Mr Frost

Morning all! Hope you all had a wonderful Christmas! Solely concentrating on Monday’s snow threat as there has been lots of chat about it. Everyone is posting snapshots of different times/models hence why it could be confusing for some. So here is the latest UKMO for 28/12 at 01:00: Latest UKV for the same time: Fast forward to the same day at 12:00 Hours later here is the UKMO for 29/12 at 01:00 UKV for 29/12 at 00:00 To summarise the exit to the SE is definitely the favoured option - who will see snowfall is still up for grabs! As we all know that will be all about nowcasting, radar watching and looking out the window Monday morning through to Tuesday morning with regards to the above potential event. Risk is certainly there for a decent settling snowfall for some through Monday. All the best to you all and good luck.

Morning all! It was never in doubt! Great pictures from the usual folk who hog all the snowfall in this thread every Winter! If I had to pick two days of the year to wake up to settling snowfall...Christmas Eve/Day would be the ones! Very jealous of you all. 2C here currently as I look out the window to a snowless landscape! Hint of pink from the sunrise. Looking ahead...buzzing for this! Have a great Christmas everyone!

Here is 15:00 for that day... 850hpa temperatures look very marginal - all rain event from North to South! All joking aside that could be a very exciting day for radar watching for many of us!

Morning all! Latest UKV look ahead to 28/12. 06:00 09:00 12:00 Just for fun the lying snow depth chart (mm) for this run out to 29/12 at 03:00. As ever at this range all the above charts...subject to many changes! Lively/proper weather here over the next few days! Have a great Christmas everyone and thank you all for another great year of weather chat - really enjoyed this thread throughout Spring and Summer this year. Hopefully a cold/snowy Winter 2020/21 ahead! All the best!

Wee look ahead to the 28/12... Latest UKV precipitation type snapshots below: 06:00 09:00 12:00 Still five days away - subject to much change at this range! Great to see a bit of wintry weather showing for you ladies and gents down South! If we can get a fairly widespread snow event (even a dusting) within the next seven/ten days for the UK/Ireland...it would calm down the nerves in this thread a wee bit with regards to the rest of Winter! All the best!

Interesting regarding beyond 120h. It certainly shows on the map section of the Met Office APP for the 24/36 hours range. Currently on the Met Office APP for 24/12: 03:00 UKV currently for 24/12: 03:00 Those charts match up perfectly - Wintry Christmas Eve morning for NW/N/NE Scotland! Hopefully the rest of us throughout the UK and Ireland will join in over the next week or two!

Incredible detailed post - what a joyous read that was from start to finish! Absolutely brilliant to have you back posting again. Edit: Cheers @edo

Forget all the fancy number of snow parameters - when most of us see a bit of green or pink on the charts/models the chase is on! Few UKV precipitation snapshots looking ahead to the 27/12. 09:00: 12:00: 15:00: Bank!

Just looking further ahead keep an eye on the 27th. Could be our time to shine! @Ross B @Stormeh and many others in here. 27/12: 09:00 12:00 15:00 Some predicted snow parameters for 15:00 on that day. Wet bulb freezing height (m) 850HPA temp and sea level pressure: 500-1000HPA Thickness (dam) Dewpoint temperature (c) The above charts are all still five days away - long time for it to vanish or go ti*ts up in that space of time! Risk is certainly there from looking across the big models/charts for that timeframe - all we need to do now is count it down into a reliable timeframe...when has that ever gone wrong before!? All the best to you all! Edit: @LomondSnowstorm I see you are about currently - do you have any thoughts on this/remainder of the year? Could be some big marginal events? I’m now suffering model fatigue. @Kirkcaldy Weather Nothing that exciting currently mate - coastal areas for sure browsing that day. No doubt though you would see some thunder sleet/snow as Kirkcaldy is the capital of supercell thunderstorms and thunder snow nowadays!

