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Northern England Regional Discussion Thread

kold weather

By kold weather
in Spring Weather Discussion

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Snowstorm1 Apprentice

Snowstorm1

Posted
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Showers, Snowy Periods , Blizzards, Cold Weather
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
Posted

Can one of the more knowedgable please give a forecast for the North East of England based on the current output from tonigh's models please?

All I see in the Model Output thread is what is going to happen in the SE and I'm bored with it!

Thanks in advance :good:

Rain,Sleet and Snow Tomorrow morning.

Dont ask me which nobody really knows its a mess!

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JP1972 Contributor

JP1972

Posted
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Weather Preferences: Cold winters and cool, wet summers.
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
Posted

Rain,Sleet and Snow Tomorrow morning.

Dont ask me which nobody really knows its a mess!

Sorry, I was wanting a synopsis based on what the models are showing for this upcoming potentially cold/snowy weather next week/weekend.

Thanks mate.

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Aaron Community Regular

Aaron

Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
Posted

All I see in the Model Output thread is what is going to happen in the SE and I'm bored with it!

msp_lol.gif

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Rain,Sleet and Snow Tomorrow morning.

Dont ask me which nobody really knows its a mess!

Hmm, taking into consideration that you're bang on sea level, and the general rule that for snow at sea level -7.5C upper profile temperatures are needed, with a relatively high wet bulb temperature, with a dewpoint above 0C, I'm afraid it's going to be rain all the way for you!

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Isolated Frost Rising Star

Isolated Frost

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: cold
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

Sorry, I was wanting a synopsis based on what the models are showing for this upcoming potentially cold/snowy weather next week/weekend.

Thanks mate.

Turning notably colder most likely this weekend, dry, but pretty frosty, and then towards Monday onwards chances of snow increase substantially.

I think NE England for the most part will see some wintry shrs above 50m between 8am and 11am, but mostly snow above 200m. Not much of an event, maybe the odd couple of cm's down Consett way.

Hmm, taking into consideration that you're bang on sea level, and the general rule that for snow at sea level -7.5C upper profile temperatures are needed, with a relatively high wet bulb temperature, with a dewpoint above 0C, I'm afraid it's going to be rain all the way for you!

This is a warm front- upper temps of around -5/-6c would probably bring snow to sea level at times- however upper air should be around -3c/-4c for the bulk of the precip, and so you're probably right about SS1 receiving no snow.

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

This is a warm front- upper temps of around -5/-6c would probably bring snow to sea level at times- however upper air should be around -3c/-4c for the bulk of the precip, and so you're probably right about SS1 receiving no snow.

Yes indeed sir. Uppers are set to rise drastically from around 5am ish, so not exactly a pukka situation for snow.

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Snowstorm1 Apprentice

Snowstorm1

Posted
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Showers, Snowy Periods , Blizzards, Cold Weather
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
Posted

Turning notably colder most likely this weekend, dry, but pretty frosty, and then towards Monday onwards chances of snow increase substantially.

I think NE England for the most part will see some wintry shrs above 50m between 8am and 11am, but mostly snow above 200m. Not much of an event, maybe the odd couple of cm's down Consett way.

This is a warm front- upper temps of around -5/-6c would probably bring snow to sea level at times- however upper air should be around -3c/-4c for the bulk of the precip, and so you're probably right about SS1 receiving no snow.

I got a tweet of Alex Deakin saying this

you might get a bit tomorrow morning but not enough for a snowman

2 hours ago via web

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Snowstorm1 Apprentice

Snowstorm1

Posted
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Showers, Snowy Periods , Blizzards, Cold Weather
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
Posted

Did he mistake you for a 3 year old?! What terrible, vague forecasting!

Easy mistake :p

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Letitsnowyorkshire Rookie

Letitsnowyorkshire

Posted
  • Location: Normanton ,West Yorkshire 41m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Mild Spring , hot summer , crisp autumn and snowy cold winters
  • Location: Normanton ,West Yorkshire 41m asl
Posted

oooh not want to get my hopes up too much , but can't help get excited :D

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shadowfax Community Regular

shadowfax

Posted
  • Location: Rossendale Valley 1000ft asl
  • Location: Rossendale Valley 1000ft asl
Posted

We might get a little bit although nothing shows up on the met office forecast for us, maybe we'll just be high enough up to get a few flakes, if its going to snow it usually starts at 6am when I go out to feed my chickens!

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Andy_ Apprentice

Andy_

Posted
  • Location: Jarrow 28m asl
  • Location: Jarrow 28m asl
Posted (edited)

Not expecting any snow here until the big pattern change later this month, getting my first car very soon so hopefully the council will be using up their grit reserves at even the slightest chance of a flurry!

We'll all be getting buried by February if the models keep up their easterly plans, great time to live next to a 360 mile wide sea :winky:

Edited by Andy163
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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Going to head out at around 10pm, is this late enough to see the aura?

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Alex95 Contributor

Alex95

Posted
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and heat, North Sea snow
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
Posted

I've written off tomorrow already - uppers will be far too high and the GFS shows a very low chance of even sleet occurring. The Met Office often seem to predict snow in these situations (think late Dec 2010, 10-15cm forecast!) but it never materializes.

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

XC Weather illustrates clearly where the risk of snow tomorrow morning is:

16976957.png

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Cheese Rice Community Regular

Cheese Rice

Posted
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m
Posted

Its irrelevant what the GFS shows as it isn't a high resolution model, the NMM projects snowfall and so does the NAE.

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Its irrelevant what the GFS shows as it isn't a high resolution model, the NMM projects snowfall and so does the NAE.

Just because the resolution of the GFS is lower than the NMM does not mean you discount it.

It's very relevant, and has a good chance of being accurate.

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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted

Thursday a better bet for snow and the latest fax chart looks intresting

as for tomorrow nothing remotly to get excited about a bit of snow about in places

followed by a rapid thaw and temps shooting up to 8c....thanks but no thanks

C.S

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Aaron Community Regular

Aaron

Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
Posted

Just because the resolution of the GFS is lower than the NMM does not mean you discount it.

It's very relevant, and has a good chance of being accurate.

As do the other models, so we cannot discount any of them! :)

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Cheese Rice Community Regular

Cheese Rice

Posted
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m
Posted

We have sleet forecast for tomorrow finally..

post-8968-0-99319400-1327351889_thumb.pn

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Cheese Rice Community Regular

Cheese Rice

Posted
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m
Posted (edited)

Just because the resolution of the GFS is lower than the NMM does not mean you discount it.

It's very relevant, and has a good chance of being accurate.

Well obviously not as you yourself said it is a lower resolution model, therefore it doesn't use the vast variable the NMM/NAE use.

I guess we will have to agree to disagree on this one.

:good:

Edited by Cheese Rice
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Lancashire Lass Explorer

Lancashire Lass

Posted
  • Location: Preston, Lancashire
  • Weather Preferences: Cold & snowy in winter. Hot and stormy in summer.
  • Location: Preston, Lancashire
Posted

What are everyone's temps like? I'm stuck hovering around 3c. Pesky cloud.

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Aaron Community Regular

Aaron

Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
Posted

2.8c here

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