South West England Cold Spell Discussion

[BristolBlizzard]

We have light snow here now. temperature has risen to -1.5c

:lol: yeahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh .

[Dartmoor_Matt]

-2/-4 here at present... not sure if there is any PPN around my area. The frost never left the drive/road/garden today... Brrrr

dogs32: Whats happening Tuesday?

when is it surpost to turn westerly

Wind is from the west already... albeit at 0mph here.

[WESTERN SNOWS]

Wow, theres actually quite a bit of ppn, now just need them to go westerly!

yes i see it its so close to bristol just needs a westerley nudge and its a white out yipeeeeeeeeee

[BristolBlizzard]

Ok so Im a weather noob, which Wind Vectors should I be looking at? 300hpa or 1000hpa?

[Jayfromcardiff]

yes i see it its so close to bristol just needs a westerley nudge and its a white out yipeeeeeeeeee

There's plenty of time, someone in the Welsh thread posted and said showers between 12 and 6am....

[WESTERN SNOWS]

There's plenty of time, someone in the Welsh thread posted and said showers between 12 and 6am....

wish we had whats comin into N ireland at the moment though

[Nights King]

Been snowing for 20 mins now!

Looks great just hope that channel can pack um in!

temp -0.1c

[Jayfromcardiff]

Been snowing for 20 mins now!

Looks great just hope that channel can pack um in!

temp -0.1c

I'm pulling my hair out here..... showers keep missing me by a small distance.

[Ian Fergusson]

Thanks Ian for the update. I was wondering how the showers would reach us but now i know wind veers west it makes more sense. Tomorrow looks like another knife edge scenario for us although more likely to be brief rain if it reaches us which is a shame. Lets just hope and see if there is another chance running closer to christmas before milder air takes a hold. Watched your forecast earlier and must say i thought you were rather conservative with you minimum air temperature?

Current temperature here is -2.9c with a ground temperature of -4.2.

Hi - knife-edge describes it well. It could still yield snow westwards of earlier predictions - I'll post a graphic shortly to prove the point. But for now, I'm having to emphasise the rain prob versus widespread snow. It's a tough call with only 45-50 seconds of time to offer a forecast for general public; but I'm happy enough because I have the luxury of adapting according in tomorrow morning's broadcasts. I will adjust these based on new runs, and expect snow signal to feature more prominently.

The minima I show are urban predictions (as with all BBC Weather values we show) and our latest guidance still only goes for -1 in central Bristol tonight. I actually tweaked these a degree lower for my forecasts this evening (including for coastal fringe of W. Somerset) but on local radio stations here, have already emphasised to our rural listeners how -4 or less is very probable outside larger towns / cities.

[fromey]

Been snowing for 20 mins now!

Looks great just hope that channel can pack um in!

temp -0.1c

chucking it down here now

fromey

huge flakes bring it on

Edited December 20, 2009 by fromey

[Ian Fergusson]

MetO's snow modelling (UKV, at high resolution) for Monday to 2100hrs. Note scale at right before getting over-excited when reading this in many districts!! But gives a generalised indication of possible spatial spread and intensity. Much as previously described / discussed. Wiltshire, east (and high ground) Somerset and east Glos most likely to see something from it.

[jethro]

Just looked outside and to my utter amazement we have snow! Coming down steady, settling well, about a cm so far

Keeping everything crossed that it doesn't turn to rain otherwise it will quickly become

[BristolBlizzard]

MetO's snow modelling (UKV, at high resolution) for Monday to 2100hrs. Note scale at right before getting over-excited when reading this in many districts!! But gives a generalised indication of possible spatial spread and intensity. Much as previously described / discussed. Wiltshire, east (and high ground) Somerset and east Glos most likely to see something from it.

Lol, Bristol 0CM

*slits wrists*

[Ian Fergusson]

Just looked outside and to my utter amazement we have snow! Coming down steady, settling well, about a cm so far

Keeping everything crossed that it doesn't turn to rain otherwise it will quickly become

Good stuff - courtesy of this cell - see attached frame

[jethro]

I'm in the yellow bit, what does that mean? Two foot perchance......?

[Ian Fergusson]

I'm in the yellow bit, what does that mean? Two foot perchance......?

LOL!! Yeah, you wish!!! But there's some further showers on similar trajectory so some more likely..... deep breaths!

[Snowfan50]

Damn it really is snowing everywhere but here.

[Mild Weather]

I live just outside Bath i notice its snowing where Jethro is but it aint here grrrrrr

[SteveB]

Rain sleet & hail here in Weston, no snow yet. Very light showers as well, no punch to them.

[jethro]

LOL!! Yeah, you wish!!! But there's some further showers on similar trajectory so some more likely..... deep breaths!

I'm wishing with every wishing atom I have....

So many deep breaths I think I may hyperventilate soon, best find paper bag and keep it handy.

[Steve_De4]

It's been snowing here in Westbury for a little while without me noticing. Not even a centimetre lying, I should think, but enough to give a covering, and to look.... well... sweet. :o

Clear sky and still snowing, so I guess the cloud has now passed on by to a quarter I can't see, and it'll soon stop.

[Snowman15]

We've had one 10min snow shower from this whole cold spell in East Dorset! We've only ever had rain from it while everywhere else gets snow! - Dissapointed!, lets hope we some flakes tonight/tomorrow!.

My neighbour is having to return home after most flights to Germany have been cancelled until Tuesday from Southampton due to so much snow in Germany!

[❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️]

MetO's snow modelling (UKV, at high resolution) for Monday to 2100hrs. Note scale at right before getting over-excited when reading this in many districts!! But gives a generalised indication of possible spatial spread and intensity. Much as previously described / discussed. Wiltshire, east (and high ground) Somerset and east Glos most likely to see something from it.

Where will the showers be coming from?

[Steve_De4]

Where will the showers be coming from?

The sky :o

[Ian Fergusson]

I'm wishing with every wishing atom I have....

So many deep breaths I think I may hyperventilate soon, best find paper bag and keep it handy.

Awww....! You might want to consider renting a SCUBA set locally, as similar respiratory problems are likely as you perhaps hyperventilate looking towards Christmas Eve and doubtless at other times over the next 2 weeks, given any other snow threat locally!