The Midlands Regional Discussion Thread

[A.J]

you could see snow thurs night, but likely the precip will remain south of the M4,

Out of curiosity, what are you basing this on?...GFS has ppn from this system on its 12z run all the way up to northern england, a 300+ mile descrepancy from your post

[Brum Watcher]

This evening and tonight, it looks as though the low towards Scotland will move out Northeastwards, this is when The midlands have a slightly better chance with showers as the easterly flow of showers turn more northeasterly.....the tilt has begun in the last two radar runs to the naked eye....

[stewfox]

My guess is that at 600 ft, the precipitation if it is of good intensity will be snow, whether it is worth driving there or not, thats your decision I guess, also it is only a small shower, by the time you get there it will have passed over.

I did have a look (short term nature of percip) so didnt bother but nice to see sleet.

[Serendipity]

we've had a few showers this evening but they've been rain so you're not missing much!

[Brum Watcher]

we've had a few showers this evening but they've been rain so you're not missing much!

it looks as though these will begin turning wintry soon... lower temps, heights, dews etc etc

[Gord]

Few new bits of precipitation developing out in west and mid Wales. Will probably be nothing...but you never know.

Lots of talk about a mild run up to Christmas later next week. My opinion is that nothing is settled until we know what's going to happen on Friday.

[conor123]

Out of curiosity, what are you basing this on?...GFS has ppn from this system on its 12z run all the way up to northern england, a 300+ mile descrepancy from your post

Going on previous (bad luck with) lows of a similar nature they due always trend about 200-300+ miles south last minute so it wouldn't surprise me if it ends up scraping along

the channel in the end.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Going on previous (bad luck with) lows of a similar nature they due always trend about 200-300+ miles south last minute so it wouldn't surprise me if it ends up scraping along

the channel in the end.

yeah exactly what I am thinking, think the GEM model thinking might be right

[Luke]

Keeping my eye on that shower heading towards Birmingham

[Chunky Flake]

Any snow on the way to Stafford/ Cannock way ?. Where is the rainfall radar if any one has a link please .

[Bolton67]

Any snow on the way to Stafford/ Cannock way ?. Where is the rainfall radar if any one has a link please .

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

[I remember Atlantic 252]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

I use that a lot, but the key thing, dosent give precip type

[Staffordshire]

What ppn would it be if the showers make it here?

I use that a lot, but the key thing, dosent give precip type

[I remember Atlantic 252]

What ppn would it be if the showers make it here?

sleety mix under 200m, snow over 200m

[Herefordweather]

Had sleet/wet snow in Hereford earlier at 70m asl, so who knows!

Rain/Hail shower in Hereford now, temperature has risen to 3.5c in gusty winds.

Very heavy this shower now, temperature has dropped 0.8c in 3 or 5 minutes! Now sleet/hail.

[cold stoke]

the ppn has started to come down from the north and not west

[I remember Atlantic 252]

the ppn has started to come down from the north and not west

? no coming from west or even WSW

[Herefordweather]

The wind has changed direction. This is evident as my location was slightly missing most of the showers earlier by a few miles, now they are hitting here. Last one finished very wintry.

Temperature 2.3c so borderline!

[A.J]

Going on previous (bad luck with) lows of a similar nature they due always trend about 200-300+ miles south last minute so it wouldn't surprise me if it ends up scraping along

the channel in the end.

yeah exactly what I am thinking, think the GEM model thinking might be right

Why do your replies not surprise me chaps!......I've lived up here for nigh on 6 years, and yes there have been a few near misses, but also some unexpected direct hits.....What your describing isn't bad luck, it's simply what everyone else in every part of the world experiences, it's simply the law of averages, a numbers game if you will

[stewfox]

Just sleet but seem to be in line for a few more heavier showers

[PolarWarsaw]

Time does the 18z role out?

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Time does the 18z role out?

actually starts at 9.30pm, but the interesting FI bit from 10pm

[conor123]

Why do your replies not surprise me chaps!......I've lived up here for nigh on 6 years, and yes there have been a few near misses, but also some unexpected direct hits.....What your describing isn't bad luck, it's simply what everyone else in every part of the world experiences, it's simply the law of averages, a numbers game if you will

Well the 18z is doing exactly what I expected, the southward trend, I fully expect bone dry conditions in the end with the low sliding through the channel with Southampton being as northward as it gets.

[cyclonic happiness]

Well the 18z is doing exactly what I expected, the southward trend, I fully expect bone dry conditions in the end with the low sliding through the channel with Southampton being as northward as it gets.

As I said before....EVERTHING avoids our beloved Midlands 'dead zone'.

[PolarWarsaw]

Hmm more runs needed, but things not looking great. Still plenty of time for northware movement.