Yes - we have members who live in places that are forecast snowfall on Christmas Eve! I am excited for them. Also I just browsed the USA & Canada thread and that jammy git @CatchMyDrift has just had a fall of over 40 centimetres! Lovely pictures mate. I am sure our time will come @Glaswegianblizzard for similar amounts - within the next fifty Winters at least!

Set that alarm early on Christmas Eve mate! 03:00 06:00 Risk of some prolonged snowfall/heavy snow showers above! There is also a wee risk appearing now further South - might end up out in the North Sea/Eastern England or vanish all together! 08:00 As ever subject to change at this range - best thing to do as we all know is radar watching/looking out the window when the day arrives!

Morning all Quick summary/snapshots from the latest UKV from Christmas Eve into the early hours of the 27th. NW/N/NE Scotland snow showers early AM on Christmas Eve. 24/12: 03:00 The above green blob out in the North Sea is what could land in Eastern parts of England later on that day and deliver a wintry mix! (See chart below) 12:00 25/12: 18:00 Wet evening/night for West/Central Scotland. 26/12: 18:00 More widespread soaking and windy for much of NW UK and parts of Ireland. 27/12: 03:00 Our next batch of cold air is moving in from the NW - wintry showers with snowfall over high ground at this stage for favoured areas. 03:00 As always the above charts all subject to much change/timing at this range! All the best to you all!

Tell you what the latest ECM monthly temperature (T2m) Anomalies look fantastic! Weekly breakdown below: 28/12 to 03/01: 04/01 to 10/01: 11/01 to 17/01:

I think for all you ladies and gents in the NE the window for wintry showers/snowfall will be Wednesday evening through to Thursday lunchtime - Thursday AM holds the most promise. Nothing significant or too exciting on low ground but it’s just nice to see a bit of wintry precipitation on Christmas Eve! As ever all these charts below are subject to change/timing at this range. Few precipitation type snapshots below: 23/12: 18:00 24/12: 03:00 06:00 12:00 Even @Mair Snaw could see a bit of wet snow falling or a temporary dusting! Looking further ahead into Christmas Day it’s a wet evening for a few of us! 25/12: 18:00 Boxing Day as discussed previously - more widespread soaking and windy as well. 26/12: 09:00 Few hours later we have our next batch of cold air moving in from the NW. 26/12: 15:00 850HPA and Sea level pressure chart: 15:00 500-1000HPA thickness (dam) Interesting period of model/chart viewing - much better than the dross that was served up last Winter! Hopefully we all get a proper cold/snowy spell this Winter - it’s long overdue. Great outlook for the mountains: Home Page MWIS.ORG.UK Planning Outlook Temporarily westerly gales and rain will extend south across Scotland Christmas Day and to all areas Boxing Day. Otherwise, there is now high likelihood that until into January cold weather will predominate: the mountains substantially below freezing point; frost frequently lower areas, and as wind direction varies, most mountain areas will attain at least some snow cover, with some areas having significant accumulation.

Just a quick look for fun at some snow parameters from the UKV for Christmas Eve at 18:00. Dewpoint temperature: Wet bulb freezing height (m) 850HPA Temp and Sea level pressure: 500-1000hpa thickness (dam) Precipitation type: You really would not be surprised to see a few places getting a wee dusting of snowfall to low ground from all this (later on Christmas Eve) - risk is certainly there! Christmas snowfall wise...2017 was the last time there was a slight chance of any falling in the UK - I woke up to a few centimetres on the ground on Boxing Day! No chance for me this year but glad to see others in with a shout!

