Atlantic Lows - Winter 08 - Spring 09

[Nick B]

I have done an update for a while but will try and get back into the habit of doing them and don't want to lose this thread from vanishing off the bottom.

What a great way to sum up how little we've had off the Atlantic recently!

[Cookie]

thats very true hasn't been much in the way coming off the atlantic in recent weeks.

[Zenarcher]

Yes the Atlantic has been very calm lately must be having a rest after that storm in January nearly a month ago now.

This Saturday a force 10 out there http://charts.metcentral.com/gfs/875cdd3e1...d6ccb52/162.png

Keep a watch on it but doesn't look anything serious.

[Rob]

lets hope nothing comes in off the atlantic i much prefer it cold and snowy, or cold and settle, i do not want the wet and windy regime, lets hope another cold snap is immitent after this slightly milder spell of weather

[Cookie]

its fair to say though one way or another the Atlantic will be back at some point,

[Cookie]

things are looking promising for the weekend

[Zenarcher]

Yes force 10 to 11 (55mph to 72mph) http://charts.metcentral.com/gfs/f90ad9f8f...bbce3bf/111.png

[The PIT]

Well after a stormless winter last chance saloon before spring for us. Already a slight downgrade as per other storms which have turned mainly into a mere puff of wind along the front as it passes. I think we hit 60 mph once this winter and I mean once.

[Terminal Moraine]

5 days with gales here this winter ( met' office definition ) which is well below average but better than winter 2005/06 which had only 2. To be fair though two of the gales this season occurred either side of midnight and so accounted for 4 days.

Highest gust so far this winter is 76 mph on Dec' 19th.

[The PIT]

5 days with gales here this winter ( met' office definition ) which is well below average but better than winter 2005/06 which had only 2. To be fair though two of the gales this season occurred either side of midnight and so accounted for 4 days.

Highest gust so far this winter is 76 mph on Dec' 19th.

I'm really referring to several hours of strong winds. We've had brief windy spells lasting about half n hour to hour when fronts have passed through but nothign substained like proper storms.

[Cookie]

if you discount the big storm over the weekend of the 18 jan, the past 2 jan have had little in the way of major storms up here.

but last april saw a pretty decent storm so still a fair few months to go.

[Zenarcher]

if you discount the big storm over the weekend of the 18 jan, the past 2 jan have had little in the way of major storms up here.

but last april saw a pretty decent storm so still a fair few months to go.

In January 2008 on Barra highest gust recorded was 101mph this year in January it was 120mph.

[Terminal Moraine]

I'm really referring to several hours of strong winds. We've had brief windy spells lasting about half n hour to hour when fronts have passed through but nothign substained like proper storms.

Agreed. We've had gale force winds for 3 or 4 hours at a time but certainly no sustained spells of gale or severe gale as in most winters. The highest mean over an hour has been around 43 mph, most winters produce an hourly mean of 55 mph or more.

[Snowyowl9]

I have to say this has been one of the calmest winters for lack of severe gales,none here this year as I can remember,the strongest winds were from the south overall,2005/06 was even slacker.

its fair to say though one way or another the Atlantic will be back at some point,

The summer

Edited February 17, 2009 by Snowyowl9

[Zenarcher]

Friday 9am force 6 to 7

3am on Saturday a force 10 to 11 approaches the UK

Arrives around 12pm on Saturday bringing force 9 to 10

Around 9am on Sunday the storm will change direction and will aim down the UK bringing force 9 to 10 in Scotland 5 to 8 in the southern parts.

Images taken from http://magicseaweed.com/

[Cookie]

checking the latest model run, this system doesn't look that deep pressure wise 984 mb.

[Zenarcher]

Update

Latest charts show that there has been a downgrade good news for those who don't want a storm and bad news for those who want a storm but its still going to be windy.

Around Friday at 9am force 6 to 7

At Saturday 3pm force 9 to 10 but yesterday it had it further south today its moved up north.

On Sunday 3pm 24 hours later the storm still shows to move south but this time further east. Bringing force 8 to 9 in the north.

Images from http://magicseaweed.com/

[Cookie]

yup, It doesn't look as bad, im gutted :winky:

[Shadow]

yup, It doesn't look as bad, im gutted

I'm not. Makes a nice change for it not to be blowing a hoolie here Cookie

[Cookie]

but its the time on year when its supposed to be.

[Somerset Squall]

All we've had here as PIT describes is it getting a bit gusty when a front passes through. Haven't had any sustained gales at all, which is a little unusual. Certainly has been a quiet Winter in that respect. And do you know what I think will happen? I agree with SnowyOwl, the gales are bound to turn up in the Summer, again! I think there were more gales last Summer than this Winter!

[Cookie]

Finally some action, not a full update tonight, just a quickie as I'm working at 8am!

Current fax chart from the met office, which shows the current synoptic set up.

the above taken from here

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=...;type=fax;sess=

The general synopsis

The general synopsis at midday

High Fastnet 1030 expected Sole 1033 by midday tomorrow. Low 200 miles southwest of Iceland 996 expected Faeroes 989 by same time

The latest Sea area gale warnings, issued by the Met Office, on behalf of the Maritime and Coastguard Agency.

Gale warnings

Last updated on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2152.

Viking, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Westerly gale force 8 expected soon

South Utsire, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Westerly gale force 8 expected later

Forties, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Westerly gale force 8 expected later

Cromarty, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Westerly gale force 8 expected later

Fisher, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Westerly gale force 8 expected later

Fitzroy, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 1640

Northeasterly gale force 8 continuing

Rockall, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Gale force 8 veering westerly imminent

Malin, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Westerly gale force 8 expected soon

Hebrides, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Gale force 8 veering westerly imminent, increasing storm force 10 later

Bailey, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Gale force 8 now veered westerly, increasing storm force 10 soon

Fair Isle, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Gale force 8 veering westerly soon, increasing storm force 10 later

Faeroes, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Gale force 8 veering westerly soon, increasing storm force 10 later

Southeast Iceland, issued on Tuesday 24 February 2009 at 2147

Gale force 8 veering westerly imminent, increasing severe gale force 9 soon

All of the above can be found here

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine..._printable.html

Key

Force 9 - BOLD

FORCE 10, 11 AND 12 - RED

* this is my own key and just found it makes it clearer and easier to read*

small update tonight, will do a full update tomorrow night.

[grab my graupel]

This looks rather interesting from today's 06z GFS, Cookie

[Zenarcher]

This looks rather interesting from today's 06z GFS, Cookie

Looks like it will be further south though with force 11 gusting for force 12 http://charts.metcentral.com/gfs/5ebddf45f...eefb050/147.png

[Cookie]

This looks rather interesting from today's 06z GFS, Cookie

thats a bit of beastie