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Chase 2009 Day 13 Discussion


Paul Sherman

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Posted
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder - not necessarily at the same time!
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL

Looks like my drive home from work!

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Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

Looks like they are heading into rush hour traffic in the metroplex ... lol

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Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West Sussex
  • Location: Horsham, West Sussex
Looks like my drive home from work!

Don't want to seem petty but, i wish the guys would point the camera straight forward, as the current angle is doing my driving brain no good whatsoever. It looks like we are driving into the left lane all the time. :D Sorry. Good luck people, may the force be with you all !

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Posted
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder - not necessarily at the same time!
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL

Assuming the sun is in the West(ish) and the shadows on the cars at the mo, they seem to be heading North.

Red River area I guess. Will they make it before the CAP breaks?.........

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Posted
  • Location: Lowestoft, Suffolk. (the UK's most easterley point) 131ft [40m] amsl
  • Location: Lowestoft, Suffolk. (the UK's most easterley point) 131ft [40m] amsl
Looks like my drive home from work!

Looks like the cam has moved. Looks strange after 10 days looking straight ahead, now looking slightly off to the left and lower. Keep wanting to push it back centrally lol. :D

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Posted
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder - not necessarily at the same time!
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL

What do I know!

Working on shadows, they seem to be going West now, this is very perspicacious as there are a few cells going up between DFW and Abilene.

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Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Looks like the cam has moved. Looks strange after 10 days looking straight ahead, now looking slightly off to the left and lower. Keep wanting to push it back centrally lol. :D

slow traffic on the interstate currently........hang on, are we sure they're not really on the M25 somewhere near heathrow?....lol

Yes, those cells have fired up along the cold front in rapid order!.......great stuff! forget computer games, this USA stormchase is far more addictive :D

Edited by ajpoolshark
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Posted
  • Location: Aviemore
  • Location: Aviemore
Looks like the cam has moved. Looks strange after 10 days looking straight ahead, now looking slightly off to the left and lower. Keep wanting to push it back centrally lol. :D

Your wish is their command - camera now pointing straight ahead again. Cheers Ian :D

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Posted
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder - not necessarily at the same time!
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL

Here are the cells W of DFW on the latest radar.

Breckenridge does seem to be getting a fair share at the mo!

post-7346-1241819010_thumb.png

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Posted
  • Location: Lowestoft, Suffolk. (the UK's most easterley point) 131ft [40m] amsl
  • Location: Lowestoft, Suffolk. (the UK's most easterley point) 131ft [40m] amsl
What do I know!

Working on shadows, they seem to be going West now, this is very perspicacious as there are a few cells going up between DFW and Abilene.

Yep, they're springing up nicely along the I20 corridor now

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Posted
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder - not necessarily at the same time!
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL

Breckenridge cell looks nice.....

post-7346-1241819412_thumb.png

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Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

Storms west of Ft Worth and E of Abilene seem to be firing exclusively along a dry line bulge or possible DL triple point, Tds west of Abilene are much lower in the 50s while to the east in the 70s.

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Posted
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder - not necessarily at the same time!
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL

Interestingly on the Spotter Network all the 'old hack' chasers are not taking this bait W of Fort Worth, instead they are all clustered along the I35 up to Ardmore and are not moving.

Any idea why they are so confident? I don't think I would be.

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

Latest vis sat image.

Firing quite readily..

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Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Any idea why they are so confident? I don't think I would be.

Possibly because these storms are likely to be headed towards the DFW Metro area ... so not somewhere where you want to end up chasing. Best perhaps to stay N and NW of DFW for stuff that may fire soon and track it east.

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

Tornado watch issued by SPC.

499

WWUS20 KWNS 082208

SEL2

SPC WW 082208

TXZ000-090500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 272

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

505 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 505 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND

GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE

AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH OF FORT WORTH

TEXAS TO 50 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS. FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 268...WW 270...WW 271...

DISCUSSION...SCTD INTENSE TSTMS...POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO

DEVELOP GENERALLY SWD ALONG WEAK NNE-SSW COLD FRONT.

MODEST...DIFFLUENT UPR FLOW...AND VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER/STRONG

SFC-BASED CAPE E OF FRONT SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUSTAINED

STORMS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL/ISOLD TORNADOES...DESPITE WEAK SFC FLOW.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30020.

...CORFIDI

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Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

Can see the outer edges of the storm(s) coming into view now as the team head west ...

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
Interestingly on the Spotter Network all the 'old hack' chasers are not taking this bait W of Fort Worth, instead they are all clustered along the I35 up to Ardmore and are not moving.

Any idea why they are so confident? I don't think I would be.

This is the reason why.. line of storms appearing on the radar now just SE Oklahoma city.

And vis sat image

Jeez the cloud tops are at 62,000ft on this cell...

Ha ha thought it was a misread...only 49,000ft.

Edited by NL
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Posted
  • Location: West Totton, Southampton
  • Location: West Totton, Southampton

Looks like there is some lightning showing up on the stream, how great for the new team, off the plane and into the action!

Wish I was there!

Steve

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Posted
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder - not necessarily at the same time!
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
This is the reason why.. line of storms appearing on the radar now just SE Oklahoma city.

And vis sat image

Jeez the cloud tops are at 62,000ft on this cell...

Ha ha thought it was a misread...only 49,000ft.

Possum Kingdom cell is looking a peach and the other one don't look too bad either! Right mover too.

Yes, you are probably right about the cells E of Oklahoma City, however, there has been faint echoes there all evening, matched by a line of cumulus clouds but so far nothing has developed. It may do as the CAP erodes from the South.

Edit: Possum Kingdom cell is now showing at 60,000 feet!!!

post-7346-1241823123_thumb.png

Edited by Muffelchen
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Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

Ooooh I see hills and lots of trees ... do remember Palo Pinto County, where I think they are, being a bit hilly and jungly. Hopefully will find some view points in places. Watch out for the hail team ... could be large!

Just hope coverage holds out too ... as it seems to be getting patchy just as they get near the storms :doh:

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Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Possum Kingdom cell is looking a peach and the other one don't look too bad either! Right mover too.

Yes, you are probably right about the cells E of Oklahoma City, however, there has been faint echoes there all evening, matched by a line of cumulus clouds but so far nothing has developed. It may do as the CAP erodes from the South.

Edit: Possum Kingdom cell is now showing at 60,000 feet!!!

Judging by the radar returns for the last 2 hours, I had a sneaky feeling PS and the team would end up west along I20 :doh:

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Posted
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder - not necessarily at the same time!
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL

Spotter Network: all on the move now....

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

Tornado watch from NWS/SPC for S/E Oklahoma and central/n Arkansas,

289

WWUS20 KWNS 082252

SEL4

SPC WW 082252

ARZ000-OKZ000-090700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 274

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

555 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS

SOUTHERN AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 555 PM

UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND

GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE

AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE

MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST OF BATESVILLE

ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES SOUTH OF CHICKASHA OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE

DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE

(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 268...WW 270...WW

271...WW 272...WW 273...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE/DEVELOP ALONG SLOWLY-MOVING

BOUNDARY ARCING FROM S CNTRL OK TO N CNTRL AR. AMPLE DEEP

SHEAR/INSTABILITY PRESENT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL/DMGG

WIND AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES GIVEN RICH QUALITY OF BOUNDARY LAYER

MOISTURE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.

...CORFIDI

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