Super Typhoon Ioke

[SnowBear]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t2/loop-rb.html

Some beast of a storm is Ioke!

Latest track from npmoc brings Ioke very close to Tokyo, Chiba/Ibaraki areas just to the north.

https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warnings/wp0106.gif

Edited September 1, 2006 by SnowBear

[P.K.]

It may well have been made up by someone and added to a real news article report so I'd assume the island was completely free of people.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 012100UTC 22.8N 160.0E GOOD

MOVE WNW 17KT

PRES 935HPA

MXWD 095KT

50KT 130NM NORTHEAST 95NM SOUTHWEST

30KT 280NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST

FORECAST

24HF 022100UTC 24.4N 154.4E 80NM 70%

MOVE W 13KT

PRES 930HPA

MXWD 100KT

45HF 031800UTC 26.0N 151.6E 150NM 70%

MOVE WNW 11KT

PRES 935HPA

MXWD 095KT

69HF 041800UTC 28.0N 147.8E 220NM 70%

MOVE WNW 09KT

PRES 940HPA

MXWD 090KT

[Rustynailer]

Good i was worried for the poor guy

Thanks PK

[Typhoon Hunter]

Ioke has weakened but is still a potent TC. Here's the latest from JMA:

Issued at 03:00 UTC 2 Sep 2006

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 020300UTC 23.2N 158.4E GOOD

MOVE WNW 15KT

PRES 935HPA

MXWD 095KT

50KT 140NM NORTHEAST 95NM SOUTHWEST

30KT 300NM NORTHEAST 200NM SOUTHWEST

FORECAST

24HF 030300UTC 24.8N 153.3E 80NM 70%

MOVE WNW 12KT

PRES 930HPA

MXWD 100KT

45HF 040000UTC 26.5N 149.6E 150NM 70%

MOVE WNW 10KT

PRES 935HPA

MXWD 095KT

69HF 050000UTC 28.2N 145.8E 220NM 70%

MOVE WNW 09KT

PRES 940HPA

MXWD 090KT

As for forcast track, JMA forecast Ioke to head towards southern Japan. JTWC has Ioke passing close to Tokyo but staying off shore on the 7th with winds of 90kts gusting to 110kts. CWB of Taiwan have a similar forecast track to JMA.

[Typhoon Hunter]

The image below gives some scale and goes to show how huge Ioke is. Taken from Digital Typhoon.org:

[Blackie]

Wow - that's huge. What's the projected path now?

[Rustynailer]

Is Wake Island still there?

I just found this from the Honolulu Advertiser:-

Ioke's 'super' winds damage Wake Island weather sensors

By Audrey McAvoy

Associated Press

Typhoon Ioke knocked out Wake Island's weather sensors yesterday as it lashed the atoll with some of the central Pacific's fiercest winds in more than a decade, the National Weather Service said.

Forecasters monitoring the atoll's wind and temperature gauges from Hawai'i said the instruments blew out as the storm approached with winds of up to 155 miles per hour and gusts of up to 190 mph.

The National Ocean Service site showing the sensor readings online displayed a chart with Wake Island readings that suddenly stopped.

The most recent data before the instruments failed indicated Ioke slammed the island with 78 mph winds and 100 mph gusts, said Henry Lau, a National Weather Service forecaster in Honolulu. That was before Ioke's eye passed north of Wake Island, he said.

The Air Force evacuated all of the roughly 200 residents of the isolated atoll to Hickam Air Force Base on Monday before the "super typhoon" neared. Only troops, Defense Department civilian employees and military contractors live on the island.

The Air Force plans to send a plane from Hawai'i to Wake to assess the damage from the air but hasn't announced when the flight will leave.

Forecasters had warned the storm would likely destroy everything on the 2.5-square-mile island that wasn't concrete.

Ioke came closest to Wake Island at about midnight Wednesday Hawai'i time, Lau said.

The typhoon was heading northwest over open ocean toward Japan with winds of 155 mph. It's expected to weaken in coming days, leaving it with winds of up to 120 mph.

Wake Island is a U.S. military refueling and research station about 2,300 miles west of Honolulu and 1,510 miles east of Guam.

Ioke is the first Category 5 hurricane to develop in the central Pacific since record keeping began in the early 1960s.

It also is the most powerful storm to pass through the central Pacific since hurricanes Emilia and Gilma, both in July 1994.

190 mph !!!!!

Edited September 2, 2006 by Rustynailer

[Typhoon Hunter]

Blackie it's forecast to head towards south coast of Honshu. Here's JMA map:

Edited September 2, 2006 by Typhoon Hunter

[Typhoon Hunter]

Looks like Ioke is going to recurve before hitting mainland Japan. Here's the latest from JMA:

Issued at 06:00 UTC 3 Sep 2006RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 030600UTC 25.6N 152.6E GOOD

MOVE WNW 12KT

PRES 945HPA

MXWD 085KT

50KT 150NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST

30KT 300NM NORTHEAST 220NM SOUTHWEST

FORECAST

24HF 040600UTC 28.4N 148.2E 80NM 70%

MOVE NW 12KT

PRES 945HPA

MXWD 085KT

48HF 050600UTC 32.2N 145.2E 150NM 70%

MOVE N 11KT

PRES 950HPA

MXWD 080KT

72HF 060600UTC 37.7N 147.2E 290NM 70%

MOVE NNE 14KT

PRES 960HPA

MXWD 075KT

[parmenides3]

Should we expect Ioke to dissipate when it goes extra-Tropical? Is there anything in the local conditions which suggest it can maintain a centre after tomorrow?

P

[Typhoon Hunter]

The latest Guam IR sat loop shows nicely how Ioke is becoming more ragged:

Guam IR sat loop

Edited September 3, 2006 by Typhoon Hunter

[Hemlock]

It seems that Wake fared better than expected http://www.aero-news.net/index.cfm?Content...-3fe568045d25#d

[summer blizzard]

Wow, Ioke is still at Hurricane strength.

[Somerset Squall]

Wow, Ioke is still at Hurricane strength.

Is it? I though it had dissapated.

[Paranoid]

It's become extratropical. Last time i looked it had winds of Severe Tropical Storm strength.