[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 7]

I have been browsing through weather sites for a couple of days now, and there are that many model outputs some saying one thing some saying the opposite who do you belive, in my experience the weather change's at will and that is the way it will always be, the forcast should never more than 3-4 days ahead of it'self all long range forcasting is pure quesswork. (simple's)

I dont tend to look at the model output to much but just read the posts on the model output discusion of the people who know

their stuff.

The BBC are pritty good with their forecasting most of the time, they have a balanced view

[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 7]

Game over for the Easterly next week Im afraid

What makes you so sure, only the ecm says so. other charts look like good snow potential ?

Purple Blob ? should be GEM +144

[Model Output Discussion]

ECM Looks like it could bring in a south westerly at +192 ? GFS Looks good for cold ? ECM performed best last time round.

Hope i'm wrong.

[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 6]

On the following site, it says that Luton will see heavy snow:

http://www.heartduns...0&wxTownId=4584

What do Gaz and Babs know about the weather

Hope we do get snow but think not, possible snizzel

[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 6]

The chances of a cold spell at the end of the month look 50/50 at the moment. If the euro high pushing up stalls at the wrong

place we could see a very mild spell of weather, hopefuly it will travel slightly higher and sit over scandi.

It looks like sleet/rain for 3 counties on Wed and then a milder end to the week.

[Model Output Discussion]

A question for the Dons if I may, Deep in Fi on the latest GFS run it appears to show high pressure to our west and low

pressure to our east. this looks very strange to me, or am I reading the charts wrong. Help

[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 6]

Question for Snowman, if I may, in deep Fi on GFS it appears to show High pressure to our west and low pressure to our

east ? This seems a strange set-up or am I reading the charts wrong.

[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 6]

would anyone agree that the trends and models we are seeing now look very similar to last decembers before the last severe cold spell hit, as what we have current seems to be a copy more or less prior to it. Think things will change pretty quick from tuesday.

See my previous post on this page, I think a euro high forming will give us mildish weather for a time but then ridge slightly north

alowing cold air to pour in, but not till the end of the month, What do the experts think ?

[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 6]

Dont look to the east for our next REAL cold spell, look to pressure building to the south of us at the end of the month and then pushing

north over scandernavia.

This is what happend prior to christmas and I think this may happen again, time will tell.

[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 5]

Do we have a streamer setting up off the Thames esturay

www.raintoday.co.uk

[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 5]

Hi all, I have been reading glacier points posts on the technical model output threads for the last few weeks and this guy is always spot on.

Does anyone know if he has a background in forecasting ?

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

Meh. Not a sausage here and now not expecting any more than an inch, if anything.

You will get 10cm Min by the end of the night

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

Meh. Not a sausage here and now not expecting any more than an inch, if anything.

You will get 10cm Min by the end of the night

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

got 5cm now in bucks hope to see 40cm by the end

Hi Bucks snow. We also have about 5cm in Slapton, Bucks, Do you think we are on for the BIG ONE .

Looking at the radar it seems to be heading in our direction

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

I'm dreading going to work this week. I'm a postie and I hate it having to work out in the ice. I hope my manager watches the forecast and makes a sensible decision, though give him his due he did keep us in for a couple of days the week before xmas as it was treacherous underfoot. Its a shame there is no legislation about people keeping there paths and the pavements outside their properties clear. Sorry OT

Trouble is mate if you put salt on your path or try to clear the snow and it ices up and someone falls on it you are liable for

damages as YOU have created the hazard. I never clear the snow on my path for this reason.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

If the meto are not posting warnings for snow in your area for this week it meens very little, accurate snow forecasting from an e'ly can only

be done at about 24 hours max. If you got snow from the pre xmas e'ly or last jan you will prob do well again. If you live on the eastern side

of britain you should see some snow but you wont get 4 days notice with snow from the east.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion Part 19]

Hi all, I must say that we were never really going to get any real snow from this as it was very marginal and all the meto warnings are

just to cover their own backs. Next week looks interesting and I dont think we should write off the ECM output that brings seriously

cold weather to our parts. My current record low is -9.6 and I think this may well be topped by the end of next week. The sort of temps

these charts are showing have been to these parts on many ocassions so why not again

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion Part 19]

does anyone think high wycombe will get snow tonight

Not a hope Colder air not due till thurs.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion Part 19]

ian ferguson just posted this

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion Part 19]

Hi Snowman. The low seems to be going much further north than we thought this morning, is this not what the GFS has been saying

all along but has been mostly ignored. It seemed yesterday we was on for a memorable cold spell and now just a dry cold spell after

2morows rain. Also what are the prospects for my location this week

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion Part 18]

By the looks of models, ECM, JMA, GEM, GME & UKMO, the much colder feed really looks like filtering over the UK. I expect GFS to follow suit very soon. Exciting times ahead

I agree with this, Its now looking like a major snow event is on the cards for many of us from tuesday onwards. All the models apart from

the GFS bring some very cold air over the UK for a long period, this could be a very memorable event if you like snow and cold.

A winter to remember me tink !!!!!!

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion Part 18]

Still plenty of snow on the ground here, Merry Xmass all.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion Part 18]

We have had the snowfall of a lifetime here in the Chilterns, it has been stunningly beautiful for days. Chucking it down with vile rain at the moment washing away any chance of lying snow for Christmas ....We also had a huge flash of lightning and a roll of thunder too.

When I left for work this morning it was -8.5 with freezing fog, Just had heavy rain and its +2 But it will be back for the new year.

I agree it has been an amazing snow event for Bucks.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

I am a complete novice at the weather but my way of thinking is that we are on the same latitude as canada and the only

thing keeping us warm is the jet stream and the fact we are an island. If the jetstream is not there or goes south ,as it appears

to have done, we are going to get cold. I know its not as simple as this but its the way i am thinking at the moment.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

Another cold one in Slapton, Bucks -4.2 at the moment and falling. We had a low of -9.6 on 6th jan 09 I wonder if it will get

close to that. Maybe more snow wed nite and then a very slight recovery over xmas but then it looks like the fun and games

may really start in the new year. Keep it locked to the model output discusion, these people really know their stuff