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shotski

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Everything posted by shotski

  1. shotski
    I dont tend to look at the model output to much but just read the posts on the model output discusion of the people who know their stuff. The BBC are pritty good with their forecasting most of the time, they have a balanced view
  2. shotski
    What makes you so sure, only the ecm says so. other charts look like good snow potential ? Purple Blob ? should be GEM +144
  3. shotski
    ECM Looks like it could bring in a south westerly at +192 ? GFS Looks good for cold ? ECM performed best last time round. Hope i'm wrong.
  4. shotski
    What do Gaz and Babs know about the weather Hope we do get snow but think not, possible snizzel
  5. shotski
    The chances of a cold spell at the end of the month look 50/50 at the moment. If the euro high pushing up stalls at the wrong place we could see a very mild spell of weather, hopefuly it will travel slightly higher and sit over scandi. It looks like sleet/rain for 3 counties on Wed and then a milder end to the week.
  6. shotski
    A question for the Dons if I may, Deep in Fi on the latest GFS run it appears to show high pressure to our west and low pressure to our east. this looks very strange to me, or am I reading the charts wrong. Help
  7. shotski
    Question for Snowman, if I may, in deep Fi on GFS it appears to show High pressure to our west and low pressure to our east ? This seems a strange set-up or am I reading the charts wrong.
  8. shotski
    See my previous post on this page, I think a euro high forming will give us mildish weather for a time but then ridge slightly north alowing cold air to pour in, but not till the end of the month, What do the experts think ?
  9. shotski
    Dont look to the east for our next REAL cold spell, look to pressure building to the south of us at the end of the month and then pushing north over scandernavia. This is what happend prior to christmas and I think this may happen again, time will tell.
  10. shotski
    Do we have a streamer setting up off the Thames esturay www.raintoday.co.uk
  11. shotski
    Hi all, I have been reading glacier points posts on the technical model output threads for the last few weeks and this guy is always spot on. Does anyone know if he has a background in forecasting ?
  12. shotski
    You will get 10cm Min by the end of the night
  13. shotski
    You will get 10cm Min by the end of the night
  14. shotski
    Hi Bucks snow. We also have about 5cm in Slapton, Bucks, Do you think we are on for the BIG ONE . Looking at the radar it seems to be heading in our direction
  15. shotski
  16. shotski
    If the meto are not posting warnings for snow in your area for this week it meens very little, accurate snow forecasting from an e'ly can only be done at about 24 hours max. If you got snow from the pre xmas e'ly or last jan you will prob do well again. If you live on the eastern side of britain you should see some snow but you wont get 4 days notice with snow from the east.
  17. shotski
    Hi all, I must say that we were never really going to get any real snow from this as it was very marginal and all the meto warnings are just to cover their own backs. Next week looks interesting and I dont think we should write off the ECM output that brings seriously cold weather to our parts. My current record low is -9.6 and I think this may well be topped by the end of next week. The sort of temps these charts are showing have been to these parts on many ocassions so why not again
  18. shotski
    Not a hope Colder air not due till thurs.
  19. shotski
    ian ferguson just posted this
  20. shotski
    Hi Snowman. The low seems to be going much further north than we thought this morning, is this not what the GFS has been saying all along but has been mostly ignored. It seemed yesterday we was on for a memorable cold spell and now just a dry cold spell after 2morows rain. Also what are the prospects for my location this week
  21. shotski
    I agree with this, Its now looking like a major snow event is on the cards for many of us from tuesday onwards. All the models apart from the GFS bring some very cold air over the UK for a long period, this could be a very memorable event if you like snow and cold. A winter to remember me tink !!!!!!
  22. shotski
    Still plenty of snow on the ground here, Merry Xmass all.
  23. shotski
    When I left for work this morning it was -8.5 with freezing fog, Just had heavy rain and its +2 But it will be back for the new year. I agree it has been an amazing snow event for Bucks.
  24. shotski
    I am a complete novice at the weather but my way of thinking is that we are on the same latitude as canada and the only thing keeping us warm is the jet stream and the fact we are an island. If the jetstream is not there or goes south ,as it appears to have done, we are going to get cold. I know its not as simple as this but its the way i am thinking at the moment.
  25. shotski
    Another cold one in Slapton, Bucks -4.2 at the moment and falling. We had a low of -9.6 on 6th jan 09 I wonder if it will get close to that. Maybe more snow wed nite and then a very slight recovery over xmas but then it looks like the fun and games may really start in the new year. Keep it locked to the model output discusion, these people really know their stuff
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