard in the bum when things change on the models and il be the one holding the dog that let's him bite

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