Morning all! If you live on the Eastern side of the UK...Christmas Eve might be good for a bit of radar watching! Consistent signal at the moment for wintry showers to fairly low levels throughout that day - again North York Moors looks a good spot for snowfall. Few snapshots from the latest UKV run: 24/12: 12:00 24/12: 15:00 24/12: 18:00 Then into the early hours of Christmas morning...Norfolk area again flagging up - wee risk of a technical White Christmas! 25/12: 0:00 Quite exciting! Subject to change at this range as ever but no matter what happens it will feel very festive/cold for many - Christmas Eve especially! All the best to you all. Edit: @sheikhy post below...850’s are -7/-8/-9

Evening all Well my plans have changed dramatically since Friday night - was supposed to be on my travels today for Christmas but that has now obviously been cancelled! Hopefully some interesting Winter weather in Scotland as I am now stuck here! (Worse places to be in the world than home of course! ??????? ) As already discussed in my previous post and by others...snowfall risk to low ground on Wednesday for the NW/N/NE. Christmas Eve snowfall risk as well - as mentioned by @Kirkcaldy Weather @Ravelin and a few others. UKV snapshot for 24/12: 03:00 24/12: 12:00 Agree with that post above @Sceptical - Christmas Day begins chilly for us but warms up quickly through the afternoon. 25/12: 06:00 25/12: 15:00 Boxing Day could be quite stormy in the West - my automated forecast for here. Final few days of December hold some wintry promise - could be lots of rainfall or lots of snowfall for parts of Scotland! Have a good week everyone.

Evening all! Taking off my Scottish weather bias spectacles for a moment...risk of wintry showers/snowfall over high ground on Christmas Eve for Eastern England! North York Moors looks the sweet spot on current output. Latest UKV snapshot for 24/12: 15:00 Precipitation type and sea level pressure: How about this for Santa Claus arriving!? Very festive! Snapshot for 25/12: 03:00 There is also a wee chance of a wintry shower popping up in the Norfolk area - could be one to keep an eye on for any bets placed on Norwich! 25/12: 03:00 All the above subject to change at this range of course but it is looking very seasonal for many! All the best to you all!

Evening all! Hope you are all well! Exciting times for a cold/snow lover! Lots of chat about late December/early January and rightly so! However - wee bit of naughty cold sneaking into the semi reliable timeframe of 120 hours/day five. UKMO 120: 13:00 UKV snapshots for 120: 15:00 Precipitation type & sea level pressure: 850HPA: Wet bulb freezing height (m) Dewpoint temperature (C) Thickness (dam) 23/12 to 25/12 at least has chilly days, risk of snowfall/wintry showers for some and frosts for many on current output - lovely seasonal/festive weather! Not to be sniffed at. Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to you all when it arrives! I shall see you all again in January when the BFTE arrives! Cheers!

It has been a wee while! Hope you are all well/healthy. 13C here today! Felt like early Spring outside. Pretty boring/mundane weather for the last two weeks - highlight was a decent sunrise on 09/12. Only had a chance to browse the forum for about ten mins tonight but have been keeping an eye on the models/charts daily. Sticking with a semi reliable timeframe out to day five/120 hours...lovely seasonal weather build up to Christmas! Our first low ground snowfall risk appears to be roughly Wednesday morning onwards - Tuesday snow parameters more conductive for high ground only. Latest UKMO day five: 23/12 Latest UKV snapshots for day five: 23/12 Precipitation type & Sea level pressure: 850HPA temp Dewpoint temperature (C) Wet bulb freezing height (m) Thickness (dam) NW/N best placed on the above charts for some snowfall to low levels at those timeframes. Just for fun the lying snow depth chart (mm) for the latest run. It’s not too shabby at all - chilly days, risk of snowfall for some and freezing/frosty nights for most through 23rd to 25th at the very least! (Current output) Hopefully a more prolonged cold spell/snowfall risk throughout Scotland in the coming weeks. I won’t be back on here until early January so I wish you all a very Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year when it arrives - thank you all for another year of great weather pictures, reports, banter and chat! Cheers everyone!

Morning all! Lovely pictures! @101_North @Kirkcaldy Weather have you both been up all night!? That is what I call dedication! Worth it though for those scenes! I wonder if @Benvironment is wading through snow up to his knees just now? Wintry mix here and wind gusts approaching 30mph - turning to an all rain event now! Pretty wild outside. Lowest temperature of the season so far was recorded! Looking ahead plenty of chilly days/frosts throughout Scotland - snowfall restricted to the higher hills/mountains. I shall see you all again when the next low ground chase appears in the models - been a great last few days in here! All the best to you all!

