shotski
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Posts posted by shotski
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2 minutes ago, lassie23 said:
in Siberia?
You’ve been warned Lassie
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Beast from the East part two starts 25th Feb.
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Never seen so much snow in my life
Obertauern , Austria getting my snow fix
2.5 meters in places
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9 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
Were they consistently showing what you put up there though, and also, have you got the clusters from around that time?
I think my point is that at the moment they swing wildly from run to run so not to take them too literally at that range.
Edit: apart from our neck of the woods that’s pretty decent at that range , typical really
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1 minute ago, feb1991blizzard said:
You need really to put the anomaly from today up but at that range the ensemble mean might not necessarily be all that useful anyway.
That’s why there called the extended ? No point in sugar coating it, no one would have predicted a zonal storm from that chart.
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2 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:
Yes agree the ecm extended haven’t been great this winter so I’m not to worried about them yet . We would of had 5 cold spells 8ft snow drifts and frozen lakes if the eps had come off this winter . Hope Nick (BA) doesn’t see this post he won’t be happy that I’ve slag off his bestie model .
Let’s see how the extended EPS handled today.
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31 minutes ago, mulzy said:
Sadly the ext EPS are not really improving. The mean suggests a very intense mid-Atlantic trough with Euro heights. Without lower heights into Europe, there is no route to cold.
There a complete waste of time, of late anyway. They swing wildly from day to day and seem to follow the operation run into the extended outlook. They’ve been very inconsistent this winter.
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Well looking at the extended EPS an early spring certainly doesn’t look on the cards.
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47 minutes ago, yamkin said:
ECM 12Z Is Now On It's Own Re The Easterly. Still a Long Way Off
I’m just going to leave this in here and pop out for supplies
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16 minutes ago, D.V.R said:
I don't think it's the lack of cold but the strength of the jet stream that has got stronger over the years making it harder for any ridges to build favourable for our benefit.. It's harder for any Scandinavian ridges to back West like it used to.
I think somebody posted some anomaly charts of the jet stream over past decades which showed how much it's strengthened.
And the reason for this is obviously linked to climate change IMHO as the temp gradient from the poles to the tropics is greater thus creating a stronger and more meandering jet stream.
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5 minutes ago, mulzy said:
I really think post-mortems should wait till 28th February. The ext EPS while poor have been far from consistent. Less of an Atlantic influence in this morning's set. Clusters will be interesting - maybe a start of a trend to more settled conditions (yes mild initially then colder) - just don't know at the moment.
Absolutely, I think we’ve still got realistically 6 good weeks of potentially wintry weather to look forward to, except next week of course
i wouldn’t be surprised if we end up with a cold UK high in a week or so time and after that it’s anyones guess.
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massive upgrades on the way
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Just seen a Polar Bear walk down our street so I’m sure there’s some snow on the way
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18 minutes ago, snowbob said:
Watching good old carol kirkwood this morning
Graphics very much looked like some sort of streamer around the Thames tomorrow lunchtime
any thoughts
I can never concentrate on the weather when she’s on for some reason
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1 minute ago, lassie23 said:
Beast from the east alert in the MOD thread
Let’s face it, an easterly is much more common in Feb/March than it would be in Dec or Jan for example. So maybe this time it should be given a little bit of consideration.
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Hello Beast, what took you so long ?
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31 minutes ago, lassie23 said:
Unfortunately an easterly is looking unlikely, they have all failed to materialize this winter so far, no beast from the east
Oh Lassie you’ve jinxed it now sure to get an easterly...........checks latest ECM day 8
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Morning All. I’m certainly not seeing the correction south that a lot of people were predicting yesterday, maybe the met office and the beeb got it right after all. This time tomorrow we’ll know for sure
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Love it Dan getting more information than the Met office couldn’t make it up.
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9 minutes ago, Ben Lewis said:
Look east have the snow line up to south Lincolnshire tomorrow night
Where on earth on BBC getting their info from?
Pretty misleading to the public I think.
Not if their right it’s not
its exactly the same as the met office video forecast.
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Wet snow here for the last hour and a half but not having much impact yet. But good to see falling snow
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Now moderate snow in Bedfordshire
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14 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:
And as I said that ECM rolls out and gives us a pasting on Thursday with it much further south and nothing marginal at all about Thursday
ECM precipitation charts for Thursday, slightly further north than I expected.
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24 minutes ago, Bogman said:
The first screen shot looks wrong, just plain wrong............
Looks like it could dump a load on Scotland
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018
in Regional
Posted
What am I going to do with all this fat I’ve put on in preparation for a cold winter ?? It best hurry up and get here now a wee man in Austria tells me 25th Feb is when the cold returns.