shotski

i would be suprised if any snow stuck tomorrow, I think we will get wet snow/ sleet in the chilterns but not enough to ground flights. Hope I'm wrong

I think the storm at the end of the week has been slowly down graded, as you say we could get some decent cold on the back edge as it passes through. For decent cold look to the new year and a scandi high developing

Can't see it myself, think they will change it tomorrow.

What Low ? Have you seen the latest ECM run ?

Wet snow in Leighton Buzzard today, ok maybe sleet on second thoughts. Good 2c

ECM looking better for cold at the moment after fridays event. Edit: short lived cold

I didn't say it would give you northerlies, I was trying to make the point that with so much bottled up cold any POTENTIAL northerly would be a good one. I was refering to a topler.

I think the strenght of the polar vortex is not ideal for any northern blocking to form. But probably good news for the ice pack and any potential northerly's. Could someone please post the 850 temp charts for the states.

An early start to winter in Russia and eastern europe starting to kick in at the moment, Moscow could be in for a severe winter indeed. Maybe our best chances are from the east this winter. sorry if off topic.

The cold can't be in two places at once, last November/December it was our turn while eastern europe was exceptionaly mild. This year the cold is about to cover Russia and eastern parts and may be there for some time, I think we may have to look east this year for any real cold conditions.

But off the mark this summer

Agree

Thanks Tom D for the explanation, I will put my wife on storm alert

Would it be possible to explain exactly what the above charts are showing, I gather it is storm potential but how does it work ?????

Hi all, has anyone any data on the gulf stream at present ? Would be interesting to see if its still in a dorment state. Could this herald a weather change pattern for the UK, winters & summers dominated by high pressure ?

I enjoy the snow and cold but working on a roof today with freezing rain in my face at 3 degrees was no fun For me this winter (first half) was one I will remember for a very long time, I cant remember in my lifetime temperatures so low for so long. In a way it was a blessing we had a mild second half of winter as the wildlife was really starting to suffer and another freeze could have been a disaster, its good now to see the flowers coming up and the birds starting to build their nests. Have a good summer everyone and see you all next year Shotski

Posted this a few days back, didn't realise at the time that the record lowest temp for March was -21.1 in 1947 just shows its never to late for snow. Noticed towards the end of the GFS the ridge in the atlantic moves closer to Greenland

If this chart comes off it would be one day before my birthday, which would be nice . will be interesting to see what the meto do with their longrange outlook in the next couple of days. in the meantime enjoy the warmth for the next few days

Yes, but maybe a trend to a rise in pressure to the north west of the uk by the end of the month.

I'm going to stick my neck out here with a mad forecast, The Greeny high will make a return for the beggining of March breaking the lowest temp record for that month in the uk. Heavy snow for the southeast (except Cambridgeshire :lol: ) and the winter will go out with a Bang

Too Late

After a record cold start to winter it has now gone the shape of the pear Its now starting to feel like the winters of old I thought we had left behind Record low arctic sea ice, even lower than 2007 can anyone give me some hope before I hit this

They are lookin a load of old B#@#@cks

Fair point :unsure: some of the members on there react to each run, you soon know who you can trust and he at the moment is keeping stum

The other models will come on board, even if we get the middle ground of what the ECM is showing it would still be a decent cold spell. That is a pure beast at T+240 if only it was T+96 I think the BOM has been showing this for a while now to. NO GAPS also showing the Beast