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Laurence Hill

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Posts posted by Laurence Hill

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    in Regional

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, TomSE12 said:

    Looks like the 00z ECM has Tues/Weds small Low, a touch further South.

        00z ECM (01.00) WEDS 30th JAN

    image.thumb.png.b6d3cb2ab8eadf295bea75d103d77327.png   

    850 temps look fine.

       00z ECM (01.00) WEDS 30th JAN

    image.thumb.png.ab752ac7a6a46ff97cae8b1619c87f1c.png

    Just a small tip to those members who are new and also visitors to this site. Be aware that the Model thread, in the next few days, will become a "hotbed" of over analysis of every kink, in every isobar!! Enter at your peril!!

    And regarding the parameters that need to be met for falling snow, e,g., dew points, etc. You can do worse than pay attention to the likes of our own, Steve M, Nick F., Kold Weather, if I've missed any other of the more technically minded members, I apologise.

    I'm of the opinion , this may come down to radar watching, all the way down to t0, before we can be sure of the exact track and strength of this feature.

    Regards,

    Tom. :hi:

     

    Can you explain what the implications of the low being further south are.

    Many thanks.

    • Like 1

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by Sharpedge

    7 minutes ago, username home said:

    just spent the last hour reviewing numerous topics on the forum to get a better understanding of what next week's weather will be like. 

    conclusion:

    nobody bloody knows! although all the hot air being spouted  is likely to reduce any chances of snow we have!

    I think best wait until SM comes here and gives us a briefing, he did say he would be here this weekend.

    Ive noticed that if there is uncertainty he tends to hold back, which is much better than getting people’s hopes up.

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    in Regional

    Posted

    Too many trolls on the main thread, getting beyond a joke now.

    pity there isn’t a system whereby contributors have a rating.  This rating to be earned and maybe graded by the hierarchy of Netweather.  It would be easy therefore to just take the low grade contributors with a pinch of salt and just concentrate on reading the pukkah stuff.

    Probably been discussed before but at time of this potential these people seem to take a delight in winding up those of us who are not experts.

    Maybe this is something that’s just peculiar to the UK.

    • Like 7

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    in Regional

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

    Too much impatience over there .... don’t think many have noticed that the month thus far is chilly (days moreso than nights )

    Yeah, getting difficult to decide who knows what they’re talking about.  Need quite a few cans of “bullsh*t” repellant.  It’s a pity really, as someone who hasn’t a clue how the models work but is keen on snow, it would be nice to read genuine comments.  If I was to put all the dodgy ones on my ignore list there would be hardly anything to read.

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    in Regional

    Posted

    Bit of a spat going on in the hunt for cold thread as to whether the GFS is any good.

    Must admit I really admire Steve’s posts, my favourite and always look forward to his analysis.

    The below quote also shows his great sense of humour, love the line about “look at it , have a laugh and then return to more important things”

    Quote

    So basically in a round about way Ian has said exactly the same thing-

    They look at it, have a laugh & return to more important things.

    It has bias frailties - ( what ive been highlighting ) 

    The UKMO GM/ ECM are used for the main forecast ( what I said they use )

    In a nutshell -The GFS is pidgeon holed with the other ' average ' performers- ICON / JMA etc - The midpack runners - The force Indias, The Tim Henmans, The Jimmy Whites...l

     Have a good night all.

    unquote

    • Like 1

    The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    22 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    A big switch back to cold from MOGREPS ens overnight & 'more' support for the ECM operational from the EPS ( more than yesterday )

    In these scenarios the euros are always odds on favourites to be correct & the GFS come following about a day late ( & dollar short ) however of course once it a blue moon it could be correct-

    EPS has 11cm as the max snow depth for london next week however the mean was probably nearer 3cm.

    I think we still have another 24 / 48 hours of drama- just to add to the drama of the last 2 days-

    What with the scandal high & all that tweetgate last night I need to sit down.....

    What to do?

