[Model Output Discussion 19th January 2014-18z onwards.]

My last post in this thread:  ... discussing the UKMO 00z... expected the UKMO 12z to backtrack because it didn't tie in the other models and signals, which it has. I know this makes me as popular as a leper but oh well.

well said bobby too many have been getting carried away in here I did warn people yesterday but got shot down

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 10/02/13 17z ------->]

What radar is showing this snow forming ?

[Winter Model Discussion 18Z 5/2/13 onwards.]

I remember the good old days when loging on to the weather news group when they were well informed views and banter out to t96 accuracy was say 60/40 back then. I do have a giggle to myself reading the views on here beyond that! Even the metoffice confidence during the winter drops to 50/50 beyond t120 in 2013 :-) :-)

[Winter Model Discussion 18Z 3/2/13 onwards.]

Agreed ,

But I do sound harsh , so I apologise , again !

I guess 4 years of Ian's M O D E R N winter tosh , and always talking down what the charts actually show , has had an effect on me .

No offence intended.

Back to the models , it's interesting to see things shaping up as they are , the gfs in fi has regularly gone for heights toward Iceland , then Greenland toward the back end of fi , also to hear a few LRF going for a very cold February , also over on TWO I see Brian has consistently shared his confidence in a potential cold feb , especially the middle . So maybe this is our month this year ? I know traditionally February was our snowiest month in the past but more recent years have seen feb been nothing more than a mild horrible squid .

If you dont start behaving yourself i will take you to see MR Brassington

[West Midlands Regional Discussion 22/01/13 23z ------>]

Where are you picog

[West Midlands Regional Discussion 20/01/13 18z ------>]

Sorry try copy and paste not use to hyperlinking on phone yet.

Yes i think so I LOVE SNOW it is now beign undercut by a gusty s.e wind which is also causing band to intensify a little on its eastern flank

[West Midlands Regional Discussion 20/01/13 18z ------>]

I

Hang About mostly on model watching thread but god its getting so tedious they steadfastly refuse to discuss or

acknowledge any thing about present day and next 24 hrs models grrrr and way follow this link to what i think could be a big surprise for quite a few west midlanders tonight.http://www.meteox.com/h.aspx?r=&soort=loop3uur

Sorry for grammer using i phone and not too god with it

[Winter Model Discussion 18Z 19/1/13 onwards.]

Can i request a present say 6-72hrs Model watch section particualy through the coldest periods, it is hard word trawling through all the long range model watch to find just a few post on current synopis. The last few days have shown how sudden things change and little mention is given in this forum which is a shame for such a good weather site

[West Midlands Regional Discussion 20/01/13 18z ------>]

The band of snow south of Hampshire is moving very quick and has our name on it :-)

[Winter Model Discussion 18Z 19/1/13 onwards.]

Well said Mr Frost my sentiments too!!!

[Winter Model Discussion 18Z 19/1/13 onwards.]

The weather since Thursday has been incredible for many and most models show a cold week ahead! Breakdown next weekend who knows!! There has been a few surprises this weekend with snow falling in areas not predicted 12 hrs ago so come on peeps cheer up ! Who knows what tommorow brings let alone next weekend !!!

[Winter Model Discussion 18Z 16/1/13 onwards.]

Oh my word GFS have had problems for 10 days due to some data collection problems!!! They ate producing short term solutions well but really struggling with medium and long term solutions :-)

[West Midlands Regional Discussion - 17th January 2013, 12z onwards]

Folks this is going to be a once in a generation experience for many take care !! This band sat over midlands is a develope occlusion that is gaining energy from the approaching front the fact it hasn't peterd out yet can only point to it gaing more energy as the other front approaches a few shocks in store for some in store I think

[West Midlands Regional Discussion]

How much in Alvechurch folks?? And in regards to our Shaun he was happy with 2cm as a kid in redditch !!! Don't get greedy in your old age lol

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 13/01/13 --------->]

But the dew point will rise as the first band pushes through leaving rain or sleet at best

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 13/01/13 --------->]

?? Shaky you need to look again:-)

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 13/01/13 --------->]

For us west of Brum this first band was our I ly chance of snow! I've just used 5 bags of grit to ensure business as usuall tommoro to be quite frank what a waste of money ! Have to say just like the weather forecasting in this country!!!!!

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 13/01/13 --------->]

All gong tits up for anybody south and west of Birmingham if you want snow

[The Midlands Regional Winter Discussion]

left trouser legy left trouser legy pants time :-) (Green Mile)

[The Midlands Regional Winter Discussion]

Where are you windy snow?

[The Midlands Regional Winter Discussion]

AdZyy IMO the cold is just starting to get a hold the dew point is dropping quickly and that's the important thing for snow to fall ! I'd be amazed if any rain falling dosent turn to snow from a curved line from Bristol through birmingham and across to hull (South)

[The Midlands Regional Winter Discussion]

I am expecting snow Sunday night into Monday! Not sure which charts you are all looking at !!! Alvechurch BTW

[Winter Model Discussion - 11/01/13 00z Onwards]

I did say on Wednesday that Saturday's snow would be south of m4, and even mr Fergie dissed me lol. Good news for some is I think Monday's snow line will be east of Wales and the south west of England which should mean all of england should see some snow before midnight Monday 😱

[Winter Model Discussion 12Z 09/01/13> The hunt for cold ?]

Hi Ian so is met office now agreeing to my post to you earlier ??? :-)

[Winter Model Discussion 12Z 09/01/13> The hunt for cold ?]

Can only repeat my previous post ! GFS will change back tommorow be sure of that !