Hurricane Hanna

[Iceberg]

I think it might strengthen, Recon is in at the moment 70+Kt flight winds are being found along with some cold convection and some low pressures. If they found her sub 980 at say 977 or so I would imagine this has the ability to be a high end CAT 1 or low end CAT 2.

[Coast]

So what kind of effects might we see with any subsequent Atlantic cyclonic system do you think?

[Guest Shetland Coastie]

Normally they would wallop us up here but not according to that track. I take it the jet is still pushing everything south?

[Cookie]

new update.

I think it was this storm they where saying it could affect the tennis!

Storm Alert issued at 5 Sep, 2008 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HANNA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

the United States

probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

the Bahamas

probability for TS is 100% currently

Canada

probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

St. Pierre and Miquelon

probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)

probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)

probability for TS is 100% currently

Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)

probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours

Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)

probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)

probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours

Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)

probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours

Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)

probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours

Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours

Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours

Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours

Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours

Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours

Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours

Fredericksburg (38.2 N, 77.5 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours

Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours

Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours

Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)

probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours

Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)

probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours

Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)

probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours

Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)

probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours

Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)

probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours

Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)

probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours

New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)

probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours

Portland (43.5 N, 70.4 W)

probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours

Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)

probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours

Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)

probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours

Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)

probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours

Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)

probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours

Augusta (44.3 N, 69.8 W)

probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours

Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)

probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours

Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)

probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)

probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)

probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

St John's (47.6 N, 52.7 W)

probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)

probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)

probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)

probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)

probability for TS is 50% in about 21 hours

Montpelier (44.3 N, 72.6 W)

probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours

Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)

probability for TS is 45% within 9 hours

Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)

probability for TS is 45% currently

Roanoke (37.0 N, 80.0 W)

probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours

Nassau (25.1 N, 77.4 W)

probability for TS is 35% currently

Charlotte (35.2 N, 80.8 W)

probability for TS is 35% in about 21 hours

Note that

Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

[Iceberg]

TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008

200 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008

...HANNA NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD...

A TROPICAL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA

NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...

INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING ALL OF

CHESAPEAKE BAY....THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...AND DELAWARE

BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24

HOURS.

[Cookie]

US Open organisers are preparing for major weather disruption as Britain's Andy Murray waits to take on world number one Rafael Nadal on Saturday.

The remnants of tropical storm Hanna are forecast to hit the New York area, with heavy downpours expected.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/tennis/7599274.stm

[MAF]

Latest Sat image

courtesy NOAA

[Cookie]

thanks for that mick great image

[MAF]

advisory #36 issued now

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.7 WEST OR ABOUT 160

MILES...255 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND

ABOUT 240 MILES...385 KM...SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. THIS

MOTION IS EXPECTED CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE

NORTHEAST AND A FASTER FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE

FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA SHOULD CROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN

COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY...THEN MOVE

ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST

BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED

FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER

LANDFALL.

from NOAA

Full advisory > http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATC...ml/052055.shtml?

[Somerset Squall]

Haiti has been so unlucky. First Fay, then Gustav, then Hanna and possible Ike battering the country. Hanna has killed over 140 people and this toll will probably continue to rise. The flooding rains from Hanna would have been worsened by the fact that Fay and Gustav passed through beforehand.

[MAF]

Yes mate, its quite a tragedy for them. and as you say it still not over. Ike may still leave a trail of devastation

edited because i cannot spell tradegy

Edited September 5, 2008 by Mick

[Cookie]

Haiti has been so unlucky. First Fay, then Gustav, then Hanna and possible Ike battering the country. Hanna has killed over 140 people and this toll will probably continue to rise. The flooding rains from Hanna would have been worsened by the fact that Fay and Gustav passed through beforehand.

whats the most number of hits Haiti has taken in one season?

[Fwoggie]

whats the most number of hits Haiti has taken in one season?

Dunno. Depends what you define as a hit I guess.

[Fwoggie]

BTW, NHC show the 5 day extended forecast threat zone as covering N Ireland and all of Scotland

[Thunder Snow]

So what kind of effects might we see with any subsequent Atlantic cyclonic system do you think?

When is hannah gonna hit the UK (well her remains), and what will she bring.

[Fwoggie]

When is hannah gonna hit the UK (well her remains), and what will she bring.

Currently looks like skimming W Ireland lunchtime our time Wed, through that night into Thursday for N Scotland. NHC currently suggests 45 knots sustained, 55 knots gusting. Equivalents in real money are 51mph sustained, 63mph gusts. Not that big a deal for N Scotland, they get that sort of thing in winter storms. All it means is that the rain will be a bit warmer hopefully. :lol:

[Cookie]

new update.

Tropical Storm HANNA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

the United States

probability for TS is 100% currently

Canada

probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

St. Pierre and Miquelon

probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)

probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)

probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)

probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)

probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)

probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)

probability for TS is 100% currently

Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)

probability for TS is 100% currently

Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)

probability for TS is 100% currently

Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)

probability for TS is 100% currently

Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)

probability for TS is 100% currently

New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)

probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)

probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)

probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)

probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)

probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)

probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)

probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours

Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)

probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)

probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours

Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)

probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours

Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)

probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Augusta (44.3 N, 69.8 W)

probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Portland (43.5 N, 70.4 W)

probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Fredericksburg (38.2 N, 77.5 W)

probability for TS is 90% currently

Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours

Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours

Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours

Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours

Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)

probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours

Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)

probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours

St John's (47.6 N, 52.7 W)

probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours

Montpelier (44.3 N, 72.6 W)

probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)

probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that

Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

[❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️]

Will the storm hit New York, i just hope the Murray v Nadal match isnt stopped due to bad weather!

[Fwoggie]

Will the storm hit New York, i just hope the Murray v Nadal match isnt stopped due to bad weather!

Er, they're playing right now, Murray is 2 sets up :lol:

[❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️]

Er, they're playing right now, Murray is 2 sets up :lol:

Indeed, i am watching it, but is the storm far away?

(Nadal is a break up so it might go to a fourth set!)

[Fwoggie]

Indeed, i am watching it, but is the storm far away?

(Nadal is a break up so it might go to a fourth set!)

The centre of it is 205 miles SW of New York (or as makes no difference). It looks like they're going to get the outer rain bands any time now. I would be surprised if the tennis restarts. I suspect that's probably it for the day now.

[ItIsGee]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5day#contents

what woudl we get>?

[MAF]

rain stopped play

what woudl we get>?

sorry, back on topic. well as the graphic suggests; sustained winds between 39 and 73 mph, but as already suggested, thats a pretty much normal event for the far north. and lets remember this is the track forecast. it could always go further north and miss UK entirely.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

damn this storm, murray v nadal now tomorrow night at 9.30pm, and mens final on monday night or tuesday morning, this worse than wimbledon, wimbledon finished on time

[❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️]

damn this storm, murray v nadal now tomorrow night at 9.30pm, and mens final on monday night or tuesday morning, this worse than wimbledon, wimbledon finished on time

At least we dont get tropical storms or 'weak' hurricanes hitting us.

So has TS Hannah petered out now?