August CET

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Post your August 2007 CET predictions here!

[summer blizzard]

A little early, however at this stage i would go for 17.2C, which is 1C above average, my range this month is 15.7C-17.2C, so i may reduce my prediction closer to the time.

The average for August is 16.2C.

The hottest August on record was August 1995, which had a CET of 19.2C, 3C above average.

[fishdude]

I think a below August is likely, plunging us into an early Autumn. 15.0c for me!

[The PIT]

I'll go for 16.5C as it's very rare to get two below average months on the trot these years.

[Rollo]

Oh dear,another month coming up and another punt--how about something more near the average-I will go for 16c.

[Big Bear]

Here are my monthly CET predictions for the rest of the year:

(+ or - the average)

July: +0.2

Aug: +.06

Sep: +1.2

Oct: +0.9

Nov: -0.7

Dec: -1.8

[Gavin P]

Good grief thisis early. I think I'll wait and see how low July ends up, before I have a punt on August.

I will just say though, that anybody hoping the synoptic's will simply slot into place, and summer weather will suddenly arrive, could well be disappointed.

[Bottesford]

Too early for this kind of thread - any predictions will be educated/pure guesswork at this point.

But I do expect a warmer August and an end to the current vile pattern at long last. Again guesswork though.

[Stratos Ferric]

Post your August 2007 CET predictions here!

This thread is rather like a dutch auction. Is it just me or is there an unofficial competition to see who can open the thread first? It gets earlier each month. Reminds me of when I was a kid and magazines and comics started bearing a date increasingly in arrears of when they hit the shop shelves.

[Don]

A little early for me to make a punt. I would like to think it will be above average and drier due to the fact that I'm holidaying in Corwall for 2 weeks from the 10th August! I have no idea at this stage though.

[tinybill]

I go for a nice 24 if we are lucky

[smith25]

i'll got for just above average 16.5

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

Post your August 2007 CET predictions here!

I can't even get this month's right.........give me a god damn chance!!!!

BFTP

[Sunshine]

I'll go for a slightly above average month at 16.3

[Optimus Prime]

My provisional estimate is 15.8c.

[West is Best]

August will be absolutely scorching. I'll probably go for something over 20C, but am biding my time.

[Duncan McAlister]

August will be absolutely scorching. I'll probably go for something over 20C, but am biding my time.

No offence West, but I hope you are as right about that as you were about summer starting on Thursday 28th June

Any clue as to why you think this?

[West is Best]

Any clue as to why you think this?

1. If I keep stating it, it's bound to happen sooner or later

2. British weather is so contrary it would be absolutely the order to have a month without any rain at all (don't forget April was like this)

3. We're overdue a baking August

4. Some parts of the NH have been very very hot, so why not our turn?

5. I actually do think the synoptics favour a high pressure build, though please note point 1! I'm about as reliable at summer weather at the moment as David Cameron is at selecting a good by-election candidate

Edited July 20, 2007 by West is Best

[Duncan McAlister]

3. We're overdue a baking August

Yes I agree here, it has been a very disappointing summer month this decade (the incredible 2003 excepted). I think it'll probably be THE summer month this year, despite an odd viewpoint by many people up here that August is an autumn month!

Don't get me wrong, I'd like a sunny and dry month, but a CET of 20C, probably meaning a Scotland temp of 15.5C+? Yeeeuch!

[Gavin P]

I can't see anything like an outstandingly hot month The overall pattern that has delivered us this unsettled May-July period looks pretty stable to me. I can't see any fundamental changes to the pattern taking place, and I think the southerly tracking jet, and frequent low pressure systems flattening what ridges do build is pretty well set. That said, we *may* see more ridges than in July, and thats why I'm holding off giving a CET prediction for the mo.

[Guest Mike W]

With no.4 WIB, you can say that about Summer, but the rule never has worked since the Winter of 95/96. I mean Russia had it's coldest winter since 1947 in 05/06 witner,we neevr got it, but we get their heat though. Corrupt. <_<

[Snowly does it]

The ten year average is 17, I see no reason given the slightly below average July (to date) to skew this figure (as I expect rather more dry and warm spells in August)

17.0 please

[Cymru]

Put me down for 17.1 please.

[SP1986]

18.1 for me, I can see a far warmer, and drier August than July. (mind you I could probably imagine a lot drier and warmer May in all honesty)

[eddie]

WiB, whilst I agree that we will almost certainly will see a 20C+ August at some point I very much it will be this one. I just think we would need an above average July to see a record breaking August.

Over the whole CET record:

Average CET of Augusts that have followed a below average July=15.4C

Average CET of Augusts that have followed an above average July=16.3C

Over the last 30 years:

Average CET of Augusts that have followed a below average July=16.0C

Average CET of Augusts that have followed an above average July=17.0C

On the basis of that I am going for 16C which will no doubt be wrong because on average I usually am.