    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

    in Regional

    Posted

    1 hour ago, TomSE12 said:

    While I was putting together that post about "Snow Streamers" that affect southern portions of our region, it got me thinking as to where I first heard that term. In the depths of my memory, I seem to remember Francis Wilson using the phrase on BBC Breakfast, one morning. A very light snow shower train was tracking into the London area and I'm show he used the term, "streamer"

    I really rated Francis, as  Forecaster/Presenter For those of you to young to remember him, Francis started as a Weatherman on Thames TV, then joined BBC Breakfast Time and finally became head of Sky News' Weather Dept. He had a "camp", chatty style of presentation and I think he wasn't taken that seriously. A very solid forecaster though and certainly knew his subject. 

    I was thinking who are my favourite forecasters, down the year. I've put together this list of 5:

    1, Rob McElwee.2. Michael Fish. 3.Jack Scott. 4. Francis Wilson. 5.Helen Willette.

    1. A bit of legend on Netweather and seemingly a "coldie". Who can forget his "And then there's Monday" forecast, during the 2010 Winter. Eyebrows twitching and a glint in his eye!!

    2. Our own Mr.Fish!! A very solid forecaster and much maligned for that "Hurricane" forecast, which as we know, he was quite right about. I prefer to remember Michael fondly for a forecast, when he had trouble with the metallic letters, spelling Fog. The F, kept falling off the chart.  At the end of the forecast Michael apologised and innocently said, "Sorry about the F in FOG!! I'm sure a lot of drivers are often weary about the bleep bleep FOG!!  Think it was Michael but could have been, Ian McCaskill??

    3. Have to mention one of the old guard. Being 63, I go back a long way and remember J.S., Bert Foord, Bernard Davey  Graham Parker, Bill Giles, etc and of course the first female forecaster, that the Met Office used, Barbara Edwards. Barbara made her first appearance in, Jan 1974. Ten or so years later, Bobby Charlton's daughter Suzanne, started to make a name for herself, as a BBC Forecaster.

    4. As I stated above, really rated Francis Wilson. He showed a real passion for his subject and had a real "chatty" style of presentation, with talk of "fluffy bits", etc.

    5. I must include one of the ladies here and IMO, Helen Willetts is the finest. Apologies to our own Jo Farrow!! 

    I'd like to mention a few others outside of my list. John Kettley, I could've quite easily included. In my local news area, always found that Peter Cockcroft, spoke a lot of sense. Of the younger brigade, Tomasz Hackensacker (Sorry Tom but your forecasts are sometimes a bit Marx Brotherish!!) but I must admit Mr. Schafernaker, is growing on me.  Daniel Corbett, a latter day Francis Wilson ("If you're thinking of taking Granny for a walk in the park, she'll need an extra jumper today"!!) and his ("today's finishing numbers will be".), was always good for a laugh!! Oh Mr.Corbett, half expected Sooty and Sweep to turn up on one of his forecasts!! Must give a mention to Laura Tobin, who I think is the finest forecaster, outside of the BBC. My favourite forecaster on the radio, was Phillip Eden (R.I.P). Always enjoyed his weather slots on London's L.B.C and Radio 5. I have a folder of cut-outs, from his weather column, in the Sunday Telegraph, always worth a read. 

    The most annoying weather presenter I've ever seen must be the young lady that used to present the weather after Channel 5 News. All blonde hair and teeth Everything that fell from the sky, was a few showers!! She obviously hadn't heard of frontal rain. Obviously chosen by Channel 5 for other "assets", aside from Meteorological knowledge!! I see Lara is now presenting a programme called "Click", on News 24. Apologies to Ms. Lewington.

    Would love to hear from other S.E.Region members of your favourite Weather Forecasters.

    Regards,

    Tom. 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Good subject, Francis Wilson was very good, unfortunately I don’t think he was given enough airtime on Sky, always seemed to be cut off mid flow.  That’s always been the problem, other than BBC, the other TV channel wx forecasts seem to concentrate more on the presenters (mainly female) and the wx seems to be an afterthought.

    • Like 1
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