OldGreggsTundraBoy
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Posts posted by OldGreggsTundraBoy
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What a b***** nightmare. I've had to abandon my car near work and walk home. Its absolutely chaos out there. The snow has stopped now and PLEASE tell me no more is forecast for this evening ??? And what temps are they forecasting for tonight ?
I love the snow but the novelty factor is rapidly running out !
my part of surrey has had nothing so far. Lucky!!
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omg it says on google earth its currently heavily snowing in central London, i must live in the most unfortunate location ever!! this makes me want a caR. Also North and east of london plus the chilterns. can someone confirm?
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is it snowing the chilterns area anyone, just wondering because i saw a forecast with snow around there also here in thames valley its on the edge at 0.5C and i was thinking out of town on hills to the north Snow?? if so might try to go there tommorow, if its worth it. its always on the edge of snow here but it never seems to happen. [barring last winters 10 inchess!!
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i think we got maybe 2 millimeters yesterday >.> now 0.
4-8 INCHES was predicted, but somehow it missed me.
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f all snow here, had a little early last night which melted. Somehow it all managed to miss me :[ now its strong sun and feeling warmer. today was forecast to be epic snow and ice with college canceled but no..., like 100% risk of 'moderate' snow,then nothing.
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aaah 0.5C above and with the strong winds its melting fast. i really neeed snowday tommorow...
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UPGRADE recent run points to a continued spell of temperatures around minus 6 with wind chill -12C and snow... we'll see..
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hehe not whing Yet theres -11C WINDCHILL forecast in the SE for next week, but i will be whining if theres any more downgrades on SNOW this year I'm not happy, in fact I'm quite sad XD
when it says 95% or 100% risk of snow a week ahead, i expect snow because it says 100% propapaility snow rawwhh!!!
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solarcycle 24 Update - A small sunspot may have just rotated onto the eastern limb.
hope not or that will be the end of our streak, solar flux up slightly to 72.
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This is the first time id say this year there was real potential for some cold weather!! Lets just hope we get that Easterly/ northerly blast next week as currently forecast or, i suppose, even better over XMAS! :]
i should remind myself its a Low confidence forecast though...
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if we make 20 days this period will be in the tables as one of the longest spells, the last one i remember was 50 days or something.
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m gunu go for a more Certain prediction somewhere between 7 and 13, unless there's some kind of climate catastrope.
okay i guess 10.2C.
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http://www.spaceweather.com/images/spacer.gifhttp://www.spaceweather.com/images/spacer.gifSPACE WEATHER
Current conditions http://www.spaceweather.com/images/spacer.gifSolar wind
speed: 241.4 km/sec
density: 0.1 protons/cm3
Updated: Today at 0843 UTC
I wonder what the lowest official reading is.
solar wind speed has been down near the unusually low 200 km/s this week.
11 days blank now, just a bit slow updating because there's no point.
2009 should fade out on a very quiet note.
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wouldn't really surprise me if both the north and south pole had melted by 2100 unless something radical happens like a mini ice age or human influences.
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I started when it became minimum as well. Your location says London and you say you are reasonably placed and have witnessed several good shows, I am in Norfolk/Suffolk and was under the impression I would be incredibly lucky to see one !? Is there hope for me yet !
Lol i wouldnt exactly call London 'well placed' for auroras, i too became intersted about 2 years ago and tbh it doesn't matter where u live u wont have seen anything these past 2 years unless your in Sweeden or something.
But sure, occasionally they came down as far as paris, Norfolk is better place than London because theres practically no light pollution compared. There is hope yet!! [might be waiting another couple of years tho im afraid]
"16 more to move past 2008's run of 265 day's" iT'S gonna be a very close one!! maybe it will be exactly the same!
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hardly seriously below normal???..so feb and july scraped in 0.1 & 0.4c below...what about April 1.9c above and November probably coming in more than 2c above...and that beats all the below average months you quoted for the last 10years..thats before i mention July 2006 3.2c above..Sept 2006 3.1c above..Jan 2007 2.8c above etc etc. the number of above average months hugely outways the number below..also the extent to which many have been above is far in excess in scale to those that have been below.
where you getting this data from? Met? NW clearly shows 10 months in a row well abv average temperature.
i do totally agree with your point there, there have been more above averages over the last few years than below.
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I must say, the more time that passes without constructive action being taken on a large scale, the more attractive the nuclear option becomes. I don't think it should be a long-term solution but in the short term it could be a useful way of bridging the gap between now and us having viable renewable alternative sources of energy.