Enjoyed that wee video Ben - sheer joy on yer face! That is what it’s all about! Lovely scenes - especially the wind driven snowfall plastered against the tree trunks/branches! Rough estimate from the current models would be midnight until 04:00 for you - as you well know looking out the window/radar watching later is the best way to decide. Plus you have the big height advantage! Standing looking through the window at my favourite hill to hike up taunting me! Would be a decent snow depth at the top of it and the others beside it. Unfortunately due to me being in a level 3 area I can’t jump on the ferry across - twenty minute journey. (They are level 2) Hopefully by the time our BFTE arrives at some point during this Winter/early Spring things are returning to normal. Strone Hill, Kilmun WWW.WALKHIGHLANDS.CO.UK This steep ascent from Kilmun on the Holy Loch follows increasingly steep and rough paths uphill... @Kirkcaldy Weather 00:00 01:00 02:00 Tell you what it was great to have the old lamp post watching back this morning - great start to early December! All the best to you all - hopefully plenty of pictures to look at in the morning!

Just quickly looking further ahead into the early hours of Friday. Three things to note: 1. Evening/tonight will be absolutely baltic with a widespread/severe frost for many - minimum of -5/6/7C for a few! Even the risk of a -10C popping up somewhere. 2. This track is subject to slight changes/timing. 3. Later you stay up/earlier wake up - more chance you have of seeing falling/lying snowfall (before it turns to sleet/rain) - higher ground favoured of course as per current Met Office warnings. Friday 00:00 02;00 04:00 06:00 As long as there is a risk of snowfall for someone in here I am happy. Good luck again everyone!

Morning all! Slushy dusting at sea level here - roughly fifty meters for anything settling! Lovely though - another snow shower has just gone through! It was never in doubt!

Morning all! Glorious pictures from December 2010 @Benvironment @Polar Side - what a month! Not quite the same outlook for this December but we do seem to be heading for a below average month! That hopefully means plenty of snowfall over higher hills/mountains and some for low ground! Latest Met Office outlook for December; Sunday 6 Dec -Tuesday 15 Dec Unsettled and rather cold conditions likely to continue into this period, with spells of rain and heavy showers for most. Any snow is most likely over the hills in the north but there is a chance of snow falling to lower levels at times. The heaviest and most frequent showers most likely affecting eastern and southern areas, with a possibility of more settled weather towards the northwest. Windy at times with a chance of coastal gales. There will still be some drier and brighter weather at times and should any more settled interludes develop, overnight frosts will be more widespread along with a greater chance of fog patches. Temperatures will likely be below average for this period. Tuesday 15 Dec -Tuesday 29 Dec Remaining changeable during this period with outbreaks of rain and showers at times, particularly in the east and the south. Snow remains most likely over the hills but could still fall to lower levels at times. It is likely that drier and settled conditions will continue in the northwest, with a possibility of these more settled conditions developing more widely towards the end of this period. This would bring more widespread overnight frosts along with some fog patches. Temperatures will overall likely be near, or a little below average, although some milder interludes are possible. Add in the latest ECM monthly temperature (T2m) Anomalies - weekly breakdown below: 07/12 to 13/12 14/12 to 20/12 21/12 to 27/12 28/12 to 03/01 We all know these outlooks can flip quite quickly to the complete opposite...but at the moment December is looking very promising for a cold/snow lover! Back to the here and now - absolutely buzzing for later tonight/early hours of Thursday! Alarm is set for 5am - heading for the hills - hopefully a very snowy walk awaits! Big chance of our first -10C of the season being registered through the early hours of Friday. Friday 00:00 Couple of hours later we have this arriving (track/detail pending)... Friday 02:00 04:00 06:00 09:00 Risk of heavy snowfall to low ground for a couple of hours on Friday morning for many (inland) before it turns to sleety pish/rain! - big totals over the hills/mountains. (Adding to the accumulations from tonight/tomorrow) Good luck everyone!