Yes, the markets will move as soon as there is a commercial reason to do so- but the important bit that's been left out there is "in the short term". Developing alternative sources of energy on a wide scale is going to require long term planning. If we rely upon fossil fuels until the free market finds that it cannot maximise its 6-month-running profits that way, we may find ourselves with dwindling fossil fuel supplies and still be decades away from using alternatives to generate anywhere near the similar amount of energy. The result- economies falling to their knees. It's like the way the UK bought itself out of recession over the last two decades and as a result is now faced with quite a deep recession.
And in the meantime, if burning all these fossil fuels is increasing the warming of the planet, if we wait until free market economics dictates a change away from fossil fuels we could be committing ourselves to as much as 4-6C of warming instead of, say, 1 or 2C.
Nuclear seems like quite a good option really, particularly as about 20% of energy is nuclear and it hasn't really caused any problems, its clean [well sort of..] and efficient. Its better than coal but these days we just use a bit of everything beause there is no coordination in deciding to find a single solution.
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But, you know don't you...
I wish humans would just slow down and take a few steps back to the stoneage and be the animals they are. things were better then. We make to many problems and fear of things that don't matter. To much emphasis of getting an eduction, getting a job, making money, crap economy, being successful and showing off, conforming with society, and if you cant then might aswell not be here. Not enough on happiness and making the world better. Things like man made GW and a wish for an end self destruction and of the planet stem from this.
Apologies for if this seems off topic and angry[?], but one day you might see its true.
Im neither a sceptic nor a believer, im very much on the fence
But the two quotes I pulled out of the story at the beginning of the thread are simply ridiculous. There is absolutely no point in stating that there is a 50% chance of next year being the warmest on record because it is not statistically important....there is always going to be a 50% chance that next year is the warmest ever....equally theres a 50% chance of it being the coolest ever. Thats just common sense
If I see concrete proof of the fact that the temperature is going to rise continuously, then i may fall the side of the fence of going with the global warmalists (not even sure thats a word, but it is now!). However there is far too much counteractive research, which typically does not get publicised enough, to the global warming arguement. Off the top of my head the research carried out by Prof. Phillip Stott in 2005 with antarctic ice cores jumps to mind.
I think the other issue is that we focus (largely due to the media bias) on where the globe is warming. Im sure not many people will be aware that new zealand, for example, have just had their coldest period for 70 years in may/june. Last winter there was similarly cold there too.
Like i say i sit neither side of the fence, I just get sick an tired of a bias toward stories purely around the warming side of climate change and misleading press releases
Kris
You say ts common sense 50% it will be warmest ever, 50% coldest ever, doesnt really make sense, because i thought it was fairly obvious there will be a good chance it will be between these polar extremes, dont you think?
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Aspects of the media, always takes things out of proportion.
However the BBC article quoted at the start of the thread, doesn't.
So what have the sceptics done, attacked headline grabbing nonsense (which isn't anything to do with the story nor the bbc), called AGW a con, called it propaganda etc.
The Globe is very warm compared to recent history, except it, get use to it and move on, or show that Spencer, RSS, NOAA, NCDC, Hadley and NASA are all wrong.!
I agree:]
you pretty much wrote what i was just thinking! XD
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nope, part missed to north and another part to south as the radar for this area shows
can't stand the suspense-off to bed
bit unlucky there mate :ph34r:
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I understand that the Met Office have warnings in place for already flood stricken or flood prone areas, but I would have expected a 'be aware' warning for this weather on the doorstep. When you consider they had 'be prepared' warnings out for inland areas for the earlier November storm, where wind gusts didn't exceed 50 mph, its difficult to reason with the logic. Perhaps the extreme flooding in Cumbria and the Borders has lead to a reassesment, or that once gales and heavy rain become the 'norm' into the season, they don't warrent such warnings.
I agree, the last storm had much more media attwntion, ive only just found out about this as a flash warning now. 10-15% chance of TORNADOS seems worthy of at least proper acknowledgment.
To be far this hasnt got the same high winds for me as the last yet though.
This seems 2 be a year of breaking records..
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im hoping for a T4 hurricane coming in ma bedroom
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Just got up to check latest shipping forecast. Slightly down on the earlier one. Only Force 10 for Wight now, no mention of possibly Force 11. Ah well, fun over I suppose. Force 10 is nothing special.
F10 seems like a lot to me, but then ive never lived near the sea.
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Lol
Well thats the Million dollar question, is your location going to see any of the Convective & Squally Showers tomorrow morning, it is these showers/storms that have the capability to bring strong winds down to the surface above 50-65mph and if you get a Tornadic Storm then you will have something around the 100mph mark to contend with, if you miss and dodge the showers you probably wont even notice this event other than a windy night and morning, unfortunately none of us have that crystal ball when forecasting showers not even the Meto
Regards
Paul S
thanks! :] ill watch out for showers, i didnt know showers really had anything to do with surface winds, i do now though lol!
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East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
SNAP we from the same place basicly, im a little SE of heathrow...